via Chuck Todd on MSNBC (apparently he has been doing the math for districts all night) about ten minutes ago:
California Big for Hillary (+34):
Obama - 841
Clinton - 837
California Close (+10):
Obama - 865
Clinton - 813
The first is what the Clinton people say the split in CA will be, the second is based on Obama people's guess (with outstanding NM split Obama 14-12)
This means that is Obama people are right he gets the lead even after Superdelegates are added, that would be huge for him.
Update 12.09am Central For the record I think that Obama will raise about 20-25 Million in the next week, and I think he could even break Ron Paul's single day record (Thursday seems most likely).
Last, I think that Obama should avoid those debates. Hillary wants them because she doesn't have the funds to compete and needs the free air time. I also wouldn't be surprised if Obama made all the Sunday shows this weekend, in preparation of a big showing in the Mid Atlantic area, which MAY help him all but wrap it up.
Ok, I be a bit more ballsy, if he can open up a 75-100 delegate lead after next week I think he will get either Richardson or Edwards endorsment. This week may also see McCain and Huckabee strike a deal, after Romney withdraws tomorrow.
Last Update before my 5 hours of sleep and then class 12.16am: Check out that sweet bell curve, am I the only one who notices we get a lot of those? Makes sense really, I should wait to think about stats until my class at 8am
Onto the money, anyone want to guess the amount Obama people raise in the next week?
Update 12.38pm Central As of 183 votes, the weighted average of the amount you think he will raise is 14.4 Million, based on low balling the 30+ category.