UPDATE: It's actually 31 straight contests. I forgot about getting all 4 right on the Saturday after Super Tuesday (ME, LA, WA and ND...or NE...wherever that last one was.) I'll rummage for the comment tomorro when the site is back to normal speed.
Everybody knows that Obama has won 11 consecutive primaries and caucuses. But I have an even more impressive streak: 27 consecutive contests predicted correctly. (No, really it's true. I have some evidence.)
Tomorrow night, one of those streaks will end. Because while I think Obama will win the night, he won't go four for four.
Vermont: Obama 59, Clinton 41
Delegates: (Obama 9 to 6)
"Analysis" I love hippies.
RI: Clinton 53, Obama 47
Delegates: (Clinton 11 to 10)
She's been up ten in the polls and I think this should be pretty save for senator clinton.
OH: Clinton 51.7 Obama 48.1 Gravel, et al 0.2
Delegates: Clinton 73, Obama 68
I really hope I'm wrong on this one but today did feel like the ground shifted in her favor.
TX Primary: Obama 53, Clinton 47 (Delegates: Obama 70, Clinton 56)
TX Caucus: Obama 58, Clinton 42 (Delegates: Obama 39, Clinton 28)
NOTE: EDITED TO CORRECT TYPO THAT READ 58-52.
Obama's worked this state hard and it will pay off. As always his caucus magic will make the difference on the hard delegate count.
Delegates Total: Obama 186, Clinton 172
Here are the keys: Obama needs to tie Hillary in NE delegates. Then his TX primary totals will take out her OH advantage. The TX Caucus will be the final word: OBAMA EXTENDS HIS LEAD.
AS FOR MY STREAK.....
It started here, with a diary called "Because I like to be wrong":
http://www.dailykos.com/...
Ironically, I got all 22 right that night. 13 for Obama and 9 for Clinton. This prediction wasn't settled until Hillary pulled out New Mexico.
Since, then I've been letting it ride on Obama. And I've been right 11 times so far.
The other predictions were mad in comments:
WI & HI:
http://www.dailykos.com/...
and the Potomac Primaries:
http://www.dailykos.com/...
I did not publicly predict Democrts abroad, etc.