I did this with Super Tuesday and a few folks tuned in so I thought we should try it again for the PA primary. I think it is interesting to see how the Kos community fares at prediction. It goes to whether the networks we are plugged into are more or less connected to the real voter.
It's been a long six weeks so we hardly need to set the scene really. As we all know, the polls have been all over the place. As I write the Real Clear Politics average has Clinton winning by 5-6 points. The concensus amongst harder heads (who think that the RCP average includes some dubious performers (cough Zogby) is that it is probably more like 10 to Clinton. Some pollsters like the reliable Survey USA have it at 14 or more to Clinton.
Here at Kos, we've had lots of fascinating dairies from folks working in on the ground in PA that could lead one to lean in either direction. Anyway without further ado. What's your bet?