Let's have all KY predictions here for the Democratic Primary on May 20, 2008.
Please be specific and include all requested info.
Predictions are KY only.
Please include following details:
- Turnout in term of number of voters.
- Hillary %
- Obama %
- Delegate split (51 total delegates)
My prediction: 700K voters will turnout +/- 25K.
Kerry vote in 2004 was 712K.
AA vote 12% (7.5 % of population) 95% - 5% for Obama
White + other 88% and goes 70% - 30% for HRC.
Hillary 62%+
Obama 37.8%
KY has more college educated people than WV. KY 17.1% to WV's 14.8%. Income is higher both individual and family. 12.8% of people in KY are over 65 while in WV it was 15.3%. More colleges as well in KY but impact unclear.
Hillary 435K
Obama 265K
Hillary nets 170K
Delegates
Hillary 32
Obama 19
Please enter your predictions in comments and I'll do a diary on the 20th afternoon posting all predictions and the winner gets a lot of Kudos from the community.
Also someone should do OR predictions solicitation.
Obama +16%. Turnout 900K
Delegates Obama 31 - HRC 21