One talking point that Hillary Clinton's supporters and surrogates have been trying to pound home over the last few weeks is that she, and not Obama, is winning the "important" states. You see, according to their logic, to lose a state in the primary means a loss in November as well. Not only is this an amazing bit of sophistry, but it also lacks any historical evidence.
Let us look at the 1992 Democratic Primary as an example. Bill Clinton lost IA, NH, MD, VT, CT, RI, MA, CO, KS, and AZ. Now, according to Clintonian reasoning, Bill should have lost these states in the GE as well. Stunningly however, that wasn't the exact outcome. Of the ten states Bill Clinton lost in the primary, he managed to win eight of those states in November. How can that be you ask? Simply put, primary results don't equal GE results.
Furthermore, Democratic turnout has far exceeded that of the Republicans almost across the board. I find it hard to believe that when this trend continues in November, Obama won't benefit.