After Wisconsin, Obama and his supporters realized he had won. After North Carolina, the MSM got it--Obama has won. Obama gave Hillary "space" to reached a dignified end.
Instead, Hillary proclaimed that she is the candidate of white america. In a way, in this is fitting. Kos called this the Clinton Civil War. Hillary's attempt of coup by superdelegate has failed. She is broke. Two superdelegates has flipped on her. McGovern said it was over. Wolfson looking for a book deal. She lost $11.4 million in loans that she will never get paid back.
Now, she looks like Jefferson Davis who refused to surrender for more than a month after Robert Lee did.
But Hillary cannot run for forever, the forces of Democratic Party unity are going to force a surrender before, or shortly after, Oregon. Four superdelegates yesterday including one flipper (a DNC person in VA). In addition, McGovern flipped on her. Edward's campaign chair today. Two congressman during the day. Then two congressman in the dead of night (including one flipper--Payne). Both flippers were AA elected officals, what AA elected superdelegate is going to stand by Hillary as she proclaims herself the candidates for whites.
Gallup noted that Obama a very good night of polling on Wednesday:
The May 5-7 update, which includes the first night of interviewing following the Indiana and North Carolina primaries, shows the candidates once again locked in a statistical tie. Neither candidate has held a significant lead for the last 15 days of Gallup tracking. However, Obama did well in interviews conducted on Wednesday night, suggesting that as the full impact of Tuesday's results and the media coverage of the status of the nomination campaign sinks in with voters, he may move back into the lead. (To view the complete trend since Jan. 3, 2008, click here.)
Look for Clinton's poll to decline rapidly in the coming days.
Superdelegates treated Obama like a rock star today. And one Clinton superdelegate asked Obama for an autograph on a paper that proclaimed Obama winner.
At this pace, Obama might be up 30 superdelegates and Hillary down 10 by Oregon on May 20, 2008.
Speaking of Oregon, Hillary was way behind before North Carolina and Indiana. She was behind by 12 points as Obama was trying to shake off Wright. With Wright behind him and the big win Tuesday under his belt, I think Hillary could easily lose Oregon by 24 points. If she can still afford internal polls, what is she going to do the night before the Oregon primary when she gets the internal poll that shows one of the whiteness states in America is about to blow her away.
And after Oregon, Obama will win the pledged delegate race. He will have 1627. (He is 33 away now, and he figures to pick up 10 in WV, 20 in Kentucky and then at least 28 in Oregon).
The vast majority of undeclared superdelegates who are elected are Pelsoi club members according to Mr. Super. (See April 24, 2008 entry in blog). So, Obama can look forward to a massive gain right after Oregon.
And once Obama reached 1627, Obama will have one metric in which he has won the race and I bet a lot of Clinton superdelegates will use that metric as an excuse to flip in the name of party unity.
Despite the babble out her camp, Hillary is going to surrender. And she is going to surrender no later than the night of the Oregon primary.
UPDATED
Lizardbox pointed out that May 20th is also an ugly day for Clinton because the money reports are due at the Federal Election Commission. Maybe she is $20 million behind. $10 million in debt and $11.4 million in loans. And zero cash on hand.