Sorry if this isn't a particularly long or well researched diary, but a thought just came to me that I haven't heard voiced over the last week or so.
Its a timely question that may not really matter all that much in the long run, but I have to ask it. Will the June (post end of semester and therefore well into summer break) primaries hurt Obama's numbers because a significant part of his base is off whitewater rafting?
To clarify, I don't mean Obama's national numbers, just the margins he will win by in SD and MT.