Rasmussen. 6/11. Likely voters. MoE 4% (5/7 results)
Smith (R) 47 (45)
Merkeley (D) 38 (42)
Merkeley's post-primary bump has faded a bit, but Smith remains in serious danger.
In the presidential race:
McCain (R) 38 (38)
Obama (D) 46 (52)
While McCain remains mired below 40 percent, Obama's support is fluxuating a bit. Could be float in the sample or something else, but Obama remains in the driver's seat. Remember, Oregon is traditionally a tight state. Kerry won it in 2004 by only four points. Obama has threatened to put this away (like he has Washington, another traditional swing state), but as of now, Oregon bears some watching. It certainly can't be taken for granted, even if the Pollster.com composite poll average still gives Obama a double-digit 48.7-38 lead.