Yes, that's right, ARG once again proved why they are the laughing stock of the polling world yesterday.
As many have pointed out, ARG has been generously incorrect to the tune of 10 percentage points in favor of Senator Clinton when one weighs ARG's polling numbers versus actual results.
This week the pollsters at ARG really outdid themselves.
South Dakota
ARG final poll Clinton 60, Obama 34 Clinton +26
Actual Result Clinton 55, Obama 45 Clinton +10
Error: 16 points
Montana
ARG final poll Obama 48, Clinton 44 Obama +4
Actual Resuls Obama 57, Clinton 41 Obama +16
Error: 12 points
This chasm between ARG's polling numbers versus actual results harkens back to the first contest of the year: Iowa. Every major pollster in America was predicting an Obama victory except ARG, who with all of their experience brazenly donated this tidbit of daring, yet apocraphyl foresight: Clinton 34%, Obama 25%, Edwards 21%.
Of course, as far as the popular vote went, the results in Iowa were Obama 38%, Edwards 30%, Clinton 29%, representing an ARG error of 18 points with regard to Obama's versus Clinton's take. This is fitting because ARG has ended the primary season exactly where it started: by being way, way off.
So at this point I would like to raise a glass to ARG, because not only do they keep on keeping on, it has grown extremely entertaining to have them around.