Rasmussen has just released their battleground polls for the states of Colorado, Virginia, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Florida. First the numbers and then the bigger picture:
Colorado:
Obama - 46
McCain - 48
Virginia:
Obama - 48
McCain - 48
Ohio:
Obama - 45
McCain - 48
Pennsylvania:
Obama - 47
McCain - 47
Florida:
Obama - 44
McCain - 49
Here are the Rassmussen numbers along with recent polls (Despite my misgivings about the Zogby internet poll, I've included it because pollster.com does).
In Ohio and Florida, Obama is winning Independents BIG: 50-36 in Florida and 53-32 in Ohio.
The biggest change is found in Colorado where it’s now McCain 48% and Obama 46%. A week ago, Obama had a three-point edge in this western state. The current results are similar to the Rasmussen Reports Colorado polling conducted in August, just before the Democratic convention was held in Denver...
Rasmussen Reports conducted five state telephone surveys in partnership with Fox News Channel on September 14, 2008. The surveys were conducted in Colorado, Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Virginia. A total of 500 Likely Voters were interviewed in each state using the Rasmussen Reports automated telephone survey methodology (see www.RasmussenReports.com for details).
The margin of sampling error for the full sample in each state poll is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
From the internals:
· Roughly one-in-five voters say they could still change their mind before voting.
· Ohio voters are less certain of their vote than those in other states. Thirty percent (30%) in the Buckeye State say they could change their mind.
· In all five states, McCain continues to be viewed more favorably—and trusted more-- than Obama.
· The number who would not be comfortable with Obama as President is at 40% or 41% in every state.
· The number not comfortable with a President McCain ranges from 33% to 36%. This is consistent with national polling data released today showing that more voters believe McCain is prepared to be President.
· Voters are generally more comfortable with the idea of a President Biden than a President Obama. The number uncomfortable with the idea of Biden in the Oval Office ranges from 26% to 33%.
· Voters are less comfortable with idea of a President Palin than a President Biden.
· Obama has the edge among unaffiliated voters in two states, McCain in two, and they are even in one. Nationally, McCain has a slight advantage among unaffiliated voters.
· In Pennsylvania, there was a three point decline in the number of undecideds along with a two point increase in support for McCain.
· In Ohio, there was a three point increase in the number of undecideds along with a three point decline in support for McCain.
· In Colorado, Nader’s support when up three percentage points while Obama’s went down three.
· Economic issues are the top issue in all five states with national security matters a distant second.
Colorado (pollster.com average: Obama:46.9% McCain: 46.5%)
Barack Obama - 46
John McCain - 48
Recent polls:
Zogby (Internet)9/9-12/08 ,825 LV
McCain -48
Obama - 46
InsiderAdvantage 9/10/08, 501 LV
McCain -46
Obama - 49
PPP (D) 9/7-9/08 1078 LV
McCain - 46
Obama - 47
FOX/Rasmussen 9/7/08 500 LV
McCain -46
Obama- 49
Tarrance (R-NRSC) 9/2-3/08 495 LV
McCain- 47
Obama - 45
Florida (pollster.com average: McCain - 48.2% Obama - 44.1%)
Obama - 44
McCain -49
Recent polls:
Zogby (Internet) 9/9-12/08 995 LV
McCain -52
Obama - 42
InsiderAdvantage 9/10/08 511 LV
McCain - 50
Obama - 42
Quinnipiac 9/5-9/08 1032
McCain -50
Obama- 43
FOX/Rasmussen 9/7/08 500 LV
McCain -48
Obama- 48
PPP (D) 9/6-7/08 968 LV
McCain - 50
Obama - 45
Ohio (pollster.com average: Obama - 44.6% McCain - 46.6%)
Obama - 45
McCain - 48
Recent polls:
SurveyUSA 9/12-14/08 692 LV
McCain -49
Obama - 45
Suffolk 9/10-13/08 600 LV
McCain- 46
Obama - 42
Zogby (Internet) 9/9-12/08 847 LV
McCain -50
Obama- 44
InsiderAdvantage 9/10/08 503 LV
McCain - 48
Obama - 47
University of Cincinnati 9/5-10/08 775 LV
McCain -48
Obama - 44
Strategic Vision (R) 9/7-9/08 1200 LV
McCain -48
Obama - 44
Quinnipiac 9/5-9/08 1367 LV
McCain -44
Obama - 49
FOX/Rasmussen 9/7/08 600 LV
McCain - 51
Obama - 44
CNN/Time 8/31-9/2/08 685 RV
McCain -45
Obama - 47
Pennsylvania (pollster.com average: Obama 47.8%- McCain - 43.5%)
Obama 47
McCain - 47
Recent polls:
Zogby (Internet) 9/9-12/08 701 LV
McCain -49
Obama - 44
Quinnipiac 9/5-9/08 1001 LV
McCain -45
Obama - 48
FOX/Rasmussen 9/7/08 500 LV
McCain -45
Obama - 47
Strategic Vision (R) 9/5-7/08 1200 LV
McCain - 45
Obama - 47
Virginia (pollster.com average McCain - 47.8% Obama -46.4%)
Obama - 48
McCain - 48
Recent polls:
SurveyUSA 9/12-14/08 732 LV
McCain- 46
Obama - 50
Zogby (Internet) 9/9-12/08 689 LV
McCain -50
Obama - 44
CNN/Time 9/7-9/08 920 RV
McCain -50
Obama - 46
FOX/Rasmussen 9/7/08 500 LV
McCain -49
Obama - 47
SurveyUSA 9/5-7/08 717 LV
McCain -49
Obama - 47