If Dems can get 60 votes for public option with opt out in the Senate, they'll go with that.
If they can't, then, they go with 60 votes for public option with trigger.
Then, we go to conference, and merge the Senate bill and the House bill.
What can't happen is for Democrats to lose the vote on cloture in the Senate if we go with opt out, because that means either the whole effort is dead or we have to give up even more (like the public option altogether) just to get something out of the Senate.
That's the state of the game right now in four sentences. Parse everything (anonymous sources or on-the-record quotes), and that's where we've been the last few days. It's all kabuki right now to round up votes.
Ignore the BS and just continue to call your members of Congress and encourage your friends and family to do the same.