Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 8/3-6/2009. All adults. MoE 2% (7/27-30/2009 results):
| FAVORABLE | UNFAVORABLE | NET CHANGE |
---|
PRESIDENT OBAMA | 60 (62) | 37 (36) | -3 |
| | | |
PELOSI: | 35 (34) | 57 (56) | 0 |
REID: | 33 (32) | 56 (57) | +2 |
McCONNELL: | 17 (18) | 66 (65) | -2 |
BOEHNER: | 12 (13) | 65 (64) | -2 |
| | | |
CONGRESSIONAL DEMS: | 42 (41) | 52 (51) | 0 |
CONGRESSIONAL GOPS: | 10 (10) | 75 (74) | -1 |
| | | |
DEMOCRATIC PARTY: | 44 (45) | 49 (48) | -2 |
REPUBLICAN PARTY: | 18 (19) | 73 (72) | -2 |
Full crosstabs here. This poll is updated every Friday morning, and you can see trendline graphs here.
Republicans have been celebrating Obama's erosion at the polls. But as we can see by the party breakdowns, Obama's numbers are dropping almost exclusively because of Republicans:
But with a favorability rating of just 7 favorable, 92 unfavorable among Republicans, there's little more ground there for erosion. Any further drops in Obama's support is going to have to come from Independents (67-29) or Democrats (87-10).
As for the Congressional leadership:
The Democratic leadership has reversed its May slide, stabilized, and started inching up. The Republican leadership has seen its June gains reversed in July, apparently in response to Republican efforts to stymie health care reform -- more evidence that the GOP's obstruction isn't the political winner that they believe it is.
Then again, the generic congressional ballot is tightening: Democrats 37, Republicans 29.
Of course, Republicans can't break 30 percent -- people are simply moving from "Democrat" to "Undecided". Unless Democrats deliver on what they promised the last two elections, this could become a serious concern.