Summary:
NC has 13 representative: 8 D and 5 R
ND has 1 representative: A Democrat
Possibly vulnerable -
NC-08 (D)
NC-11 (D)
Primaries done in both states
Sources:
House vote in 2008 from WaPo
VoteView (ranked from 1 for most liberal to 447 for most conservative; more than 435 because some districts had more than one rep in the 110th congress)
Race Tracker
Obama vote by CD from Swing State
National Atlas for maps
FEC
and my previous diaries.
District: NC-01
Location Northeast NC, bordering VA and Pimlico Sound map
Cook PVI D + 9
Representative G.K. Butterfield (D)
VoteView 69.5
First elected 2004
2008 margin 70-30 against Dean Stephens
2006 margin Unopposed
2004 margin 64-36
Obama margin 63-36
Bush margin 2004 42-57
Current opponents Ashley Woolard
Demographics 39th most rural (52.3$), 15th lowest income (median = $28K), 74th fewest Whites (44.4%), 24th most Blacks (50.5%)
Assessment Safe. Butterfield has $300K COH, Woolard has little.
District: NC-02
Location Central NC map
Cook PVI R + 2
Representative Bob Etheridge (D)
VoteView 168
First elected 1996
2008 margin 67-31 against Dan Mansell
2006 margin 67-33
2004 margin 62-38
Obama margin 47-52
Bush margin 2004 54-46
Current opponents Renee Elmers
Demographics 43rd most rural (50.5%)
Assessment Safe. Etheridge has $1.2 million COH, Elmers about $40K
District: NC-03
Location Most of the Atlantic coast of NC map
Cook PVI R + 16
Representative Walter Jones (R)
VoteView 294.5
First elected 1994
2008 margin 66-34 against Craig Webber
2006 margin 69-31
2004 margin 71-29
Obama margin 37-62
Bush margin 2004 69-32
Current opponents None
Demographics 39th most Republican
Assessment No opponent
District: NC-04
Location The 'research triangle' including Chapel Hill, Durham, and Cary map
Cook PVI D + 8
Representative David Price (D)
VoteView 98.5
First elected 1996
2008 margin 63-37 against William Lawson
2006 margin 65-35
2004 margin 64-36
Obama margin 62-37
Bush margin 2004 44-55
Current opponents Lawson again
Demographics Not unusual on what I track
Assessment Price has nearly $300K, Lawson about $50K
District: NC-05
Location Northwest NC, bordering TN and VA map
Cook PVI R + 15
Representative Virginia Foxx (R)
VoteView 432
First elected 2004
2008 margin 58-42 over Roy Carter
2006 margin 57-43
2004 margin 59-41
Obama margin 38-61
Bush margin 2004 66-33
Current opponents Billy Kennedy
Demographics 22nd most rural (57.1%)
Assessment Looks tough, Foxx has $1.2 million, Kennedy about $70K, but Foxx is so odious.
District: NC-06
Location Central NC map
Cook PVI R + 18
Representative Howard Coble (R)
VoteView 383
First elected 1984
2008 margin 67-32 over Teresa Bratton
2006 margin 71-29
2004 margin 73-27
Obama margin 36-63
Bush margin 2004 69-30
Current opponents Sam Turner
Demographics 56th most rural (48.4%), 25th most Republican
Assessment Looks safe for Republicans. Coble has $200K COH, Turner has little
District: NC-07
Location Southern NC, bordering SC and the Atlantic map
Cook PVI R + 5
Representative Mike McIntyre (D)
VoteView 223
First elected 1996
2008 margin 67-32 against William Breazeale
2006 margin 73-27
2004 margin 73-27
Obama margin 47-52
Bush margin 2004 54-45
Current opponents Ilario Pantano
Demographics 30th most rural (54.9%), 70th most Blacks (23.1%)
Assessment Safe. McIntyre has over $800K COH, Pantano about $100K
District: NC-08
Location Central part of southern NC, bordering SC map
Cook PVI R + 2
Representative Larry Kissell (D)
VoteView NA
First elected 2008
2008 margin 55-45 against Robin Hayes
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 52-47
Bush margin 2004 54-45
Current opponents Harold Johnson
Demographics 58th most Blacks (26.6%)
Assessment Kissell ousted Hayes fairly easily, this should be safe. Kissell has almost $300K COH, Johnson about $80K
District: NC-09
Location A strange shaped district in southern NC, bordering SC map
Cook PVI R + 11
Representative Sue Myrick (R)
VoteView 402.5
First elected 1994
2008 margin 62-36 against Harry Taylor
2006 margin 67-33
2004 margin 70-30
Obama margin 44-55
Bush margin 2004 63-36
Current opponents Jeff Doctor
Demographics 73rd highest income (median = $55K) (3rd highest in the deep south, after GA-06 and GA-07)
Assessment Safe for Repubs. Myrick has over $300K COH, Doctor has little
District: NC-10
Location Western NC, but east of NC-11, running from TN to SC map
Cook PVI R + 17
Representative Patrick McHenry (R)
VoteView 417
First elected 2004
2008 margin 58-42 against Dan Johnson
2006 margin 62-38
2004 margin 64-36
Obama margin 36-63
Bush margin 2004 67-33
Current opponents Jeff Gregory
Demographics 46th most rural (50.1%), 34th most Republican
Assessment Safe for Repubs. McHenry has only $83K COH for some reason, no info on Gregory
District: NC-11
Location Westernmost NC, bordering TN, GA, and SC map
Cook PVI R + 6
Representative Heath Shuler (D)
VoteView 232
First elected 2006
2008 margin 62-36 against Carl Mumpower
2006 margin 54-46
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 47-52
Bush margin 2004 57-43
Current opponents Jeff Miller
Demographics 25th most rural (56.1%)
Assessment Shuler seems to fit this district, looks pretty safe. Shuler has $1.4 million COH, Miller about $65K
District: NC-12
Location A really weird, snaky district, NC's "Black" district. Includes Charlotte and Winston Salem. It was the subject of 4 Supreme Court cases. Still, it borders the NC5,6,8,9, and 10th map
Cook PVI D + 16
Representative Melvin Watt (D)
VoteView 57.5
First elected 1992
2008 margin 72-28 against Ty Cobb
2006 margin 67-33
2004 margin 67-33
Obama margin 71-29
Bush margin 2004 37-63
Current opponents Greg Dorrity
Demographics 28th most Blacks (44.6%)
Assessment Safe. Watt has about $200K COH, no info on Dorrity
District: NC-13
Location Central part of northern NC, bordering VA map
Cook PVI D + 5
Representative Brad Miller (D)
VoteView 151
First elected 2002
2008 margin 66-34 against Hugh Webster
2006 margin 64-36
2004 margin 59-41
Obama margin 59-40
Bush margin 2004 47-52
Current opponents Bill Randall
Demographics Not unusual on what I track
Assessment Safe. Miller has $350K COH, Webster has little
District: ND-AL
Location The whole state map
Cook PVI R + 10
Representative Earl Pomeroy (D)
VoteView 194.5
First elected 1992
2008 margin 62-38 against Duane Sand
2006 margin 64-35
2004 margin 60-40
Obama margin 45-53
Bush margin 2004 63-36
Current opponents Rick Berg
Demographics 73rd most rural (44.2%), 18th fewest Blacks (0.6%), 33rd fewest Latinos (1.2%)
Assessment Safe. Pomeroy has $1.6 million COH, Berg about $750K, but that includes a $100K loan to himself