Question for Karl Rove: In a two-person runoff, how do you figure that both candidates combined will only get 93% of the vote?
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AR-Sen results updates:
New results here. Compare results to three weeks ago here.
Update I: With actual totals that add up to 100%, it's 52.6% for Lincoln and 47.4% for Halter with 14.2% of the precincts reporting. Lincoln's lead is about 4,000 votes at this point.
Update II: With 18.8% in, it's Lincoln 52.4% and Halter 47.6%.
Update III: With 19.6% in, it's Lincoln 51.9% and Halter 48.1%.
Update IV: With 26.7% in, it's Lincoln 52% and Halter 48%.
Update V: Ambinder tweets "Most of AR is early vote, so don't start extrpolating just yet." (Update: DavidNYC notes that it's 20% of the vote, which is substantial, but not most.)
Update VI: Nate Silver tweets: "Jefferson County has counted nearly all of its vote, and Halter is losing by 18 points there. He lost by 13 in May."
Update VII: 33.1% in, Lincoln 51.5%, Halter 48.5%.