According to the Cook Political Report, the Arkansas Senate campaign between Blanche Lincoln and John Boozman is a “toss-up.”
Like most toss-up campaigns, a new poll came out today showing one candidate ahead by 38 points:
Rasmussen, Arkansas Senate, 500 LVs, 8/18 (July numbers)
Boozman: 65% (60%)
Lincoln: 27% (35%)
Say what you want about Rasmussen, but it probably doesn’t have a 25-point pro-GOP house effect. Further, other recent, non-Rasmussen, non-Republican polls on this campaign showed Boozman up 19% and 25% in mid-July.
This campaign is a complete blowout. Why Cook still lists this campaign as a “toss-up” is anyone’s guess. Perhaps it is simply an administrative oversight.
Whatever the reason, it is unjustifiable. Cook needs to change the rating.