Continuing my series, what would happen if the size of the House were suddenly doubled to 870? Thanks to math from Marcus Graly, we can do that! In this diary Hawaii (4 Districts) and the Dakotas (2 each).
Previous diaries: NM, VT, DE and ID
Hawaii
Hawaii gets 4 districts. Also, it has no political data, so I'll mostly just be guessing.
District 1 (Blue)
VAP: 36.2 White, 8.7 Hispanic, 36.5 Asian, 17.7 Other
Bare plurality Asian. I'm guessing Other is Native Hawaiians? This district contains all of Hawaii, Maui and Kalawao Counties. This district is likely über-Democratic. Safe D
District 2 (Green)
VAP: 24.6 W, 9.3 H, 44.7 A, 18.8 O
Plurality Asian. Contains Kauai County as well as the Oahu portion. Colleen Hanabusa (D) lives in this district. Also likely Safe D
District 3 (Purple)
VAP: 21.8 W, 6.7 H, 53.6 A, 15.5 O
Majority Asian. Not much to say, likely very Safe D, especially in an Obama presidential year.
District 4 (Red)
VAP: 19.8 W, 62.8 A, 12.1 O
Majority Asian. Just looking at the placement compared to the current map, if there was any district Charles Djou would run in, it would either be this one or the 3rd. And he'd lose in both. Safe D
North Dakota
North Dakota gets 2 districts. Again, no political data.
District 1 (Blue)
VAP: 89.6 White, 4.8 Native
Fargo, Grand Forks and the Native American areas in the NE part of the state. No clue about a race rating, but it's more Democratic than the other district for sure. Former State Rep. Pam Gulleson (D), who is currently running for the at-large district, lives in this new district. Lean D?
District 2 (Green)
VAP: 92.4 W
This is actually the district containing the home of former Rep. Earl Pomeroy (D). If he ran, it would probably be tighter, but unlikely to elect a Democrat again otherwise. Safe R
South Dakota
South Dakota gets 2 districts. Finally, some political data! I gerrymandered accordingly ;)
District 1 (Blue)
VAP: 83.9 W, 10.2 Native
49.5 Obama
Ugly, ugly district that contains Sioux Falls and pretty much every Native American in the state. Unlike the current at-large district, which McCain won 53-44, Obama actually won this district, albeit with a plurality. Former Rep. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin's (D) home is in this district, and if she ran, she would win. Other than that, I'd call it Lean D
District 2 (Green)
VAP: 91.7 W
40.3 Obama
Resident and Rep. Kristi Noem (R) should be happy. Based in Rapid City, the district becomes 4 points safer for Republicans. Safe R
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So these three states should have delegations of 4-0, 1-1 and 1-1, respectively. Bringing the House of Representatives so far to 15-7-1. Please tip/rec and comment with your thoughts!