24 Republican.
2 Swing.
10 Democratic.
The actual map is here. Analysis below the fold.
This map absolutely sucks. There is only 1 Democratic district in Dallas-Fort Worth (just like now) and only 3 Democratic districts in Houston (just like now). We can get 3 and 4 there, respectively, easily. Central Texas has been gerrymandered to absolute hell. With Demographic changes, I could see maybe two or three other districts coming into play for us, but not very soon. I also would not be surprised if some Hispanic group goes to court over the VRA.
This map is only what appears to be the official map, but is backed up by the Texas Legislative Council's release of an incumbent list for the map (hat tip to Minnesota Mike).
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1: Blue/NE. Moves north a bit but still based in Tyler, Longview, Marshall and Nacogdoches. Loses Lufkin. Still very Republican. Incumbent: Gohmert (R).
2: Pink/SE. Similar to the current configuration as well. Still stretches from Harris county to Beaumont, but through Chambers county instead of Liberty. Very Republican. Incumbent: Poe (R)
4: Yellow/NE. Practically the same. Very Republican. Incumbent: Hall (R).
8: Orange/SE. Drastically shrinks in area, giving alot to the new 36th. Now just Montgomery and Liberty counties with a bit in Harris and a bit in San Jacinto. Very Republican. Incumbent: Brady (R).
11: Orange/NW. Extremely Republican, less gerrymandered appearance thankfully. Based in Midland, San Angelo, and the Hill Country. Incumbent: Conoway (R).
13: Red/NW. Extremely Republican, less gerrymandered appearance as well. Based in Wichita Falls and Amarillo. Incumbent: Thornberry (R).
14. Orange/Coastal. Moderately Republican. Shifted more into Houston than before. Incumbent: Ron Paul (R).
17: Yellow/Central. Extremely Republican. Similar configuration as currently. Based in Waco, Bryan-College Station, and Temple-Belton. Incumbent: Flores (R).
19: Pink/NW. Extremely Republican. Less gerrymandered. Based in Lubbock and Abilene. Incumbent: Neugebauer (R).
27: Yellow/Coastal. Moves much further north and abandons the Valley. Based in Corpus Christi and Galveston now. No longer majority Hispanic. Moderately Republican. Incumbent: Farenthold (R).
31: Red/Central. Williamson county. Based in Round Rock, Georgetown, and Fort Hood-Killeen. Moderately Republican. Incumbent: Carter (R).
35: Grey/SE. Based in Lufkin and Orange. Stretches hideously towards Dallas. Very Republican. No Incumbent.
3: Red/Dallas-side. Contracts around Plano due to growth. Very Republican Incumbent: Johnson (R)
5: Green/Dallas-side. Basically the same as current, loses some outlying area. Very Republican. Incumbent: Hensarling (R).
6: Pink/Tarrant-side. Basically the same as current, also loses some outlying area. Very Republican. Incumbent: Barton (R).
12: Orange/Tarrant-side. Contracts into Fort Worth. Moderately Republican. Incumbent: Granger (R).
24: Yellow/Central. Loses the southern half due to Hispanic growth, makes up for it by stretching into further in the Dallas core. Dummymander? Moderately Republican. Incumbent: Marchant (R).
26: Blue/Tarrant-side. Very similar to current, loses extreme north section. Extremely Republican. Incumbent: Burgess (R).
30: Red/Dallas-side. Very similar to current, shifts slightly west. Multi-racial. Extremely Democratic. Incumbent: Johnson (D).
32: Pink/Dallas-side. Rotated around Dallas to the north east to avoid Hispanic areas. Still very Republican. Incumbent: Sessions (R).
36: Green/Central-Tarrant-side. New district which may be the Hispanic majority district that has been written about. However, I very much doubt that it actually is Hispanic majority. I'm ranking this as moderately Republican.
7: Orange. Wow. Almost exactly the same. Literally. Dummymander? This district will be Hispanic majority VAP in a few years. Incumbent: Culberson (R).
9: Red. Also very similar. Multi-racial. Very Democratic: Incumbent: Green (D).
18: Green. Almost exactly the same as current. Very Democratic multi-racial district. Incumbent: Jackson-Lee (D).
22: Green. Loses everything outside of Fort Bend county has and gains some small sections of Harris county and the rest of Fort Bend county. Moderately Republican. Incumbent: Olson (R).
29: Blue. Still a Hispanic majority vote sink with a white Democratic incumbent: Green (D).
10: Blue. Incredible dummymander here. Still stretches from Houston to Austin. Will continue its trend toward Democratic. Incumbent: McCaul (R).
21: Orange. I absolutely totally nailed this (26th). Lamar Smith's district now stretches from San Antonio to Austin. I believe Lloyd Doggett also lives in this district, but will probably run in the 25th. Moderately Republican. Incumbent: Smith (R).
23: Green. This is a hideous construction. Absolutely fucking hideous. Moderately Republican dummymander. Incumbent: Canseco (R).
25: Yellow. Hispanic majority district whose incumbent probably doesn't live in the district and who is white. Moderately Democratic. Incumbent: Doggett (D).
20: Grey. San Antonio's vote sink majority Hispanic district. Incumbent: Gonzalez (D).
33: Red. New Hispanic majority district. Moderately Republican to swing I'd bet, surprisingly, as it takes in Odessa and the western portions of Bexar County. This is the new 23rd, basically. It does have half of Laredo, though, so maybe more Democratic than I'm giving it credit for.
16: Pink/El Paso. Extremely Democratic. Hispanic majority. Based in El paso. Incumbent: Reyes (D).
15: Pink/Fajita Strip. Heavily Democratic. Hispanic majority. Based in Weslaco. Incumbent: Hinojosa (D).
28: Green/Fajita Strip. Heavily Democratic. Hispanic majority. Based in McAllen and Edinburgh. Loses Bexar County sections and part of Laredo. Incumbent: Cuellar (D).
34: Grey/Fajita Strip. Heavily Democratic. Hispanic majority. Based in Brownsville and Harlingen. Loses the sections of Corpus Christi responsible for our loss there in 2010.