As promised by David and Steve, we'll roll out updated Presidential results by new Congressional District as we get around to crunching them.
Not to disappoint, here's Indiana (full sheet here):
We also managed to do a quick population distribution analysis between old and new CDs, the results of which are below:
Here's how to read the table - looking at IN-01 for the 113th (top row), 90.09% of the population was in the old IN-01, and the remaining 9.91% of the population was in the old IN-02. The brown figures along the diagonal are the "retention" percentages - e.g., 90.09% of Pete Visclosky's new constituents were retained from his old district.
Looking briefly at these figures, I'd be very worried if I were Dan Burton - not only did his district jump 6% in Obama performance, 37% of his constituents are new to him. Given his absolutely pathetic performance in primaries past (30% in 2010...), the lack of familiarity among these new voters might just be enough to topple him in the primary. All but two districts got some piece of the old 5th. Mike Pence's IN-06 has changed the most (only 59% retention), but with Pence vacating the seat to run for governor, he won't be affected by the reshuffling.
Also noteworthy is that Joe Donnelly's district has shifted to a razor-thin Obama win, and that was with Obama's massive overperformance in the northeastern part of the state - running for Senate is probably a smart choice. Baron Hill's (FINE, Todd Young's) IN-09 shifts a few points to the right, while Brad Ellsworth's IN-08 (I know, Larry Bucshon) swings a few fractions of a percent towards us.
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