The results of PPP's polling are out (below), but as you can see from previous tweets from PPP:
ppppolls PublicPolicyPolling
Weiner's favorability in NY-9 is now 29/53. That can't be helping Weprin's prospects either.
ppppolls PublicPolicyPolling
Weiner's favorability in NY-9 is now 29/53. That can't be helping Weprin's prospects either.
10 minutes ago
ppppolls PublicPolicyPolling
22% of Jewish voters in NY-9 approve of Obama's handling of Israel. 68% disapprove
13 minutes ago
ppppolls PublicPolicyPolling
37% in NY-9 say Israel 'very important' to their votes. They support Turner over Weprin 71-22.
18 minutes ago
ppppolls PublicPolicyPolling
Turner's favorability spread is 45/30. Those are really good numbers. As much mockery as he's received, he's proven to be a strong candidate
25 minutes ago
ppppolls PublicPolicyPolling
Weprin actually has positive favorability numbers. If Dems lose this race blaming it on Weprin is an excuse and ignores the bigger issues
44 minutes ago
ppppolls PublicPolicyPolling
Obama's approval in NY-9 is 31/56. Amazingly bad in a district where he won 55% of the vote.
46 minutes ago
ppppolls PublicPolicyPolling
Our final polls for NY-9 (roughly 11 PM) and NV-2 (roughly 1 AM) will be out tonight. Those times are Eastern.
11 hours ago
Weprin might as well put himself in the toaster and turn it on high. Here is the beginning of PPP's writeup
Republican Bob Turner is poised to pull a huge upset in the race to replace Anthony Weiner as the Congressman from New York's 9th Congressional District. He leads Democrat David Weprin 47-41 with Socialist Workers candidate Christopher Hoeppner at 4% and 7% of voters remaining undecided.
Turner's winning in a heavily Democratic district for two reasons: a huge lead with independents and a large amount of crossover support. He's ahead by 32 points at 58-26 with voters unaffiliated with either major party. And he's winning 29% of the Democratic vote, holding Weprin under 60% with voters of his own party, while losing just 10% of Republican partisans.
If Turner wins on Tuesday it will be largely due to the incredible unpopularity of Barack Obama dragging his party down in the district. Obama won 55% there in 2008 but now has a staggeringly bad 31% approval rating, with 56% of voters disapproving of him. It's a given that Republicans don't like him but more shocking are his 16% approval rating with independents and the fact that he's below 50% even with Democrats at 46% approving and 38% disapproving. Obama trails Mitt Romney 46-42 in a hypothetical match up in the district and leads Rick Perry only 44-43.
When Democrats could use every voice and vote they have to have any chance of getting a jobs bill through the Republican House, this is not the news the President is looking for as a battle with Congress looms.
More from PPP on what's happening in NY 09:
The issue of Israel does appear to be having a major impact on this race. A plurality of voters- 37%- said that Israel was 'very important' in determining their votes. Turner is winning those folks by an amazing 71-22 margin. With everyone who doesn't say Israel is a very important issue for them Weprin actually leads 52-36. Turner is in fact winning the Jewish vote by a 56-39 margin, very unusual for a Republican candidate...
There is no enthusiasm gap here. Obama voters are showing up in the same numbers they did in 2008. But only 65% of them are voting Democratic. That's a really big cause for concern.
8:21 PM PT:
If the candidates for President next year were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?
Barack Obama 42%
MItt Romney 46%
Undecided 12%
8:25 PM PT:
Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?
Legal 41%
Illegal 45%
Not sure 14%
..........................................................
How important was the issue of same-sex marriage in deciding who to vote for Congress: very important, somewhat important, or not all that important?
Very important 29%
Somewhat important 26%
Not all that important 44%
Not sure 1%
8:31 PM PT: Zounds
Democrat 59%
Republican 25%
I/Other 15%