I am just starting to look at this, but wanted to get the word out. I expect weatherdude will be along a bit later. This is a bit hit and run, will evaluate as the day progresses. More below the squiggle.
This is a map of the long track tornado probabilities this afternoon.
This is an overlay of the current Storm Prediction Center forecast, the red crosses represent areas already hit a few days ago. This is not pretty.
Still early in the day, looks like it may be a long one for the Ohio Valley.
Update #1
This is a surface map I threw together based on data from 10:00AM CST
Update #2
Tornado warnings up in TN
WWUS54 KMRX 021706
SVSMRX
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1106 AM CST FRI MAR 2 2012
TNC065-115-021730-
O.CON.KMRX.TO.W.0014.000000T0000Z-120302T1730Z
HAMILTON TN-MARION TN-
1106 AM CST FRI MAR 2 2012
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 AM CST/1230 PM EST/
FOR MARION AND HAMILTON COUNTIES...
AT 1101 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR JASPER...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.
LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
WHITWELL...MARTIN SPRINGS AND POWELLS CROSSROADS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY REINFORCED
BUILDING. AS A LAST RESORT...SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...DITCH OR LOW
SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CST FRIDAY
AFTERNOON/400 PM EST FRIDAY AFTERNOON/ FOR CENTRAL TENNESSEE.
&&
LAT...LON 3498 8586 3499 8587 3514 8587 3524 8544
3520 8540 3513 8540 3507 8539 3503 8543
3497 8550
TIME...MOT...LOC 1706Z 243DEG 50KT 3515 8561
$$
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WFUS54 KMRX 021649
TORMRX
TNC065-115-021730-
O.NEW.KMRX.TO.W.0014.120302T1649Z-120302T1730Z
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1049 AM CST FRI MAR 2 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
HAMILTON COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
MARION COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
* UNTIL 1130 AM CST/1230 PM EST/
* AT 1045 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 12 MILES WEST OF
SOUTH PITTSBURG...OR 13 MILES NORTHWEST OF BRIDGEPORT. DOPPLER
RADAR SHOWED THIS TORNADO MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
JASPER...SOUTH PITTSBURG...WHITWELL...ORME...HALETOWN (GUILD)...
MARTIN SPRINGS AND POWELLS CROSSROADS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR...IT MEANS
THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY
ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU
ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...MOVE INDOORS AND TO THE
LOWEST LEVEL OF THE BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF DRIVING...DO
NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS.
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CST FRIDAY
AFTERNOON/400 PM EST FRIDAY AFTERNOON/ FOR CENTRAL TENNESSEE.
&&
LAT...LON 3498 8586 3499 8587 3514 8587 3524 8544
3520 8540 3513 8540 3507 8539 3503 8543
3497 8550
TIME...MOT...LOC 1649Z 243DEG 50KT 3504 8587
$$
323
Update #3
Latest PDS Tornado watch issued
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/...
Update #4
TOR warnings in MO bootheel heading into IN
Update #5
Surface map based on 12:00 CST data
Update #6
This is storm relative velocity showing an area of rotation south of Evanston, IN.
Update #7
This is the storm above, base reflectivity from Louisville
Update #8
1:14PM CST radar from Louisville with warnings below.
WFUS53 KLMK 021916
TORLMK
INC025-117-022000-
O.NEW.KLMK.TO.W.0041.120302T1916Z-120302T2000Z
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
216 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN CRAWFORD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA...
ORANGE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA...
* UNTIL 300 PM EST...
* AT 214 PM EST...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD
ACROSS SOUTHERN DUBOIS COUNTY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL ALSO IMPACT...
PAOLI...
ENGLISH...
RICEVILLE AND ECKERTY...
TASWELL AND MIFFLIN...
FARGO AND ETHEL...
VALEENE AND BACON...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO
THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING
DEBRIS.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN LOUISVILLE.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...CALL TOLL
FREE AT...1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.
&&
LAT...LON 3869 8636 3869 8631 3835 8632 3826 8668
3869 8669 3869 8668
TIME...MOT...LOC 1915Z 240DEG 50KT 3830 8672
$$
AL
Update #9
Knoxville, TN radar with warnings.
WFUS52 KGSP 021929
TORGSP
NCC075-173-022030-
O.NEW.KGSP.TO.W.0004.120302T1929Z-120302T2030Z
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
229 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN GRAHAM COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
SWAIN COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
* UNTIL 330 PM EST
* AT 224 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 4 MILES
NORTHWEST OF FONTANA VILLAGE...OR 11 MILES NORTH OF ROBBINSVILLE...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NEWFOUND GAP...
SMOKEMONT...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES SHOULD BE ABANDONED FOR STURDIER SHELTER.
OTHERWISE...GO TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST LEVEL OF YOUR HOME
OR PLACE OF BUSINESS. MAKE SURE THERE ARE AS MANY WALLS AND FLOORS
BETWEEN YOU AND THE OUTSIDE AS POSSIBLE.
IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO THREAT...DAMAGING HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
GOLF BALLS WILL PRECEDE THE TORNADO. WIND DRIVEN HAIL OF THIS SIZE
POSES A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF INJURY AND DAMAGE. MOBILE HOMES AND
VEHICLES SHOULD BE ABANDONED FOR STURDIER SHELTER. OTHERWISE...GO TO
AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST LEVEL OF YOUR HOME OR PLACE OF
BUSINESS.
TO REPORT TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...OR FLOODING...
THROUGH OUR AUTOMATED REPORTING SYSTEM...CALL OUR TOLL FREE NUMBER...
1 8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.
&&
LAT...LON 3553 8388 3553 8383 3557 8377 3558 8360
3557 8349 3562 8344 3567 8334 3566 8330
3569 8327 3569 8323 3556 8316 3551 8318
3552 8324 3549 8329 3538 8387 3548 8392
TIME...MOT...LOC 1929Z 245DEG 52KT 3551 8378
$$
LG