unless they continue to receive those bribes up until one week before election day.
Er, um, that's my opinion as to the unusual lopsided Romney bias in Gallup's polls. Gallup will return to reasonable poll results just in time to reclaim its "long history and special prominence" - a quote from Huffington Post article.
The most shocking aspect of Gallup's strategic poll stretch is how the mainstream media casually let's Gallup get away with the obvious Romney bias. I suppose its in the same vein as letting Romney and Ryan get away with obvious lies...or non-truths, as it were.
My take away from the news articles below is that Gallup's polling is a psych ops operation conducted on behalf of the Republican party. No doubt Gallup's black-book (real polling results) indicates that Romney has already lost due to the president's lead by a 2 to 1 margin in the early vote totals. In addition, Obama still leads in 8 out of 10 battleground state polls.
In an ironic twist, a recent Gallup poll suggests that the unemployment rate is collapsing.
Below the fold is a slew of quotes I think summarizes the state of the election at this moment in time - including quotes and links.
"If one poll produces results that are at odds with nine others -- for whatever reason and no matter who produced it -- that one poll is probably off."
The reason behind Gallup’s jarring poll numbers: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/...
[…] Before examining the Gallup Poll, it may be worth considering some general advice: If one poll produces results that are at odds with nine others -- for whatever reason and no matter who produced it -- that one poll is probably off.
Many find that advice difficult to take given Gallup's long history and special prominence. So why is the Gallup result so different?
The most obvious answer is its likely voter model, which has helped produce large and seemingly inexplicable shifts and differences with other polls in the past.
"Obama continues to lead by statistically meaningful margins of 2 percentage points or better in states like Ohio, Nevada, Wisconsin and Iowa. These states would combine to give Obama a total of 277 electoral votes..."
2012 Polls Offer Mixed Message: Barack Obama Holds Edge In Swing States, Close Contest Nationwide: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/...
[…] Collectively, the new polls do little to change the Pollster tracking model estimates of the current polling snapshot in the battleground states. Obama continues to lead by statistically meaningful margins of 2 percentage points or better in states like Ohio, Nevada, Wisconsin and Iowa. These states would combine to give Obama a total of 277 electoral votes (seven more than needed to win) when combined with other states showing him leading by larger margins.
[…] In addition, the tracking model continues to show Obama with narrower advantages in New Hampshire and Colorado, but tied or slightly behind in Virginia, Florida and North Carolina.
The new polls are just beginning to capture sentiment measured after the second debate. New surveys released over the weekend should begin to clarify whether any new trends will emerge.
"It gets weirder: [...] — Obama is winning the West (+6), the East (+4), and the Midwest (+4). The only region he’s losing is the South. But he’s losing the South, among likely voters, by 22 points"...
About that Gallup poll: Is Romney really up by 7? And will Obama win the election anyway? http://www.washingtonpost.com/...
[…] It gets weirder: Dig into the poll, and you’ll find that in the most recent internals they’ve put on their Web site — which track from 10/9-10/15 — Obama is winning the West (+6), the East (+4), and the Midwest (+4). The only region he’s losing is the South. But he’s losing the South, among likely voters, by 22 points. That’s enough, in Gallup’s poll, for him to be behind in the national vote. But it’s hard to see how that puts him behind in the electoral college.
"This week Obama has either maintained or widened his lead in most of the ten swing states."
Updated Obama versus Romney polls in the 10 key battleground states: http://www.examiner.com/...
This week Obama has either maintained or widened his lead in most of the ten swing states. Romney is still winning Florida and North Carolina, but Obama is winning Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Iowa, and Nevada. Colorado and Virginia could best be described as a tie at this point. Almost all of these polls do not include any bump Obama may have received from his win in the second presidential debate on Tuesday night.
"U.S. unemployment, as measured by Gallup without seasonal adjustment, is 7.3% in mid-October, down considerably from 7.9% at the end of September"...
Gallup: The Unemployment Rate Is Collapsing: http://www.businessinsider.com/...
WASHINGTON, D.C. -- U.S. unemployment, as measured by Gallup without seasonal adjustment, is 7.3% in mid-October, down considerably from 7.9% at the end of September and at a new low since Gallup began collecting employment data in January 2010. Gallup's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate is 7.7%, also down from September. October's adjusted mid-month measure is also more than a percentage point lower than October 2011.