Nate Silver telling us not what we want to hear today but maybe tomorrow.
Here's the link
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/...
First: I have never been to Arizona.My only connection is from the Navajo Silversmiths who make the concho belts, bolo ties and, colar points I use to wear. The Navjao are not well respected as are
Why Arizona Isn’t a Battleground State (and Why It May Be Soon)
From Nate Silver:
But the idea that Arizona would be a battleground in 2012 made some sense. President Obama made substantial gains in the Southwest in 2008, carrying three of Arizona’s neighbors — Nevada, Colorado and New Mexico — that had voted Republican in 2004. Arizona was the exception, but Mr. Obama had a good excuse: there was an Arizonan on the ballot, Senator John McCain.
In addition, Democrats have some advantages in the Grand Canyon State. It is almost one-third Hispanic, the fourth-highest share in the nation, and polls show Latinos favoring Mr. Obama over Mr. Romney by about two to one. Arizona is also the ninth-most-urban state by population, with a majority of its residents clustered in and around Phoenix.
Nonetheless, Arizona simply isn’t that near to the tipping point. In a presidential election that is at all close nationally — and the 2012 race is certainly close — Arizona is not a truly competitive state, yet. (More on that yet in a moment.)
Hispanics may comprise about 30 percent of the state, but they make up 25 percent of the state’s voting-age population, because they skew much younger than non-Hispanic whites. In addition, roughly one-third of Arizona Latinos are undocumented and cannot vote. Even among Hispanics who can vote, turnout has lagged behind that of non-Hispanic whites.
So In conclusion, I am not sure what we can do to facilitate this change. I pray and celebrate the day when Arizona turns blue and two of my favorite cultures (Navajo and Latino) define the culture and politics of Arizona Janet Brewer, Sheriff Joe Arpaio rot in hell!!
Now some music calexico multicultural Arizona band
One tune is not enough!