You'd probably laugh at me.
Vermilion County, Illinois is very conservative, by Illinois standards. I've seen one of the local Tea Party activists sporting a "Ted Nugent for President" bumper sticker on his truck, and the teabaggers around here just love our rabidly right-wing Republican state representative, Chad Hays.
You'd think that Democrats have zero chance of winning the Vermilion County Recorder of Deeds's office, right? WRONG!
Democrats have recruited a top-tier candidate for the Recorder of Deeds race here in Vermilion County: Niki Bogart, the financial services director of the Vermilion County Board. Bogart's current office is basically a county-level equivalent of the Congressional Budget Office.
Republicans, on the other hand, have recruited a local Tea Party darling, Tom O'Shaughnessy. In the only mailer I have received from O'Shaughnessy's campaign, he talked about "limited government", which is a clear indication that O'Shaughnessy is a Tea Party hack.
While O'Shaughnessy is favored to win, we actually have two Democrats who currently hold county-level office in Vermilion County: county clerk Lynn Foster and county auditor Laura Lucas. Foster won re-election to a four-year term to the county clerk's office in 2010 by ONE VOTE, and Lucas, despite having a D beside her name, is completely unopposed in the county auditor's race this cycle thanks to a spectacular failure by the normally strong Vermilion County GOP machine to recruit a candidate to run against Lucas!
It wouldn't be unprecedented if Bogart defeated O'Shaughnessy, but she can do it!