The Nevada SOS website has updated their numbers to include mail-in ballots from yesterday. This will be my final update for Nevada before election day.
As of now 701,845 ballots have been cast in Nevada prior to election day. Early in-person voting ended yesterday, but of course election officials will still be getting absentee ballots in the mail on Monday and Tuesday and probably after that.
701,845 votes constitute 55.81% of the 1,257,621 active registered voters in Nevada and
72.53% of the 970,019 votes that were cast in the 2008 election in Nevada.
In 2008, according to Mr. Michael McDonald, 648,903 voted in Nevada by mail or in person prior to election day. That constituted 53.72% of the then 1,207,761 active registered voters in Nevada, so we can clearly see that turnout has gone up in the early/absentee voting since 2008 even as a percentage of active voters.
Here is the breakdown by party:
Dems 307,877 (43.87%)
Reps 259,913 (37.03%)
Inds 134,055 (19.10%)
TOTAL 701,845
We lead the overall ballot count by 6.84% which is only slightly smaller than the overall 7.2% advantage we hold over Republicans among active voters statewide. And the nice thing is that we did have that big uptick on the last day of early voting. I think we will be just fine and don't forget that according to that article that Kos posted earlier, "Nevada is off the table" according to the Romney campaign, which has clearly conceded the state to Obama.
Now, unfortunately, I have not been able to find statistics for the final early voting proportions (D vs. R) from 2008 for Nevada but what I can remind you of is that Dems were only leading Reps 44% to 40% through the early voting period during Harry's Reid's 2010 campaign. And he ended up winning by about six points. So we seem to be in good shape in Nevada.
We are going to win Nevada.