According to the latest poll by Latino Decisions, Obama has only gained ground among Latinos, besting Romney 70% to 22%. Moreover, among Latino voters who took part in the 2008 election, Obama crushes Romney 72% to 20%.
The poll also reveals that there are a lot more Republican Latinos crossing over for Obama than there are Democratic Latinos crossing over for Romney.
Two concerns for Romney may (be) that 13% of self-identified Latino Republicans say they will cross-over and vote for Obama and 60% of Independents plan to vote for Obama. In contrast only 2% of Democrats say they plan to vote for Romney.
Yikes! So I guess that means the xenophobic, batshite crazy wing of the Republican Party isn't exactly helping Romney make inroads within the greater Latino community.
The people who conducted the poll do caution, however, that Latino turnout will need to be somewhat high in order to help Obama get reelected.
The lingering question now, is not whether Obama will win the Latino vote – he is poised to win it big, but rather whether Latino voter turnout matches or exceeds the record levels in 2008, or if Latino enthusiasm will be low and turnout mediocre at best. Even with a big margin among Latinos, if turnout is low Obama could fare poorly in many battleground states where Latinos are a large portion of the electorate (for more, see different turnout simulations and scenarios at LatinoVoteMap).
Here is a link to the article:
http://www.latinodecisions.com/...