PPP's first poll post Rayan selection in the Badger state has the R ticket up by 1. Statistically insignificant but per Nate's house effect of PPP by 2 points then theoretically with margin of error safe to assume that we are down by about 2.
We were up by an avg of 3.5 points in RCP http://www.realclearpolitics.com/... before this.
Nothing to sweat about at this stage as a 2-3 points home state VP pick bounce was expected, i would worry if it goes to 5-6 points post Tampa as then resources will have to go there.
On top of it the student heavy population of Madison will be returning to school this week in full strength so numbers on our side are bound to go up. Surely WI will be a little more competitive in the next few weeks until Ryan's medicare plan is fully outlined in the ads for being a trap for the seniors and we can see his numbers go down.