Gubernatorial candidate Mark Schauer (D. MI)
PPP's final poll on the Governor races in Florida, Illinois and Michigan. First Florida:
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/...
Florida is the closest. Rick Scott and Charlie Crist both have 44%, with Libertarian Adrian Wyllie polling at 6%. PPP usually has a policy of not releasing poll results to the decimal, but when we find a tie on our final poll of the cycle somewhere we make an exception. Crist is at 44.0% to 43.8% for Scott- in terms of raw respondents to the poll that's 526 for Crist and 524 for Scott. Wyllie may be playing a spoiler role for Crist's hopes of defeating Scott- those saying they support Wyllie would prefer Crist to Scott by 25 points, 43/18. In a straight head to head contest Crist leads Scott 47/46.
Scott (41/48 approval rating) and Crist (40/47 favorability rating) are nearly identically unpopular. They've gone in very different directions over the course of this election cycle. Scott's net approval rating has improved by 17 points from the -24 spread at 33/57 that we found for him in January 2013. Crist's net favorability rating has declined by 18 points from the +11 spread at 49/38 that he began with at the start of last year. Crist may win yet but it's ended up being a much more competitive race than it looked like it might be at the beginning of the cycle. - PPP, 11/2/14
Illinois:
Pat Quinn is one of the most unpopular Governors in the country. Only 31% of voters approve of the job he's doing to 54% who disapprove. But he's still clinging to a slight lead for reelection over Republican challenger Bruce Rauner, 47/45. Only 58% of Democrats approve of the job Quinn is doing, but 83% are nevertheless voting for him. Rauner is under water on his favorability but still in much better standing than Quinn, at 39/42. This is a race where the Libertarian candidate could play spoiler for GOP hopes. Chad Grimm is only polling at 3%, but those voting for him say they would pick Rauner over Quinn 54/14. In a head to head without him Quinn and Rauner would be tied at 48. - PPP, 11/2/14
Michigan:
In Michigan Rick Snyder is clinging to a 46/45 lead over Mark Schauer. Our polling in this race has been remarkably consistent since Labor Day. Snyder has led by 1 points, 2 points, 1 point, been tied, and now he leads by 1 point on our final poll. Supporters of the third party candidates and leaners prefer Schauer over Snyder by 12 points though, so in a straight head to head contest they are tied at 47. After being under water for most of the election cycle on his approval, Snyder's final numbers come in at 46% approve and 45% disapprove, mirroring his one point lead. - PPP, 11/2/14
Anything can happen on Tuesday in these races and that's why GOTV is so important. Click here to help out with GOTV efforts for Charlie Crist (D. FL), Pat Quinn (D. IL) and Mark Schauer (D. MI):
http://www.charliecrist.com/
https://www.quinnforillinois.com/...
http://markschauer.com/