Well, some good news for Democrats today. President Obama's approval numbers have hit a 2-year high. More importantly, the President's approval numbers have officially gone above fifty percent. Why is that?
According to Republican pollster Frank Luntz, no president with an approval rating below 50% has passed the torch to someone in his party in more than seven decades:
More good omens for Democrats below.
This is old news and, importantly, predates the rise of the Donald. Nevertheless, Moody's Analytics predicts a landslide election victory for Democrats in 2016. Why is Moody's a better predictor than any other polling firm?
The Moody's Analytics Presidential Election model forecasts whether or not the incumbent party will maintain control over the White House using a mixture of economic, demographic and political data. The model successfully predicts every election back to 1980, including a perfect electoral vote prediction in the 2012 election.
Has perfectly predicted every election since 1980? Perfect electoral vote prediction in the 2012 election? That even beats Nate Silver.
Keep fighting my friends, but don't fight in despair. Know that we have a fantastic chance with our first female president (or our first Jewish Socialist president) next year. Plus the idea of the Donald burning out in a ball of impotent fury? Oh, I'm already heating up the Orville Redenbacher.