Has it been two weeks since the last one of these? So, here are the trend lines of our community’s look into the Democratic presidential primary:
|
12/1 |
11/17 |
11/3 |
10/20 |
9/29 |
9/15 |
9/1 |
8/19 |
8/5 |
7/21 |
7/9 |
6/23 |
6/9 |
SANDERS |
60 |
57 |
65 |
53 |
62 |
62 |
58 |
58 |
58 |
57 |
67 |
63 |
69 |
CLINTON |
38 |
41 |
32 |
41 |
29 |
29 |
34 |
34 |
35 |
36 |
29 |
31 |
24 |
OTHER |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
? |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
N=
(1,000S)
|
9 |
11.5 |
12.3 |
8 |
7.8 |
7.2 |
7.4 |
7.5 |
8.1 |
7.1 |
7.4 |
8 |
14.2
|
You can assume that anything significantly above 8,000 votes is the effect of outside freeping (bringing in people from outside the community to influence the results of the poll). We saw heavy freeping of this poll in November, not so much two weeks ago. So we can confidently say that the afterglow of Hillary Clinton’s first debate and Benghazi committee performances has faded, and the original 3-2 Sanders advantage within this community has returned.
But we are seeing quite a bit of volatility, more so than we saw most of the year. So let’s see how things stand today. Vote!