So Michael McDonald does a great job tracking early voting for states across the country and he just tweeted the following out about Florida absentee ballot statistics as of today:
So, based on these numbers, the Florida GOP advantage in absentee ballots is gone. Based on polling, Hillary has about a 4% lead in Florida. If HRC’s GOTV operation has successfully eliminated the Florida GOP’s absentee ballot advantage, then a 4% win looks much more probable.
Also, this is before Early in person voting starts in Florida, which is where Democrats usually catch up to absentee ballots. If they are already tied, then Hillary has a great chance of keeping Florida blue.