I am writing this to you before VA in person absentee voting ends. The numbers look incredible in regards to number of votes coming in and the numbers coming from the Northern VA area.
As always the numbers I use come form the Virginia Public Access Project and they have recorded the absentee votes cast as of 11-4-16 at 9AM. I have bolded that because the past two diaries the numbers were taken after 5PM on 11/1 and 11/3. I wrote the diary of the 11/3 numbers around mid afternoon on 11-4 so we still have the 11-4 numbers along with anything that is handed in today the last day of in person absentee voting. Onto the numbers..
Total votes cast as of 11-4 at 9AM 431,680 which is an increase of 35,644 from the last report. If these numbers do not include the votes cast by 5PM on 11-4 and we don’t have the 11/5 numbers yet I think the possibility of topping 2008’s absentee total of 506,672 is not out of the question.
As of the 11-4 numbers, the DC suburb area stands (counties of Fairfax and Arlington along with the cities of Alexandria, Falls Church, and Fairfax City) at 141,472. In 2012 we got to 133,090 and 2008 we got to 154,959. I think with at least two more days the 2008 number should be reached.
For the exurbs (counties of Loudoun and Prince William along with the cities of Manasass Park and Manasass City) the 2016 numbers are at 60860 and that tops both 2008 with 51203 and 2012’s 51286.
The total for the DC and exurbs stands at 202,340 which is about 19% of what the total number of votes that were cast in 2012.
As of the 11/1 Washington Post poll that was broken down by specific regions Clinton should have an estimated lead of about 60833 in the DC suburbs and 4261 from the exurbs for a 65094 estimated lead. This is about 28% of the total margin of the NOVA area from 2012.
Hope to update with the total numbers soon. Here is the VPAP site if anyone wants to take a look.
www.vpap.org/...