First Diary Ever!
I have a serious question. There is a general consensus among Bernie supporters that there is about to be a giant shift away from Hillary and towards Bernie in the Democratic Primary. And in many cases they cite ARIZONA as the state where it will begin to fall apart for Hillary.
I acknowledge there are some good states coming for Bernie (smaller states, caucus states, red states, the northwest). But polling shows a clear and substantial lead for Hillary in Arizona. Combine the polling with the fact that 14% of the Arizona electorate in over 65 and 30% of the electorate is Hispanic… it seems like Arizona will clearly be “Clinton Country”.
Arizona Democratic Presidential Primary
I know there are only two polls: one in November and one last week (before Hillary’s Tuesday sweep). But both polls show a pretty static picture in Arizona. Hillary is 25+ points ahead in both polls. There are only 5 days to the Arizona primary. Why the over-sized optimism from the Bernie campaign? Am I missing some important data?