Clinton’s national lead remains a healthy +12.
www.nbcnews.com/...
Sanders gained +1, but he didn't increase his overall support. His +1 gain came at the expense of Clinton’s -1 loss from last week’s tracking poll.
Clinton 53% - 41%
Since Clinton’s 5-state sweep last week, more Democratic-leaning voters now think Clinton will be the nominee. That’s a +7 increase since last week.
Though Clinton did not see a rise in those committed to voting for her, nearly eight in 10 Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters now think she will win the Democratic nomination for president, which represents a 61 point margin over Sanders. This is a 7-point increase from the previous week before her string of victories on March 15.
Young people continue to be more enthusiastic for Sanders, but all age groups still think Clinton will be the nominee and this includes young people.
Though registered Democrats across all age groups say they think Clinton will win the nomination, Sanders' key supporters — voters under age 30 — are much more optimistic that Sanders can win the nomination than voters older than 30.
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Clinton still maintains a formidable pledged delegate lead, +321. Congratulations to Senator Sanders for his win with Democrats Abroad. This netted Sanders a +5 net gain (9 - 4).
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...
FiveThirtyEight current pledged delegate totals: Clinton 1,176 - Sanders 855
Tonight’s contests will be very interesting. If Clinton can win in Arizona, she could offset Sanders likely gains in Idaho and Utah. 131 delegates are up for grabs.
Clinton’s pledged delegate target tonight is, 57. Sanders target is, 74.
It’s all about pledged delegates now and all Clinton really needs to do is keep the margin of victory down in states Sanders is favored to do well in and offset those gains in states she's favored to do well in.
Tonight Arizona is key for Sanders, because he has to start winning all contests with healthy margins to start making real inroads into Clinton’s formidable lead.
Another interesting election night is upon us.