The data is VERY clear. Only Bernie Sanders is inspiring the larger voter turnouts that will be key to winning the general election. Clinton is facing very low enthusiasm and voter turnouts that would be disastrous for Democrats up and down the ticket nationwide in November. The turnout numbers are compared to Barack Obama's epic wave primary in 2008, which is a high bar, but only Bernie is competing with that or surpassing it.
The straight blue line in the chart indicates the turnout trendline for easier comparison. If you average the numbers, in states Bernie wins, he wins by an average of 36% with a -6% turnout, the close states have Bernie losing by 2% and -6% turnout, and in Clinton states she is winning by 37% with average turnouts of -32%.
The averages for each category is (% +/- 2008, Bernie win %):
Total Average -18 2
Average Bernie -6 36
Average Close -18 -2
Average Clinton -32 -37
Data for each state (% +/- 2008, Bernie win %)
Vermont -13 72
Alaska 20 64
Utah -41 59
Idaho 13 57
Washington -7 46
Hawaii -10 40
Kansas 6 34
Maine -1 29
Minnesota -3 24
New Hampshire -13 22
Colorado 3 19
Wisconsin -10 14
Nebraska -13 14
Oklahoma -20 10
Iowa -29 -0.2
Missouri -24 -0.2
Massachusetts -4 -1
Illinois -3 -2
Nevada -29 -5
North Carolina -29 -14
Ohio -46 -14
Arizona -10 -18
Virginia -21 -29
Texas -50 -32
Tennessee -41 -34
Arkansas -31 -36
Georgia -28 -43
South Carolina -31 -48
Louisiana -19 -48
Alabama -26 -59
Mississippi -49 -66
Note- Florida and Michigan left off this list because of their anomalous 2008 status. If anyone is stellar at making charts that are less fugly, have at it.
ONLY Bernie Sanders is generating the turnout Democrats need to win up and down the ticket this fall. If we want a wave election, we need to consolidate behind Bernie immediately!
Volunteer to activate other Bernie supporters:
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Bernie Phonebankathon BerniePB.com
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Visit Bernie’s Volunteer HubBernieSanders.com/...
Bernie's Volunteer Toolkit www.bernkit.com
Register new voters immediately!
How to register to vote for BernieVoteForBernie.org
How to vote for Bernie in each stateVote.BernieSanders.com
Other ways to help:
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