What a surprise in Wyoming for Hillary Clinton! Senator Sanders has won, but she has exceeded her FiveThirtyEight pledged delegate target! Right now the New York Times is showing a 7 - 7 delegate split. No net gain for Sanders.
www.nytimes.com/…
FiveThirtyEight has updated its delegate tracker to reflect the 7 - 7 split. Clinton’s lead is +212 and now with Wyoming’s 14 delegates off the board, there are 1,647 pledged delegates remaining to allocate and just 20 contest left.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/…
Let’s look at the percentage of remaining delegates Sanders needed to win after Wisconsin and now after Wyoming. He is actually falling behind. The percentage of remaining delegates Sanders needs has actually increased after Wyoming’s even split.
If you’re a Clinton fan, Wyoming’s results are a pledged delegate win!
The race after Wisconsin
- Sanders needed 56.42% (937) of the remaining 1,661 delegates
The race after Wyoming
- Sanders now needs 56.47% (930) of the remaining 1,647 delegates
Up next is New York’s closed primary and it’s very favorable demographics for the Clinton campaign. Folks will make the argument that Sanders has the momentum, but this race isn't about momentum. If this were the case, Clinton’s Super Tuesday 2 five state sweep would have helped her in the last several contests and it didn't.
This is a contest that favors one candidate or the other mostly depending on demographics. The race is now moving into favorable terrain for the Clinton campaign. That’s great news for Hillary Clinton!