1. A full 83% of Millennials Intend to Vote, and Hillary's Got the Edge
With Bernie out of the race, effectively, where are Millennials going to go, what are they going to do? There are 80 Million Millennials (18 to 34 years old) who are now of voting age, the largest age demographic of them all. There is polling evidence that we will be seeing record turnout among the 18 to 34 year age group because interest in politics and engagement has never been higher, and that Democrats, and Hillary, will benefit greatly in November.
In a recent poll conducted with 2,500 Millennials around the country we get a comprehensive answer that contains a lot to like for Democrats (obviously still a lot of work to do with the Millennial group to make the numbers even better for us).
Link to poll findings:
83% OF MILLENNIALS INTEND TO VOTE, AND HILLARY’S GOT THE EDGE
Americans have become more motivated to get to the polls – especially the 80 million Millennials who are voting age.
Historically, this group has steered clear from the voting booths with Millennial voting on a downward trend, especially within the 18-24 cohort which saw a 7.3% drop in voter turnout from 2008 to 2012. This year is looking very different, based on the latest POME study conducted this month.
According to POME, a Gen Y-to-Z syndicated study polling over 2,500 respondents, 83% of 18 to 34 year old Millennials intend to vote; 1.5 times higher than historical voter turnout for this generation. The Democratic party appears to be winning the hearts of Millennials; a generation that has seen a multitude of societal issues become a mounting pressure on the United States such as climate change, socioeconomic inequality, and gun control to name only a few.
Between Hilary Clinton and Donald Trump, the first female presidential nominee offers policy reforms which seem to be appealing to Millennials to a greater extent. Only 27% of POME participants hailing from Southern states, a commonly Republican region, are intending on voting for Donald Trump and 57% are planning to vote for Hillary. Donald Trump’s candidacy was initially scoffed at but quickly became a force to be reckoned. Although, it appears that Millennials are not his main base of supporters.
The findings in this comprehensive poll among Millennials (18 to 34) are as follows (by region).
Eastern region: Hillary 60% Trump 32%
Southern region: Hillary 57% Trump 27%
Midwestern region: Hillary 47% Trump 27%
Western region: Hillary 54% Trump 33%
As the most populous regions are the Eastern and Southern regions the numbers suggest somewhere along the lines of a 56% to 30% margin for Hillary on a national scale.
With 83% of Millennials engaged and intending to vote in November, that would mean record turnout for the 18 to 34 age set, most of all time, by far. 1.5 times the usual 18 to 35 year Demographic turnout.
Trump is absolutely toxic for Millennials in particular on virtually all issues, and the issues Democrats are rallying around, from the Presidential nominee on down, are issues Millennials identify with strongly: Combating climate change, much higher minimum wage, college compact/debt free college and free community college, equal pay, paid family leave, heavily subsidized child care, Immigration reform, gun control, LGBT rights, women rights.
Millennials will come out to vote in November in record numbers, according to the data. And the Democratic Party is “winning the hearts of Millennials”.
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2. DANTE
Hillary and Priorities USA have started the “STOP TRUMP/STOP HATE” campaign aimed at Millennials.
The first ad they released is called DANTE. Dante is a 17 yr. old who was diagnosed with spinal cord cancer when he was 1 year old, and has been fighting cancer all his life. He takes strong exception to Trump making fun of handicapped people like himself in this moving ad:
DANTE
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3. STOP-TRUMP/STOP-HATE web site
Pro-Hillary Clinton Super PAC Launches ‘Stop Trump’ Effort Targeting Millennials
As part of a broader campaign to portray Donald Trump as divisive and mean-spirited, the major super PAC backing Hillary Clinton on Thursday launched a new website targeting younger voters called “Stop Trump/Stop Hate.”
The super PAC, Priorities USA Action, is aiming to reach out to millennials and create a shareable, anti-Trump message with videos, tweets and messages that brand Trump as bigoted and “full of hate.”
Along with the anti-Trump website, Priorities on Thursday released a digital advertisement that features a 17-year-old Dante Latchman of Las Vegas, who has been disabled by a rare form of cancer, along with images of Trump mocking a disabled journalist. “I don’t want a president who makes fun of me,” Latchman says. “I want a president who inspires me, and that’s not Donald Trump.”
The messages at the core of the effort—stop hate, spread kindness, stand up against bigotry—are part of a bigger campaign among Democrats to attract millennials who are disillusioned by politics but eager to dismiss Trump. The Clinton campaign has repeatedly broadcast similar messages; one-of Hillary Clinton’s often-repeated mantras is that America needs “more love and kindness.”
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Joining in on the “Stop Trump/Stop Hate” campaign are pro-Clinton groups including Planned Parenthood Votes and Planned Parenthood Action Fund, LCV Victory Fund, Latino Victory Fund, AFT, LPAC, EMILY’s List WOMEN VOTE!, PowerPAC.org, & The Human Rights Campaign.
The new Priorities advertisement is playing on Facebook, Instagram and Pandora in Ohio, Florida, Virginia, Nevada, Colorado, Iowa, New Hampshire and North Carolina, in a $500,000 buy, part of a total of $6 million Priorities has spent so far on digital.
“Throughout his career and campaign Donald Trump has repeatedly ridiculed and marginalized people who are different than him and it’s up to us to save America from his message of hatred and ridicule,” said Guy Cecil,Priorities USA’s chief strategist.
Priorities is planning to spend some $150 million on television, radio and online advertising and outreach, a commitment that could grow before the general election in November.
The website link:
Stop Trump/Stop Hate
The video that goes with the website:
Donald Trump is Full of Hate:
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4. Other polling shows Hillary and Democrats winning big with Millennials
Today’s latest ABC/WaPo poll shows Millennials siding with Hillary:
Clinton Surges
ABC/Washington poll, released 6/26/2016
Here we clearly see that Hillary’s best age groups, by far, are the 18 to 29 age set, and the 30 to 39 age set. Indeed, those two age groups drive Hillary’s strong lead like no other. As for Millennials (18 to 35) if you meld the two lowest age groups together (and cap it at 35) you end up somewhere at 55% to 34%, and that is likely to get better and better for us as the election season wears on and 3rd party candidate appeal fades into the 1% or so region eventually.
CONCLUSION
If Millennials turn out in the huge numbers in November they currently claim they will, young voters, Millennials, have the unique position to turn a standard Presidential election that Democrats are likely to win by 4 to 6% (Obama vs. Romney territory) into a double-digit blowout that will shake up the nation, give us great chance at taking back Congress, and allows us to install truly Progressive Supreme Court justices in place of Scalia and any potential retirements, changing the direction of this country for the better for decades to come.