At +7 in the generic congressional ballot, Democrats have now matched their strongest lead in Civiqs’ polling all year:
Immediately post-Kavanaugh, you could see Republicans get a small boost … all the way to a -5 deficit. THAT’S how static public opinion is—the most momentous partisan battle of the year, and it moved numbers a couple of points. That’s it.
As you can imagine, Republicans and Democrats are utterly stratified. So who moved?
Independent women moved our direction:
And as you might imagine, independent men went the other way, though Democrats are rebounding quickly, and are almost back to pre-Kavanaugh numbers:
So to recap, we are back to where we were pre-Kavanaugh, we lost some independent men, won some independent women, and it all balances out.
Also, you can tell it’s no longer a winner, since the GOP has all but stopped talking about him. It’s now “the mob” 24-7. And when that doesn’t work? We’ll see.
You can track that generic ballot yourself every day, as polling is continuous and updated daily.
We must also do our own GOTV to maximize our November chances. Find events near you. If you’d rather GOTV from the comfort of your home, Vote Forwardis a great option. And there’s also campaigns to support, like our slate of women endorsed candidates!