From TargetEarly.TargetSmart.com
Pennsylvania Democrats are showing more than a 480,000-vote advantage using Pennsylvania’s unique early voting/absentee ballot system.
Pennsylvania in 2022 does not offer the traditional early voting process. Instead, voters can go to their local elections office and apply for an absentee ballot and then fill it out and return it at the same time, without having to mail it….or they can return it on election day to the polls. Obviously, if TargetEarly’s numbers are correct, Pennsylvania Democrats really like this system and Pennsylvania Republicans are using the system much more sparingly.
Republicans are voting early at a rate that is significantly reduced--even as compared to 2020--perhaps because of all the confusion about mail-in ballots and early voting sewed by Trump...or perhaps because Mehmet Oz and Doug Mastriano are such flawed candidates. However, the difference is striking: Democrats are voting early at a rate that is about 51% of their 2020 Presidential Election early vote, while Republicans are only voting at a rate of about 38% of their 2020 early vote rate, and the differential in reported Democratic to Republican votes now stands at a 485,598 vote advantage for Democrats voting early.
Unaffiliated early voting is also down significantly from 2020, with only 3.9% of unaffiliated voters voting early, while in 2020 unaffiliated voters voted early at a 7.7% rate.
Although there are necessarily many caveats with these numbers, the early turnout and enthusiasm for Democrats is very encouraging, and they have created a significant cushion of votes going in to election day. From TargetEarly.TargetSmart.com
Good news!