An onslaught of positive polls – both at the state and national levels – have been piling up for Obama. So it was only a matter of time before Nate Silver's presidential forecast approached an all-time high for the President.
That's what happened tonight, as Obama reached an 81.9 percent chance of winning in Silver's November 6 forecast model:
by a look at all of the polls coming in recently.
All told, the evidence is demonstrating that the convention bounce Obama received after the DNC – a bounce that began to subside the week after the convention – is being solidified and concretized by a number of factors.
Most notably, this: