Elizabeth Warren leads Sen. Scott Brown, 48 percent to 44 percent among likely voters, in a private Massachusetts Senate poll of likely voters conducted for a Boston-based consulting and research firm. Her advantage is within the survey's margin of error.
The same poll showed Brown leading Warren by 10 percentage points in January and by 14 in April.
Fifty-two percent of registered voters, part of a larger sample size in the same poll, thought it was more important to send a Democrat to the Senate "to help ensure that it doesn't fall under the control of Republicans" than it was to have a moderate Republican senator. Forty percent chose the latter option. [...]
Brown appears unable so far to shake the Republican label. He was among the first Republicans to criticize Missouri Republican congressman and Senate candidate Todd Akin's "legitimate rape" comments. He touts multiple publications' ratings of him as among the most bipartisan members of Congress, and plays up endorsements from local Democrats. But when pressed in a debate Monday night to name a model Supreme Court justice, his initial answer was Justice Antonin Scalia, a prominent member of the Court's conservative bloc.
That corresponds to PPP's finding in August that 53 percent of voters thought keeping control of the Senate out of Republican hands was important. Warren has done a good job of keeping that in focus in recent weeks and in the debates
The poll was conducted Sept. 25 to Sept. 30, before Brown's Antonin Scalia moment in Monday's debate. That brief glimpse into his true political leanings won't help him shake the GOP stench in the few remaining weeks he has.
The momentum remains with Warren, and the rout President Obama is going to give Mitt Romney in Massachusetts will certainly give her a boost, as well.