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9:23 AM PT: • FL-Sen (Quinnipiac): Bill Nelson (D-inc): 52 (53), Connie Mack (R): 39 (39); Obama 48-47 (53-44).
• OH-Sen (Quinnipiac): Sherrod Brown (D-inc): 51 (51), Josh Mandel (R): 42 (42); Obama 50-45 (50-45).
• VA-Sen (Quinnipiac): Tim Kaine (D): 50 (51), George Allen (R): 46 (44); Obama 49-47 (51-46).
9:42 AM PT: • MI-Sen (Glengariff): Debbie Stabenow (D-inc): 52 (50), Pete Hoekstra (R): 38 (38); Obama 48-45 (49-42).
• PA-Sen (F&M): Bob Casey (D-inc): 48 (48), Tom Smith (R): 39 (38); Obama 49-45 (52-43).
10:28 AM PT: CA-36 (Lake for Ruiz): Raul Ruiz (D): 48 (46), Mary Bono Mack (R-inc): 42 (43). Exact presidential toplines are not provided, but the memo says that Obama leads Romney "by 7 points." That's an optimistic sample for Ruiz, since Obama only won here by three in 2008, but it's not out of the realm of possibility that the president might do better here this time, especially because of the growing Latino vote.
10:39 AM PT: Maps: Google has a very helpful interactive map of power outages in the northeast and mid-Atlantic regions of the country, but what's most interesting is that Google in turn links to much more detailed, granular maps provided by local power companies, like this one from Atlantic City Electric in New Jersey. It's also fascinating to see how amazingly gerrymandered (for lack of a better term) some of these utility grids are. Take a look at National Grid's map for upstate New York and Massachusetts. While their may be explanations for the bizarre shapes and non-contiguous coverage areas, they certainly aren't readily apparent to the eye.
11:13 AM PT: CA-44: Jeez. Laura Richardson can't lose soon enough.
11:47 AM PT: • NV-Sen (SurveyUSA): Shelley Berkley (D): 40 (40), Dean Heller (R-inc): 46 (46).
• OH-Sen (Univ. of Cincinnati): Sherrod Brown (D-inc): 49, Josh Mandel (R): 44; Obama 48-46. I'm not sure which trendlines to cite here: The University of Cincinnati fields its own in-house "Ohio Poll" every so often, but it also conducts separate polling for a consortium of local Ohio papers as well—and in fact, one such poll came out just the other day. That one had Brown up 51-47 and Obama and Romney tied at 49. The last "Ohio Poll" was taken all the way back in August and had Brown ahead 48-47 and Obama leading 49-46.
• OH-Sen: Sherrod Brown (D-inc): 50 (48), Josh Mandel (R): 48 (44); Romney 50-48 (48-48).
12:30 PM PT: IN-Sen: Look out! Dem Rep. Joe Donnelly's own internal pollster, Global Strategy Group, confirms the movement in his direction that the DSCC's firm, Anzalone Liszt, hinted at last week, in the wake of Richard Mourdock's instantly infamous comments about rape and God's will. Donnelly is now beating Mourdock 43-36, while Libertarian Andrew Horning is at 9, up from 40-38-8 a week ago. In a two-way matchup, Donnelly is ahead 47-38. (Anzalone had Donnelly leading 47-40 in the three-way.)
Mourdock tried to pre-empt this news with an internal of his own that has him ahead 45-44-4, little changed from his 44-44-6 numbers a week ago. As has regularly been the case, though, his sample skews very old, and he also has Obama down 18 points (57-39). That's not impossible, I suppose, but that would nevertheless be quite a steep drop for the POTUS, all the way down to John Kerry levels.
There's also a third poll out of rarely-surveyed Indiana today, on behalf of the DGA and Democrat John Gregg's gubernatorial campaign. In IN-Gov, Clarity Campaign Labs has Gregg trailing GOP Rep. Mike Pence by a surprisingly tiny 47-44 margin (much closer than any other poll has seen it). But Clarity's memo also says that Donnelly is ahead 49-42, similar to what both GSG and Anzalone have seen.
12:33 PM PT: The Live Digest continues here.