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Partisan breakdown of of Washington Post-ABC News poll conducted March 27-30, 2013
Partisan breakdown of of Washington Post-ABC News poll conducted March 27-30, 2013
The latest Washington Post-ABC News poll finds 57 percent of Americans supporting a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants. That's basically where things stood in the Post-ABC survey from early February, when 55 percent supported a path to citizenship.

But the most interesting aspect of the survey are the partisan breakdowns. It turns out—surprise, surprise—that support for a path to citizenship comes from Democrats and independents. Republicans, meanwhile, are overwhelmingly opposed. As you can see in the numbers in the chart at the top of this post, Democrats favor a path to citizenship by a net of 47 points and independents favor it by 19 points, but Republicans are against it by 25 points.

Moreover, according to the survey, the trend lines show increasing support for a path to citizenship among Democrats and independents and shrinking support among Republicans. Net support has grown by 10 points among Democrats and 11 points among independents, but it has shrunk by 13 points among Republicans.

The implications of this for immigration reform are pretty clear: While it might be possible to break off a handful of Republicans to support reform, the idea of an overwhelming bipartisan vote for immigration reform is a pipe dream. The GOP's beltway establishment might know that in the long run, particularly in presidential elections, that Republicans can't afford to be the anti-immigrant party, but in the meantime, GOP elected officials continue to be held hostage by their dwindling base.

11:30 AM PT: Markos points out that the question wording in this poll made a huge difference in the numbers. GOP support for a path to citizenship is actually much higher when there is a clearly defined penalty for undocumented immigrants seeking citizenship.

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Comment Preferences

  •  The GOP has a strict set of tests to determine (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    if you should be granted US citizenship:

    1 - You must not only own a gun, but be able to shoot yourself in the foot with it accidentally. NO exceptions.

    2 - Be able to name at least one Oak Ridge Boys song other than Elvira.

    3 - Be able to identify both kinds of music, Country and Western.

    4 - Be able to identify all three food groups, bacon, pizza and cheese.

    5 - Be able to name at least three states that still hate gay people.

    "Liberty without virtue would be no blessing to us" - Benjamin Rush, 1777

    by kovie on Wed Apr 03, 2013 at 08:27:59 AM PDT

  •  GOP... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    the path to obscurity.

    How many boxes of these Thin Mints do I need to eat before I start seeing results?

    by jackandjill on Wed Apr 03, 2013 at 08:33:05 AM PDT

  •  Jed, no (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    let's be accurate when quoting a news source.  WaPo survey, as you point out, does not say "everybody" supports a path to citizenship; it's 57 percent.

    If you can dodge a wrench, you can dodge a ball! - Rip Torn ("Dodgeball")

    by cka on Wed Apr 03, 2013 at 08:34:22 AM PDT

  •  This is nothing the Republican's new (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    messaging won't fix.


    The most violent element in society is ignorance.

    by Mr MadAsHell on Wed Apr 03, 2013 at 08:40:58 AM PDT

  •  It is so clear (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    that the modern GOP is the white American nationalist party.  They know they need Latinos, but outreach is merely instrumental in order to win elections.  The only Latinos they can understand are hard-right (and generally pale-skinned) Cubans and retired generals who want to create special worker exploitation zones.

    They know they need black voters, so opportunist clowns like Herman Cain get airtime.  But their convention delegates still politely wait in line to get their shoes shined by black men, and they still hold their retreats and ethnic sensitivity training in plantation houses.

    Above all, the idea of an aging white population being replaced by citizens of mixed race, or children of non-white immigrants, just freaks them out.  It's all about identity politics. These poll results are hardly surprising. The 35% of the GOP who are OK with a pathway to citizenship are either Cubans, or Mormons who have been on mission (your average Mormon is less prejudiced against Latinos than your average Baptist fundamentalist), or some of the fiscal conservative oligarch types.  The rest of them - the overwhelming base, including the teabaggers - can't accept the browning of America.  They just can't do it.

    “If the misery of the poor be caused not by the laws of nature, but by our institutions, great is our sin.” Charles Darwin

    by ivorybill on Wed Apr 03, 2013 at 08:42:12 AM PDT

  •  It's time for Hillary to actually say the words. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
  •  Sorry, I misheard the question (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    I thought they were asking if there should be a path to citizenship for Republicans, so of course I said no, as did 43% of my fellow-maybe-citizens.

    You know, I sometimes think if I could see, I'd be kicking a lot of ass. -Stevie Wonder at the Glastonbury Festival, 2010

    by Rich in PA on Wed Apr 03, 2013 at 09:08:31 AM PDT

  •  This is the new gut issue of old white people. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    Anytime NYT runs an article about immigration reform, the hate and venom come spitting out.  And this is the Times, where 90% of the views expressed are thoughful and progressive.

    But not with the immigration issue. And it's not, imo, because right wingers all of a sudden weigh in.  It's just that this an issue much bigger and deeper than I would have first thought.

    I don't know what that means, but there it is.


  •  Until the Federal Government stops turning a (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    blind eye to our porous borders so that Big Business and AgriBusiness can have cheap labor to exploit, this problem will never be solved.  

    If we had a National ID card, presentable for receiving a paycheck and any benefits, and gave one to everyone who is here, legally, or who registers during an amnesty period, after which we really shut the door, we could solve this problem.  

    Until then, this is the de facto "Path to Citizenship"

     photo fence_hole_zpse975a615.gif

    There can be no progress without deviation from the norm. - Frank Zappa

    by SpamNunn on Wed Apr 03, 2013 at 09:12:00 AM PDT

  •  It's always good when (0+ / 0-)

    karma bites a fool in the ass.

  •  Would this include illegal immigrants that cross (0+ / 0-)

    the border from Canada and Russia as well? :P

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