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Leading Off:

SD Mayor: I was initially very skeptical of SurveyUSA's last poll of the San Diego special election for mayor that's taking place on Tuesday. The numbers showed a hard-to-believe surge for Republican Kevin Faulconer and a comparable decline for Democratic frontrunner Nathan Fletcher, but now SUSA's newest poll keeps heading even further in that direction. Faulconer now takes 40 percent, with Fletcher at 24—just a step ahead of fellow Democrat David Alvarez, who's at 22. Two weeks ago, Faulconer was at 41, but Fletcher at least had a 28-17 edge on Alvarez. (Assuming Faulconer can't crack 50 percent, the top two vote-getters will advance to a runoff, likely in February.)

So, if these polls are accurate, what's going on here? Faulconer, preferring to face Alvarez in the second round, has gone negative on Fletcher, attacking him over his attendance record in the Assembly, where he used to serve. The labor unions backing Alvarez, meanwhile, have hammered Fletcher—who in the last two years went from Republican to independent to Democrat—as an "opportunist." Both sides have spent heavily.

The middle, it turns out, is not a comfortable place to be, so despite coming into the race with strong name recognition thanks to his third-place finish in the mayoral primary last year, Fletcher is getting squeezed from the left and right. And it may wind up allowing Alvarez to serve as the Democratic standard-bearer in the runoff. We'll find out tonight.


HI-Sen: This is definitely strange. Buried in a general piece about the 2014 Senate playing field, Politico's James Hohmann claims that Republican ex-Rep. Charles Djou is "likely" enter the Hawaii Senate race "after the holidays." Hohmann doesn't mention any sources for this piece of information, named or unnamed, and it's definitely news to us. The only time we mentioned Djou all year was back in April, when Hawaii News Now reported (again, without sourcing) that he was "expected" to run for the state's open 1st District congressional seat. So I'd like to see something a lot firmer—preferably from the horse's mouth—before reaching any conclusions about what Djou has planned, if anything.

MT-Sen: This falls into the "well, obviously" category, but anyhow, Gov. Steve Bullock has endorsed his lieutenant governor, John Walsh, in the Democratic primary for Montana's open Senate seat. Walsh faces a fight with his predecessor, former Lt. Gov. John Bohlinger, for the party's nomination, though with Bullock's backing, he's now locked up support from much of the establishment.


HI-Gov: So far, state Sen. David Ige looks like nothing but a massive underdog to Gov. Neil Abercrombie in the Democratic primary, and he probably only rises above Some Dude status because he holds elective office. But now he's managed to score the backing of two former governors, Ben Cayetano and George Ariyoshi, both of whom seem to be unhappy with Abercrombie over local issues, like concessions to unions and urban development. Still, Ige has a long way to go before he becomes a threat to the well-financed Abercrombie.

IL-Gov: It sure would be nice to see a poll of Illinois' gubernatorial general election, but there hasn't been one in over a year. In fact, according to Wikipedia, there's only been one ever, from PPP. Instead, we have to content ourselves with occasional tests of the GOP primary from the likes of conservative pollster We Ask America. State Sen. Bill Brady leads with 25 percent, while Treasurer Dan Rutherford takes 18, state Sen. Kirk Dillard 14, and free-spending zillionaire businessman Bruce Rauner is at 11. In August, it was Brady 21, Rutherford 17, Rauner 14, and Dillard 10. And Election Day isn't that far off: Illinois holds the second-earliest primaries in the nation next year, on March 18.

MD-Gov: Lt. Gov. Anthony Brown has cemented his support from Maryland's Democratic establishment with the endorsement of Sen. Ben Cardin. With Cardin on board, Brown now has the backing of the state's governor, both senators, and four of seven Democratic members of the House, not to mention a bajillion local elected officials as well. His chief rival in the gubernatorial primary, state AG Doug Gansler, once again whinged about the establishment rallying around Brown, so does that mean he'd turn down Cardin's help had it been offered?

NM-Gov: It's sort of surprising how many Democrats are running for governor in New Mexico, given that incumbent Republican Susan Martinez doesn't seem all that vulnerable. Lawrence Rael, a former official in the federal Department of Agriculture, says he's entering the race, meaning he'll join Attorney General Gary King, state Sens. Linda Lopez and Howie Morales, and Santa Fe businessman Alan Webber in the primary.

NY-Gov: Siena has had a lot of misses of late, but I'm going to guess that their new poll showing Democratic Gov. Andrew Cuomo crushing a trio of potential Republican candidates next year probably isn't too far off the mark. Cuomo smashes state GOP chair Ed Cox (62-25), Westchester County Executive Rob Astorino (63-24), and 2010 opponent Carl Paladino (65-24) with equal aplomb.


CA-24: Buried at the end of this article on local politics is the news that Santa Barbara City Councilmember Dale Francisco has created a campaign committee to "explore" a run against Democratic Rep. Lois Capps. (He did in fact file paperwork with the FEC earlier this month.) Francisco is described in the piece as "socially conservative" but a "serious preservationist." The 24th is a relatively light blue district, at 54-43 Obama, but after defeating former Lt. Gov. Abel Maldonado last year, Capps hasn't drawn any serious challengers yet, and it remains to be seen whether Francisco qualifies as such.

FL-13: This is utterly gross. Peter Schorsch, who runs the prominent Florida political site St. Petersblog, has been busted for demanding that pols purchase advertising space in exchange for positive coverage—or the removal of negative posts. Here's a particularly vile example:

Three accusers provided documentation and one, Michael Pinson, offered a notarized contract signed by Schorsch. [...]

Pinson, who was mentioned for an open Pinellas congressional seat, said he didn't pay Schorsch, and the attacks continued. Just three months later, in a Twitter exchange with someone Schorsch seemed to believe Pinson knew, Schorsch said this: "Tell Michael I said hi. Just think for 5K he could've made all of this go away. Wait till u see 'The Douchebag Returns' story."

With the upcoming special election in the St. Pete-based 13th Congressional District, Schorsch's writing was likely to get plenty of attention. Now it still will, but for all the wrong reasons: Pinellas County Sheriff Bob Gualtieri says his department is going to look into the matter. So just be extra-skeptical of anything you see that originates from Schorsch.

ID-02: Rep. Mike Simpson is definitely cleaning up on the "establishment Republicans that tea partiers despise" endorsement front. First, he got help from John Boehner; now, Mitt Romney has come to his aid with a fundraising email. Simpson faces a primary from Club for Growth-backed attorney Bryan Smith.

NC-06: Rockingham County District Attorney Phil Berger, Jr. will reportedly join the race to replace retiring Rep. Howard Coble on Wednesday. Berger's entry would be unsurprising, as he's long been rumored to be interested in Coble's seat. Three other Republicans are already running, though, and more are likely to get in, given that this district is safely red.

NJ-07: Businessman David Larsen has attempted to unseat GOP Rep. Leonard Lance in the last two primaries, but his prior failures aren't stopping him from trying a third time. Lance turned back Larsen 56-31 in 2010 and 61-39 in 2012.

NY-21: The House Ethics Committee has dropped its investigation into Democratic Rep. Bill Owens over a privately funded trip to Taiwan he took two years ago. The panel determined that the junket did in fact constitute an improper gift but declined to sanction Owens because he had already repaid the cost. (Owens' GOP opponent last year, Matt Doheny, made an issue of the trip in campaign ads.) The committee is also ending a review of a similar trip taken by Republican Rep. Peter Roskam of Illinois.

Other Races:

Special Elections: There are four legislative specials coming up on Tuesday, and Johnny Longtorso, as usual, has a backgrounder on all of them:

California AD-45: This is a runoff for an open Democratic seat in the San Fernando Valley. The candidates are Democrat Matt Dababneh and Republican Susan Shelley. In the first round, Democrats accounted for 62 percent of the votes cast, while Republican candidates pulled in 36 percent, which lines up closely with the 2012 results: Obama won the district 63-34.

Iowa SD-13: This is an open Republican seat located south of Des Moines, consisting of all of Madison County and nearly all of Warren County. The district went 51-47 Romney in 2012. The candidates are former State Rep. Mark Davitt, a Democrat, and State Rep. Julian Garrett, a Republican.

Wisconsin AD-21: This is an open Republican seat located in the southern suburbs of Milwaukee. The candidates are Democrat Elizabeth Coppola, a member of the Milwaukee County Social Development Commission, and Republican Jessie Rodriguez, a "school choice advocate." The district went 51-48 for Romney and 51-47 for Tommy Thompson in 2012.

Wisconsin AD-69: This is also an open Republican seat, located in Clark, Marathon, and Wood Counties. The candidates are Democrat Kenneth Slezak, a retired small business owner, Republican Bob Kulp, owner of several construction businesses, and independent Tim Swiggum, a former mayor of Owen who ran for this district twice before as a Democrat, losing 64-36 in 2006 and 59-41 in 2008. This district went for Romney by a 55-44 margin and for Tommy Thompson by a 52-44 margin.

One detail to add regarding Wisconsin's AD-21 is that the district is very close to the median point in the Assembly, going by Obama-Romney results. If Dems want a majority in the chamber anytime soon, this is the type of district they need to be winning in. Also, check back in at Daily Kos Elections at 6 PM ET Tuesday evening for our elections open thread.

VA-AG: Here's a disturbing reminder. If Mark Obenshain remains behind after the expected recount in the Virginia attorney general's race, he could still contest the election in the state legislature, which is dominated by his fellow Republicans. (Both houses sit in a joint session, meaning Republicans would badly outnumber Democrats.) As Adam Serwer explains, Obenshain wouldn't actually need to prove that any irregularities affected the outcome; rather, he would only have to demonstrate "specific allegations which, if proven true, would have a probable impact on the outcome of the election."

And since partisan GOP elected officials would be acting as both judge and jury, election law expert Joshua Douglas rightly notes, "There's no rules here, besides outside political forces and public scrutiny." Yes, Republicans could face a backlash if they overturn a victory for Democrat Mark Herring, but they may very well be willing to take that risk, since it would give them the AG's office and thwart a Democratic sweep of Virginia's statewide offices.

VA State House: Good riddance: Delegate Onzlee Ware, one of two Democrats who expressed a willingness to go along with a shameful Republican re-redistricting scheme back in January, is leaving the state House, despite winning re-election earlier this month. (The plan later crashed and burned after a massive public outcry.) The other wayward Dem, Delegate Rosalyn Dance, narrowly survived a primary challenge earlier this year from Air Force vet Evandra Thompson, who sounds likely to try again in 2015.

VA State Senate: In a party-run primary over the weekend, Delegate Lynwood Lewis secured the Democratic nomination in the upcoming special election to replace state Sen. Ralph Northam, who was elected lieutenant governor last month. In unofficial results, Lewis took 55 percent of the vote, versus 26 for former Delegate Paula Miller and 19 for Andria McClellan, Northam's campaign treasurer. Republicans will pick their candidate on Thursday. The 6th District, which stretches from Norfolk out to Virginia's Eastern Shore, went for Obama 57-42 in 2012. The special had not yet been scheduled.

Washington: With the election now two weeks ago, that means things are finally rattling to a conclusion in notoriously slow-counting King County, Washington. That Seattle city council race is finally resolved; long-time incumbent Richard Conlin conceded to openly Socialist challenger Kshama Sawant, who leads by 1,640 votes. (If you're wondering what exactly that means to her, Salon has an extensive interview with Sawant.) Meanwhile, the $15 minimum wage initiative in SeaTac isn't called, with a 46-vote lead with an unknown number of ballots left to count; either way, everyone thinks it'll be headed for a recount. (David Jarman)

WI State Senate: State Sen. John Lehman, the only Democrat to successfully win any of the 2012 batch of Wisconsin recalls, has decided to run for lieutenant governor rather than seek re-election. The reason is simple: During redistricting, Republicans avenged their loss by converting Lehman's 21st District from a 55-43 Obama seat to one that went for Romney 55-44.

Grab Bag:

Ideology: At first glance, an interactive graphic that plots House party unity against DW-Nominate ideology scores over the years doesn't sound too noteworthy; by definition (at least in a two party system), they're going to correlate. However, if you fiddle around with the slider, you get a much better sense of how much polarization there has been in the House, most of the time. In fact, while we're goaded by certain pundits into thinking that stark polarization is some tragic new development, it's really been the default setting since the Civil War.

By looking at which periods had a lot of members below 50 percent party unity, you can see that, actually, the period between the early 60s and the early 90s (with lots of Boll Weevil/Blue Dogs and Rockefeller Republicans) was something of an anomaly, and things have reverted more to the norm as Big Sort dynamics kick in and ticket-splitting dies down. (What's different these days, however, is that the red and blue clouds are positioned notably further apart, on the DW/N axis.)

There are a few other neat anomalies worth spotting, like the New Deal years, where the Dem cloud becomes very diffuse. That's because even though there was a wide spectrum of DW/N scores within the Democratic Party (largely by virtue of how huge it had gotten at that point), for a few brief years, party unity was still high even among the most conservative members. (David Jarman)

Maps: We've been talking a bunch about cartograms lately, so here are a couple of cool new ones for two ballot measures that just went before voters earlier this month, from former Obama campaign analytics staffer Amos Budde. The first shows the results for New Jersey's measure to hike the minimum wage and tying future increases to inflation (which passed, 61-39); what's most notable is that New Jersey still looks like New Jersey, thanks to the state's relatively uniform population density.

But the second, featuring Washington's measure to require labeling for genetically modified foods, is crazy-nuts:

Cartogram of results from Washington's Initiative 522 election (Nov. 2013)
(click for larger)
That distortion, though, shows you just how big King County (home of Seattle) is, relative to the rest of the state. However, the initiative failed, 52-48, due to the intensity of the opposition in the more conservative western part of the state. That comes through thanks to Budde's graduated color scheme, explained in the legend at right: There's a lot of dark orange (strong opposition) but almost no corresponding deep purple (strong support).

It's those two factors, Budde says—accurately showing population density with cartograms, and accurately showing depth of support via a graded color scheme—that makes these kinds of maps so useful. Give that much of the nation's population, and most Democrats, live in dense urban areas, I'd even call them essential for a proper understanding of elections. So just bear that in mind the next time you see a map with a giant sea of red. Odds are, there's a lot more blue than you think.

Originally posted to Daily Kos Elections on Tue Nov 19, 2013 at 05:00 AM PST.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (13+ / 0-)

    Get the Daily Kos Elections Digest in your inbox every weekday. Sign up here.

    by David Nir on Tue Nov 19, 2013 at 05:00:13 AM PST

  •  Caucus to be held this Saturday to choose (6+ / 0-)

    a Democratic nominee for Virginia Attorney General-elect Mark Herring's State Senate seat.

    33rd Virginia Senate Democratic District Committee Announces Call to Caucus

    •  Has Herring resigned? (0+ / 0-)

      I thought the whole special election process would not be triggered until Herring resigned his Senate seat.  Has he done that, or are the parties allowed to anticipate and choose a nominee before it's certain there will even be an election?

      The states must be abolished.

      by gtomkins on Tue Nov 19, 2013 at 10:44:29 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  Cooch, in his own words (5+ / 0-)

    Washington Post sat down with Ken Cuccinelli to discuss the aftermath of the campaign. Sore loser doesn't begin to explain him. And he openly toys with the idea of running for Senate against Mark Warner because of Obamacare. The man is obsessed. He needs to let it go.

    •  Quote (1+ / 0-)

      “There is no such thing as an unendangered Democrat who promised, as Mark Warner did, on video, sitting in his Senate office, ‘I would not vote for a health-care plan that doesn’t let you keep health insurance you like,’ ” Cuccinelli said. “Oh, really? You were the tiebreaking vote. . . . Mark Warner’s not going to have a cruise in 2014.”

      "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

      by conspiracy on Tue Nov 19, 2013 at 05:23:11 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  I disagree (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:

        The ACA is working in a number of states, hundreds (probably by now thousands, but I am aware of hundreds) of cases of lying have been revealed among those talking about their insurance company woes and tens of thousands have proven to be insurance company profit taking.  By 10 months from now, this will all be totally resolved and that includes Virginia - and it will be a non issue in the race, which Warner will cruise in.

  •  PPP MS primary: Cochran only up by 6 (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    Obviously not nutty enough.

    "When dealing with terrorism, civil and human rights are not applicable." Egyptian military spokesman.

    by Paleo on Tue Nov 19, 2013 at 05:34:46 AM PST

    •  Cue retirement in 3...2... (0+ / 0-)

      "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

      by conspiracy on Tue Nov 19, 2013 at 05:37:42 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  He'll likely confer with... (0+ / 0-)

        ...the Establishment brokers over the, I mean Holiday Season before making that move. Do they have the stomach to make a real stand against the insurgents?

        Change does not roll in on the wheels of inevitability, but comes through continuous struggle. --Martin Luther King Jr.

        by Egalitare on Tue Nov 19, 2013 at 06:17:22 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

  •  San Diego (0+ / 0-)

    I wonder if the usual low Latino turnout might yet save Fletcher.

    "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

    by conspiracy on Tue Nov 19, 2013 at 05:54:13 AM PST

    •  So much done by mail now (0+ / 0-)

      I didn't even realize election day was today.  Saw polls on way to work.  Voted via envelope like 3 weeks ago.

      4 Alvarez votes in my household.

      Republicans - No solutions, just reasons why other peoples solutions will not work.

      by egarratt on Tue Nov 19, 2013 at 07:28:04 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  Fletcher: those who actually vote know his past (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      socal altvibe

      I'm guessing that anyone who is actually going to put in the effort to vote in this special election probably knows Fletcher's switcharoo political lifestyle and doesn't trust him all that much; especially now that Faulconer and Alvarez have gone negative on him.  Heck, I'm a Dem here in San Diego and I won't vote for him. I'm hoping Alvarez can squeak this out and take it in the runoff, BUT my sense is the City is fed up with the Dems for now and will go Republican simply because the last Mayor (before Filner) was a Repub and is considered by a good majority to have done a pretty good job. It's that simple.

      •  My problem with Fletcher (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:

        has always been that he was part of the gridlock in Sacramento that didn't get unstuck until we got rid of the republicans.  He became an independent when he didn't get the republican nomination.  I would have more respect for him if he would have remained in Independent. I will be voting for Alvarez

        I don't think the problem is that people are fed up with the Dems after Filner's behavior, the problem is the San Diego population is overwhelmingly republican (or at least the voting portion is).  The mayor before Sanders (his name escapes me) was a republican and he resigned after being named the third worst mayor in the country; yet San Diego turned around and voted in another republican.  Lets face it, Filner squeaked by in the election due to name recognition and the fact at DeMio we so repugnant - lets face it, you can't be a gay, tea-partier and expect to win the base.

      •  Over time more will come out (0+ / 0-)

        about how certain well entrenched interests took out Filner.  The LA Times did a good article about the City Attorney, who came out of one of the lawfirms which bundle campaign contributions and mastermind PR campaigns, basically admitting he did everything possible (pay wall) to sabotage Filner from day one.  Including likely bugging his office.

        Irwin Jacobs gave Nathan Fletcher a cushy job - allegedly $400,000 per year - to do nothing but run for office and wrangled a professorship at UCSD for him, too.  Jacobs is deeply tied into the power structure that did not want Filner in.  Jacobs would have been particularly upset at Fliner as he opposed Jacobs' plan to privatize parts of Balboa Park; a battle Filner and the community won.

        So there is a resentment down here regarding having the boys' anointed one - Fletcher - be given a free ride to the mayorship by the dirtiest players in town.  Faulconer is a corrupt pig but does not hide what he is.  So there is a portion of the population that would rather have a choice between a regular San Diego democrat and a corrupt republican (which former mayor Sanders also was - he just had the regime that took out Filner controlling the media for him) than a shifty Fletcher whose only loyalty is to the entrenched powers who have long made the San Diego mayorship their personal puppet show.

      •  The last 3 elected mayors were Republican (0+ / 0-)

        The only reason that there were any recent "Democratic" mayors is that Dick Murphy resigned.  Until Filner, Democrats hadn't won at the ballot box for San Diego mayor for 16 years.  And in the last 40 years there has only been one other elected Democratic mayor of San Diego besides Filner.  

        Democratic performance for mayor of San Diego has been abysmal.  I'd say odds are that the Republican carries the day again.  Filner really fucked us.  

    •  History repeats itself for Fletcher? (0+ / 0-)

      In the 2012 mayor's election, Fletcher ran as the "respectable moderate" (read: pro-business, socially liberal, crony-capitalist Republican-turned-independent) and got squeezed out of the runoff.

      In the 2014 mayor's election, Fletcher is running as the "respectable moderate" (read: pro-business, socially liberal, crony-capitalist independent-turned-Democrat).  As in 2012, Fletcher is getting nuked in the media by the U-T, our ultra-right-wing local birdcage liner.  This year, he's also getting blasted by left-of-center local outlets (like SD Reader) who doubt the sincerity of his current stated positions.  He still has favorable coverage from the media outlets largely financed by his patron Irwin Jacobs, which are the local PBS station and the internet-only news outlet Voice of San Diego.

      Today's outcome depends on whether Alvarez can mobilize enough voters to squeeze out Fletcher -- IMO that's a tossup.  Faulconer, the conservative anointed for this race by the GOP moneymen, will have his solid 40 percent GOP base and should finish first today.

    •  San Diego always elects incompetent Republicans (0+ / 0-)

      for mayor.  It's been like that for 20 years.  It's really sad what happened with Filner because he might have been the only Democrat who could have won.  The fact the Republican is leading in the polls is not particularly surprising given the history here.  

  •  conservative eastern WA, not western WA (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Woody, slothlax

    re cartogram above

  •  to break GOP filibusters is within Reid's control (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    SouthernLeveller, Odysseus, slothlax

    Harry Reid and others continue to complain about the unreasonable GOP filibusters, but Reid has failed to try some strategies to address the GOP filibusters short of the nuclear option.

    My hope is that he would try these other actions before resorting to the nuclear option.

    1.  Without even trying to change any current Senate filibuster rules, Reid could ratchet up the pressure on Senate Republicans by keeping the Senate in session until the various Obama-nominated federal judges and other nominated-but-not-yet-confirmed administration officials receive an up or down Senate confirmation vote.

    No weekends off.  No holidays off.  No evenings or nights off.  Keep the #%%!! Senate in session around the clock for as long as it takes - days or weeks - until all of the nominees awaiting Senate confirmation votes get a vote.  Bring up one after the other.  And when he reaches the end of the list, start over on any that did not get their up or down vote the first time.

    Stop the whining and the excuses and the (apparently empty) threats and use the power of the majority to control the Senate schedule to attempt to achieve the goal.  If this too fails, then that becomes even more justification for a tailored change to Senate filibuster rules to address the GOP abuse.

    2.  If #1 above fails, before changing the rules to go nuclear, try an interim step and change the rules to require the "talking filibuster".  No more of this lazy filibuster.  Then after the rule change, resort to #1 above and force the GOP to talk and talk for days or weeks until each and every one of the nominees gets a Senate up or down vote.

  •  Census Bureau faked Jobs report? (0+ / 0-)

    Rightwing is latching onto this!

    "Tax cuts for the 1% create jobs." -- Republicans, HAHAHA - in China

    by MartyM on Tue Nov 19, 2013 at 06:34:18 AM PST

  •  Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D-NY) (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    crushes all his GOP opposition, huh? Gee, it's too bad there are no DEMOCRATS in the race! Cuomo's father would be so deeply ashamed of his Wall St. ass-kissing.

    "I was not born for myself alone, but for my neighbor as well as myself."--Richard Overton, leader of the Levellers, a17th C. movement for democracy and equality during the English Civil War. for healthcare coverage in Kentucky

    by SouthernLeveller on Tue Nov 19, 2013 at 06:41:07 AM PST

    •  "Would be?" Don't you mean . . . (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Aquarius40, slothlax, wdrath

      . . . "is?" Last I checked, Mario Cuomo is alive and well.

      30, chick, Jewish, solid progressive, NY-14 currently, FL-22 native, went to school in IL-01. "'Let's talk about health care, Mackenzie!' 'Oh Amanda, I'd rather not; that's not polite!'"

      by The Caped Composer on Tue Nov 19, 2013 at 06:55:18 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  You may give Daddy (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      You may give Mario too much credit.

      I quit supporting him when his re-election campaign featured commercials boasting of all the new penitentiaries he'd built. In other words, "no one can do better than me at locking up those you-know-whos". Democrats can win without running Dixiecrat-lite.

  •  Grab bag: (0+ / 0-)

    Another blog post from

    Bottom line: continuous improvement will eventually surprise and delight

  •  NY-Gov (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Odysseus, wdrath

    I'm mostly concerned that a quarter of New Yorkers think Carl Paladino would make a fine governor.

  •  Nothing about the special election in Albuquerque? (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    Today is the last day to vote.  Follow this link to voting locations:Albuquerque Polling locations, November 19, 2013

    Late polling shows the anti-choice ballot measure failing, but we can't take anything for granted, can we?  The icing on this cake is that the ballot initiative has motivated Albuquerque Dems, and might help to flip the balance on the City Council.

    The GOP should not be allowed to object to NEA funding after their 24 billion dollar theatrics.

    by sap on Tue Nov 19, 2013 at 07:43:03 AM PST

  •  Sort of sounds like he IS an opportunist (0+ / 0-)

    Start off with the caveat that I know nothing of any of the San Diego candidates.  But there are too many Democrats who are willing to accept anyone from the right into the party - without question -- and think this is a good thing. I think that's the wrong thinking.

    The labor unions backing Alvarez, meanwhile, have hammered Fletcher—who in the last two years went from Republican to independent to Democrat—as an "opportunist."

    Il est dangereux d’avoir raison dans des choses où des hommes accrédités ont tort. - Voltaire
    Don't trust anyone over 84414 - BentLiberal

    by BentLiberal on Tue Nov 19, 2013 at 09:28:39 AM PST

    •  Little doubt. (0+ / 0-)

      I'll vote for Fletcher if the only alternative is a Republican, but otherwise give me Alvarez...even if I think he's a little too inexperienced.

      "Nothing happens unless first a dream. " ~ Carl Sandburg

      by davewill on Tue Nov 19, 2013 at 12:13:41 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  What if sports were covered like this? (0+ / 0-)

    After Devin Hester returned the opening kick for a touchdown, unnamed Indianapolis sources say the Colts might roll back their Super Bowl appearance.

  •  About VA-AG being decided by the General Assembly (0+ / 0-)

    I have several reservations about giving a lot of publicity to this idea of the Rs stealing the AG race in the Genral Assembly.

    One reservation is practicability, is this scheme doable, or is it impractical and we shouldn't worry about it happening.  The bit of VA Code cited specifies a joint session to consider a contested election, but that does not at all necessarily even imply joint voting, that the the 40-memberSenate and 100-member House of  Delegates would vote as one 140-member body.  Were that true, yes, the Rs would would have us 87-53, and so could ram through a theft of the AG office.  But I would want to hear from someone knowledgable about VA Con Law before worrying about that possiblity, because, for example, at the federal level we have Congress in joint sessions for many purposes, but it never votes as one body.  Now, if I'm correct in my suspicons, and the two chambers would vote separately and have to both agree to hand the election Obenshain, we're only going to have any possiblity of a problem if we unexpectedly lose Northam's seat in the special, and even then, every R woud have to go along with the theft.

    But even if this were practical, and the Rs could steal the election this way,they have better options.  In 2000 they had their pick of forums in whcih to stea that election.  They could have done it in the federal-level equivalent of this procedure we're talking about here, and had the joint session of Congress that meets to consider the EC vote talies for president and VP sent in by the states vote that Bush had won FL.  They chose instead to have their SCOTUS majority steal it.  The reason for that choice is clear.  The courts have a much better reputation wit the people, and eve if thy anger te electorate, there is no direct way for the people to punish them for their misdeeds.  The exact same abuse of power that Scalia didn't have to lose a minute of sleep over, might have caused R Congressritters to lose their seats at the next election.

    If the other side plans to steal this race, they're going to do it in the courts.  It's not a matter of their morals, it's the practical advantge that the best way to commit a crime is to be a judge.

    Which leads in to my final reservation about our side talking up this possibility.  We may think of these guys as already proven criminals, but most of the nation  requires further proof.  I have yet to see anyone cite any place, even a deep-red blog, where the other side is talking this up as the way to go.  

    Let's not go with a conspiracy theory, that is impractical, is not what they're likely to do even if there is larceny in their hearts, and that hey themselves are not talking about doing.

    The states must be abolished.

    by gtomkins on Tue Nov 19, 2013 at 11:17:49 AM PST

  •  WA initiative/proposition notes (0+ / 0-)

    If Proposition 1 in SeaTac were to finish at its current margin, there would NOT be a recount.

    RCW 29A.64.021, the statute defining recount procedures, limits them to races where the margin is at least 2000 and the margin is 0.5% or less. With fewer than 6000 total votes, SeaTac obviously meets the first criterion. However, the percentage margin is too wide (50.39% - 49.61%  =  0.78%).

    Initiative 522, the GMO-labeling initiative, is indeed going to fail, but the margin is actually smaller than indicated in the cartogram. As ballots continued to arrive, the percentage for YES increased. As I write, I-522 is failing by a 51.11% - 48.89% margin.

    I'll always be UID:180, even if Markos tries to pry it away.

    by N in Seattle on Tue Nov 19, 2013 at 02:41:29 PM PST

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