560K Dead from Covid-19. 30 million cases. 27% of US population received at least 1 dose of vaccine

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Friday March 26, 2021 · 12:38 PM PDT

2021/03/26 · 12:38

560K dead and things are getting a lot better, but also a little mixed.

We now have more people fully vaccinated (48 million) than have been publicly diagnosed with covid (30 million)

The pace of deaths is declining rapidly. The numbers are still incredibly high, but they are going down. Cases on the other hand seem to have plateaued and are slightly increasing.

Deaths

10K: April 4th

20K: April 10th (6 days to reach total)

40K: April 19th (9 days)

60K: April 29th (10 days)

80K: May 9th (10 days)

100K: May 26 (17 days)

120K: June 18th (23 days)

140K: July 15th (27 days)

160K: August 4th ( 20 days)

180K: August 22nd (18 days)

200K: September 15th (24 days)

220K: October 12th ( 27 days)

240K: November 5th (24 days)

260K: November 20th (15 days)

280K: December 3rd (13 days)

300K: December 11th (8 days)

320K: December 18th (7 days)

340K: December 27th (9 days)

360K: January 3rd (7 days)

380K: January 9th (6 days)

400K: January 15th (6 days)

420K: January 21st (6 days)

440K: January 28th (7 days)

460K: February 3rd (6 days)

480K: February 10th (7 days)

500K: February 17th (7 days)

520K: February 25th (8 days)

540K: March 9 (12 days)

560K: March 26th (17 days)

Currently averaging 20K deaths every 12.88 days (doesn’t include the time to reach first 20K). Death rate is decreasing. With cases staying at 50-70K cases a day, the death rate is going to stay elevated, but with the elderly being vaccinated (currently at 71% of everyone over 65 having received at least 1 shot), numbers might continue to decline even with high case numbers.

Total Cases:

100K: March 27th

1M: April 27th (31 days)

2M: June 7th (42 days)

3M: July 6th (29 days)

4M: July 21st (15 days)

5M: August 6th (16 days)

6M: August 27th (21 days)

7M: September 18th (22 days)

8M: October 11th (23 days)

9M: October 27th (16 days)

10M: November 6th (10 days)

11M: November 13th (7 days)

12M: November 19th (6 days)

13M: November 25th (6 days)

14M: December 1st (6 days)

15M: December 6th (5 days)

16M: December 10th (4 days)

17M: December 15th (5 days)

18M: December 19th (4 days)

19M: December 24th (5 days)

20M: December 29th (5 days)

21M: January 3rd (5 days)

22M: January 7th (4 days)

23M: January 11th (4 days)

24M: January 15th (4 days)

25M: January 20th (5 days)

26M: January 26th (6 days)

27M: February 2nd (7 days)

28M: February 11th (9 days)

29M: February 25th (14 days)

30M: March 12th (15 days)

Case growth has plateaued. We had been going through a precipitous decline, but recently we seem to be stuck at 45-65K cases a day.

I use www.worldometers.info/…

Other sources:

Nytimes: 546,931

Washington Post: 548K

CNN: 547,630

NBC: 549,378

IHME: 544,786

Johns Hopkins: 546,800

CDC: 543,975

CDC Vaccine Tracker: covid.cdc.gov/…

71.1% of all adults over 65 have received at least 1 dose

34.6% of all adults over 18 have received at least 1 dose

27% of all persons have received at least one dose.

Poll

63 votes Show Results

Have you received 1 dose, 2 doses, 1 dose of J&J or received no vaccine?

63 votes Vote Now!

Have you received 1 dose, 2 doses, 1 dose of J&J or received no vaccine?

1 dose of Moderna or Pfizer

36 votes

2 doses of Moderna or Pfizer

20 votes

1 dose of J&J

0 votes

Received Nothing

7 votes

540K Dead from Covid-19. 29 million cases. 18% of US population received at least 1 dose of vaccine

IowaNiceinDC

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Tuesday March 09, 2021 · 12:29 PM PST

2021/03/09 · 12:29

540K dead and things are getting a lot better

We now have more people fully vaccinated (32 million) than have been publicly diagnosed with covid (29 million)

The pace of deaths and cases is declining rapidly. The numbers are still incredibly high, but they are going down. We haven’t had a day with over 200K cases in over 2 months, Been a month without breaching 100K cases. We had our first day with under 50K cases (March 8th) since the first week of October. We recently had 2 straight days with under 1,000 deaths. First time that has happened since mid November.

Deaths

10K: April 4th

20K: April 10th (6 days to reach total)

40K: April 19th (9 days)

60K: April 29th (10 days)

80K: May 9th (10 days)

100K: May 26 (17 days)

120K: June 18th (23 days)

140K: July 15th (27 days)

160K: August 4th ( 20 days)

180K: August 22nd (18 days)

200K: September 15th (24 days)

220K: October 12th ( 27 days)

240K: November 5th (24 days)

260K: November 20th (15 days)

280K: December 3rd (13 days)

300K: December 11th (8 days)

320K: December 18th (7 days)

340K: December 27th (9 days)

360K: January 3rd (7 days)

380K: January 9th (6 days)

400K: January 15th (6 days)

420K: January 21st (6 days)

440K: January 28th (7 days)

460K: February 3rd (6 days)

480K: February 10th (7 days)

500K: February 17th (7 days)

520K: February 25th (8 days)

540K: March 9 (12 days)

Currently averaging 20K deaths every 12.84 days (doesn’t include the time to reach first 20K). Death rate is decreasing. We are still at a record breaking pace of deaths. With cases staying at 50-70K cases a day, the death rate is going to stay elevated for a while.

Total Cases:

100K: March 27th

1M: April 27th (31 days)

2M: June 7th (42 days)

3M: July 6th (29 days)

4M: July 21st (15 days)

5M: August 6th (16 days)

6M: August 27th (21 days)

7M: September 18th (22 days)

8M: October 11th (23 days)

9M: October 27th (16 days)

10M: November 6th (10 days)

11M: November 13th (7 days)

12M: November 19th (6 days)

13M: November 25th (6 days)

14M: December 1st (6 days)

15M: December 6th (5 days)

16M: December 10th (4 days)

17M: December 15th (5 days)

18M: December 19th (4 days)

19M: December 24th (5 days)

20M: December 29th (5 days)

21M: January 3rd (5 days)

22M: January 7th (4 days)

23M: January 11th (4 days)

24M: January 15th (4 days)

25M: January 20th (5 days)

26M: January 26th (6 days)

27M: February 2nd (7 days)

28M: February 11th (9 days)

29M: February 25th (14 days)

Case growth is slowing down quickly. We haven’t seen a slowdown like this since October. The big variable is, how do the variants impact case growth and will we be able to vaccinate enough people to mitigate the variant growth?

I use www.worldometers.info/…

Other sources:

Nytimes: 526,722

Washington Post: 526K

CNN: 524,924

NBC: 528,515

IHME: 521,992

Johns Hopkins: 525,800

CDC: 524,695

CDC Vaccine Tracker: covid.cdc.gov/...

Poll

24 votes Show Results

Have you received the vaccine yet?

24 votes Vote Now!

Have you received the vaccine yet?

Yes

17 votes

6 votes

No, but a friend/family member has

1 vote

520K Dead from Covid-19. 29 million cases. 14% of US population received at least 1 dose of vaccine

IowaNiceinDC

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Thursday February 25, 2021 · 1:26 PM PST

2021/02/25 · 13:26

520K dead, but things are getting better

The pace of deaths and cases is declining rapidly. The numbers are still incredibly high, but they are going down. We haven’t had a day with over 200K cases in over a month and we’ve had nearly 2 weeks of cases under 100K. That has not happened since October. However, since deaths lag cases, deaths will continue to surpass 2,000 a day, though we hit our peak a few weeks ago. But these should begin to decline even further.

Deaths

10K: April 4th

20K: April 10th (6 days to reach total)

40K: April 19th (9 days)

60K: April 29th (10 days)

80K: May 9th (10 days)

100K: May 26 (17 days)

120K: June 18th (23 days)

140K: July 15th (27 days)

160K: August 4th ( 20 days)

180K: August 22nd (18 days)

200K: September 15th (24 days)

220K: October 12th ( 27 days)

240K: November 5th (24 days)

260K: November 20th (15 days)

280K: December 3rd (13 days)

300K: December 11th (8 days)

320K: December 18th (7 days)

340K: December 27th (9 days)

360K: January 3rd (7 days)

380K: January 9th (6 days)

400K: January 15th (6 days)

420K: January 21st (6 days)

440K: January 28th (7 days)

460K: February 3rd (6 days)

480K: February 10th (7 days)

500K: February 17th (7 days)

520K: February 25th (8 days)

Currently averaging 20K deaths every 12.84 days (doesn’t include the time to reach first 20K). Death rate is decreasing. We are still at a record breaking pace of deaths. With cases staying at 50-75K cases a day, the death rate is going to stay elevated for a while.

Total Cases:

100K: March 27th

1M: April 27th (31 days)

2M: June 7th (42 days)

3M: July 6th (29 days)

4M: July 21st (15 days)

5M: August 6th (16 days)

6M: August 27th (21 days)

7M: September 18th (22 days)

8M: October 11th (23 days)

9M: October 27th (16 days)

10M: November 6th (10 days)

11M: November 13th (7 days)

12M: November 19th (6 days)

13M: November 25th (6 days)

14M: December 1st (6 days)

15M: December 6th (5 days)

16M: December 10th (4 days)

17M: December 15th (5 days)

18M: December 19th (4 days)

19M: December 24th (5 days)

20M: December 29th (5 days)

21M: January 3rd (5 days)

22M: January 7th (4 days)

23M: January 11th (4 days)

24M: January 15th (4 days)

25M: January 20th (5 days)

26M: January 26th (6 days)

27M: February 2nd (7 days)

28M: February 11th (9 days)

29M: February 25th (14 days)

I use www.worldometers.info/…

Other sources:

Nytimes: 505,642

Washington Post: 506K

Covid Tracking project: 495,070

CNN: 507,465

NBC: 508,954

IHME: 503,654

Johns Hopkins: 505,900

CDC: 501,181

CDC Vaccine Tracker: covid.cdc.gov/...

Poll

50 votes Show Results

Do you have a family member that has received the vaccine?

50 votes Vote Now!

Do you have a family member that has received the vaccine?

Yes

42 votes

8 votes

500K Dead from Covid-19. 28 million cases. 12% of US population received at least 1 dose of vaccine

IowaNiceinDC

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Wednesday February 17, 2021 · 6:13 AM PST

2021/02/17 · 06:13

500K dead, but things are getting better

The pace of deaths and cases is declining rapidly. The numbers are still incredibly high, but they are going down. We haven’t had a day with over 200K cases in over month and we just had three straight days of cases under 100K. That has not happened since the first week of November. This upcoming week will probably be the first week where every day is under 100K cases since late October/ early November. However, since deaths lag cases, deaths will continue to surpass 3,000 a day, though we hit our peak two weeks ago. But these should begin to decline even further.

Deaths

10K: April 4th

20K: April 10th (6 days to reach total)

40K: April 19th (9 days)

60K: April 29th (10 days)

80K: May 9th (10 days)

100K: May 26 (17 days)

120K: June 18th (23 days)

140K: July 15th (27 days)

160K: August 4th ( 20 days)

180K: August 22nd (18 days)

200K: September 15th (24 days)

220K: October 12th ( 27 days)

240K: November 5th (24 days)

260K: November 20th (15 days)

280K: December 3rd (13 days)

300K: December 11th (8 days)

320K: December 18th (7 days)

340K: December 27th (9 days)

360K: January 3rd (7 days)

380K: January 9th (6 days)

400K: January 15th (6 days)

420K: January 21st (6 days)

440K: January 28th (7 days)

460K: February 3rd (6 days)

480K: February 10th (7 days)

500K: February 17th (7 days)

Currently averaging 20K deaths every 13.04 days (doesn’t include the time to reach first 20K). Death rate is increasing, though it appears we peaked a few weeks ago and are now declining. We are still at a record breaking pace of deaths. With cases staying at 60-100K cases a day, the death rate is going to stay elevated for a while. Monday was the first day we reported under 1,000 deaths since the end of November.

Total Cases:

100K: March 27th

1M: April 27th (31 days)

2M: June 7th (42 days)

3M: July 6th (29 days)

4M: July 21st (15 days)

5M: August 6th (16 days)

6M: August 27th (21 days)

7M: September 18th (22 days)

8M: October 11th (23 days)

9M: October 27th (16 days)

10M: November 6th (10 days)

11M: November 13th (7 days)

12M: November 19th (6 days)

13M: November 25th (6 days)

14M: December 1st (6 days)

15M: December 6th (5 days)

16M: December 10th (4 days)

17M: December 15th (5 days)

18M: December 19th (4 days)

19M: December 24th (5 days)

20M: December 29th (5 days)

21M: January 3rd (5 days)

22M: January 7th (4 days)

23M: January 11th (4 days)

24M: January 15th (4 days)

25M: January 20th (5 days)

26M: January 26th (6 days)

27M: February 2nd (7 days)

28M: February 11th (9 days)

Case growth is slowing down quickly. This is the first time in a very long time that it will take over a week to diagnose 1M cases. We haven’t seen that slowdown since first week of November. The big variable is, how do the variants impact case growth and will we be able to vaccinate enough people to mitigate the variant growth?

I use www.worldometers.info/…

Other sources:

Nytimes: 487,855

Washington Post: 486K

Covid Tracking project: 478,259

CNN: 488,103

NBC: 489,823

IHME: 484,827

Johns Hopkins: 488,100

CDC: 485,070

CDC Vaccine Tracker: covid.cdc.gov/...

Poll

33 votes Show Results

Do you plan on wearing a mask once the pandemic is over?

33 votes Vote Now!

Do you plan on wearing a mask once the pandemic is over?

Yes

17 votes

8 votes

IDK

8 votes

480K Dead from Covid-19. 27 million cases. 10% of US population received at least 1 dose of vaccine

IowaNiceinDC

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Wednesday February 10, 2021 · 9:55 AM PST

2021/02/10 · 09:55

480K dead, but things may be getting better.

The pace of deaths and cases is declining. The numbers are still incredibly high, but they are going down. We haven’t had a day with over 200K cases in nearly a month and we just had three straight days of cases under 100K. That has not happened since the first week of November. However, since deaths lag cases, deaths will continue to surpass 3,000 a day, though we may have hit our peak a week or two ago. But these should begin to decline even further.

Deaths

10K: April 4th

20K: April 10th (6 days to reach total)

40K: April 19th (9 days)

60K: April 29th (10 days)

80K: May 9th (10 days)

100K: May 26 (17 days)

120K: June 18th (23 days)

140K: July 15th (27 days)

160K: August 4th ( 20 days)

180K: August 22nd (18 days)

200K: September 15th (24 days)

220K: October 12th ( 27 days)

240K: November 5th (24 days)

260K: November 20th (15 days)

280K: December 3rd (13 days)

300K: December 11th (8 days)

320K: December 18th (7 days)

340K: December 27th (9 days)

360K: January 3rd (7 days)

380K: January 9th (6 days)

400K: January 15th (6 days)

420K: January 21st (6 days)

440K: January 28th (7 days)

460K: February 3rd (6 days)

480K: February 10th (7 days)

Currently averaging 20K deaths every 13.30 days (doesn’t include the time to reach first 20K). Death rate is increasing, though it appears we peaked a few weeks ago and are now declining. We are still at a record breaking pace of deaths. With cases staying at 100K-125K cases a day, the death rate is going to stay elevated for a while.

Total Cases:

100K: March 27th

1M: April 27th (31 days)

2M: June 7th (42 days)

3M: July 6th (29 days)

4M: July 21st (15 days)

5M: August 6th (16 days)

6M: August 27th (21 days)

7M: September 18th (22 days)

8M: October 11th (23 days)

9M: October 27th (16 days)

10M: November 6th (10 days)

11M: November 13th (7 days)

12M: November 19th (6 days)

13M: November 25th (6 days)

14M: December 1st (6 days)

15M: December 6th (5 days)

16M: December 10th (4 days)

17M: December 15th (5 days)

18M: December 19th (4 days)

19M: December 24th (5 days)

20M: December 29th (5 days)

21M: January 3rd (5 days)

22M: January 7th (4 days)

23M: January 11th (4 days)

24M: January 15th (4 days)

25M: January 20th (5 days)

26M: January 26th (6 days)

27M: February 2nd (7 days)

28M: February 11th? (9 days)

I use www.worldometers.info/…

Other sources:

Nytimes: 468,088

Washington Post: 466K

Covid Tracking project: 458,250

CNN: 468,217

NBC: 470,573

IHME: 465,133

Johns Hopkins: 468,200

CDC: 463,659

CDC Vaccine Tracker: covid.cdc.gov/...

Poll

39 votes Show Results

Do you have anyone in your immediate family that has received at least one dose of the vaccine?

39 votes Vote Now!

Do you have anyone in your immediate family that has received at least one dose of the vaccine?

Yes

25 votes

13 votes

IDK

1 vote

460K Dead from Covid-19. 27 million cases.

IowaNiceinDC

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Wednesday February 03, 2021 · 1:30 PM PST

2021/02/03 · 13:30

460K dead in a year. With the Biden administration now in charge, let’s hope this is the beginning of the end.

The pace of deaths and cases seems to be declining. The numbers are still incredibly high, but they are going down. We haven’t had a day with over 200K cases in nearly three weeks. However, since deaths lag cases, deaths will continue to surpass 3,000 a day, and 4,000 on some days. But these should begin to decline as well.

Deaths

10K: April 4th

20K: April 10th (6 days to reach total)

40K: April 19th (9 days)

60K: April 29th (10 days)

80K: May 9th (10 days)

100K: May 26 (17 days)

120K: June 18th (23 days)

140K: July 15th (27 days)

160K: August 4th ( 20 days)

180K: August 22nd (18 days)

200K: September 15th (24 days)

220K: October 12th ( 27 days)

240K: November 5th (24 days)

260K: November 20th (15 days)

280K: December 3rd (13 days)

300K: December 11th (8 days)

320K: December 18th (7 days)

340K: December 27th (9 days)

360K: January 3rd (7 days)

380K: January 9th (6 days)

400K: January 15th (6 days)

420K: January 21st (6 days)

440K: January 28th (7 days)

460K: February 3rd (6 days)

Currently averaging 20K deaths every 13.59 days (doesn’t include the time to reach first 20K). Death rate is increasing, though we could be at a plateau right now. We are still at a record breaking pace of deaths. With cases staying at 100K-125K cases a day, the death rate is going to stay elevated for a while.

Total Cases:

100K: March 27th

1M: April 27th (31 days)

2M: June 7th (42 days)

3M: July 6th (29 days)

4M: July 21st (15 days)

5M: August 6th (16 days)

6M: August 27th (21 days)

7M: September 18th (22 days)

8M: October 11th (23 days)

9M: October 27th (16 days)

10M: November 6th (10 days)

11M: November 13th (7 days)

12M: November 19th (6 days)

13M: November 25th (6 days)

14M: December 1st (6 days)

15M: December 6th (5 days)

16M: December 10th (4 days)

17M: December 15th (5 days)

18M: December 19th (4 days)

19M: December 24th (5 days)

20M: December 29th (5 days)

21M: January 3rd (5 days)

22M: January 7th (4 days)

23M: January 11th (4 days)

24M: January 15th (4 days)

25M: January 20th (5 days)

26M: January 26th (6 days)

27M: February 2nd (7 days)

Case growth is slowing down. The big variable is, how do the variants impact case growth and will we be able to vaccinate enough people to mitigate the variant growth?

I use www.worldometers.info/…

Other sources:

Nytimes: 446,643

Washington Post: 447K

Covid Tracking project: 437,237

CNN: 448,862

NBC: 449,763

IHME: 445,091

Johns Hopkins: 446,900

Poll

34 votes Show Results

When do you expect to get vaccinated?

34 votes Vote Now!

When do you expect to get vaccinated?

February

8 votes

March

7 votes

April

4 votes

May

3 votes

June

5 votes

July

3 votes

August

1 vote

September

2 votes

October

0 votes

November

0 votes

December

1 vote

2022

0 votes

Won't get the vaccine

0 votes

440K Dead from Covid-19. 26 million cases.

IowaNiceinDC

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Thursday January 28, 2021 · 10:32 AM PST

2021/01/28 · 10:32

440K dead in a year. With the Biden administration now in charge, let’s hope this is the beginning of the end.

The pace of deaths and cases seems to be declining. The numbers are still incredibly high, but they are going down. We haven’t had a day with over 200K cases in nearly two weeks. However, since deaths lag cases, deaths will continue to surpass 3,000 a day, and 4,000 on some days. But these should begin to decline as well.

Deaths

10K: April 4th

20K: April 10th (6 days to reach total)

40K: April 19th (9 days)

60K: April 29th (10 days)

80K: May 9th (10 days)

100K: May 26 (17 days)

120K: June 18th (23 days)

140K: July 15th (27 days)

160K: August 4th ( 20 days)

180K: August 22nd (18 days)

200K: September 15th (24 days)

220K: October 12th ( 27 days)

240K: November 5th (24 days)

260K: November 20th (15 days)

280K: December 3rd (13 days)

300K: December 11th (8 days)

320K: December 18th (7 days)

340K: December 27th (9 days)

360K: January 3rd (7 days)

380K: January 9th (6 days)

400K: January 15th (6 days)

420K: January 21st (6 days)

440K: January 28th (7 days)

Currently averaging 20K deaths every 13.95 days (doesn’t include the time to reach first 20K). Death rate is increasing. We are still at a record breaking pace of deaths. With cases staying at 150-200K cases a day, the death rate is going to stay elevated for a while.

Total Cases:

100K: March 27th

1M: April 27th (31 days)

2M: June 7th (42 days)

3M: July 6th (29 days)

4M: July 21st (15 days)

5M: August 6th (16 days)

6M: August 27th (21 days)

7M: September 18th (22 days)

8M: October 11th (23 days)

9M: October 27th (16 days)

10M: November 6th (10 days)

11M: November 13th (7 days)

12M: November 19th (6 days)

13M: November 25th (6 days)

14M: December 1st (6 days)

15M: December 6th (5 days)

16M: December 10th (4 days)

17M: December 15th (5 days)

18M: December 19th (4 days)

19M: December 24th (5 days)

20M: December 29th (5 days)

21M: January 3rd (5 days)

22M: January 7th (4 days)

23M: January 11th (4 days)

24M: January 15th (4 days)

25M: January 20th (5 days)

26M: January 26th (6 days)

Case growth appears to be slowing down. It’s possible this is being cause by a weekend reporting affect, but cases overall seem to be declining week to week.

I use www.worldometers.info/…

Other sources:

Nytimes: 429,312

Washington Post: 428K

Covid Tracking project: 419,634

CNN: 430,055

NBC: 430,759

IHME: 430,343

Johns Hopkins: 429,200

420K Dead from Covid-19. 25 million cases.

IowaNiceinDC

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Thursday January 21, 2021 · 6:04 PM PST

2021/01/21 · 18:04

420K dead in about a year. With the Biden administration now in charge, let’s hope this is the beginning of the end.

The pace of deaths and cases seems have hit a plateau. With cases skyrocketing past 200K cases a day, deaths easily surpassing 3,000 a day, and 4,000 on some days.

Deaths

10K: April 4th

20K: April 10th (6 days to reach total)

40K: April 19th (9 days)

60K: April 29th (10 days)

80K: May 9th (10 days)

100K: May 26 (17 days)

120K: June 18th (23 days)

140K: July 15th (27 days)

160K: August 4th ( 20 days)

180K: August 22nd (18 days)

200K: September 15th (24 days)

220K: October 12th ( 27 days)

240K: November 5th (24 days)

260K: November 20th (15 days)

280K: December 3rd (13 days)

300K: December 11th (8 days)

320K: December 18th (7 days)

340K: December 27th (9 days)

360K: January 3rd (7 days)

380K: January 9th (6 days)

400K: January 15th (6 days)

420K: January 21st (6 days)

Currently averaging 20K deaths every 14.3 days (doesn’t include the time to reach first 20K). Death rate is increasing. We are still at a record breaking pace of deaths. With cases staying at 200K cases a day, the death rate is going to stay elevated for a while.

Total Cases:

100K: March 27th

1M: April 27th (31 days)

2M: June 7th (42 days)

3M: July 6th (29 days)

4M: July 21st (15 days)

5M: August 6th (16 days)

6M: August 27th (21 days)

7M: September 18th (22 days)

8M: October 11th (23 days)

9M: October 27th (16 days)

10M: November 6th (10 days)

11M: November 13th (7 days)

12M: November 19th (6 days)

13M: November 25th (6 days)

14M: December 1st (6 days)

15M: December 6th (5 days)

16M: December 10th (4 days)

17M: December 15th (5 days)

18M: December 19th (4 days)

19M: December 24th (5 days)

20M: December 29th (5 days)

21M: January 3rd (5 days)

22M: January 7th (4 days)

23M: January 11th (4 days)

24M: January 15th (4 days)

25M: January 20th (5 days)

Case growth has plateaued. 200K+ cases a day on most days. We are hitting a million cases in less than a work week!

I use www.worldometers.info/…

Other sources:

Nytimes: 409,997

Washington Post: 408K

Covid Tracking project: 400,726

CNN: 390,649

NBC: 410,147

IHME: 409,006

Johns Hopkins: 406,100

Poll

77 votes Show Results

When do things get back to "normal"

77 votes Vote Now!

When do things get back to "normal"

Spring 2021

0 votes

Summer 2021

4 votes

Fall 2021

19 votes

Winter 2021

14 votes

Spring 2022

23 votes

Summer 2022

10 votes

Fall 2022

2 votes

Winter 2022

5 votes

400K DEAD from Covid-19

IowaNiceinDC

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Friday January 15, 2021 · 12:15 PM PST

2021/01/15 · 12:15

400K dead in less than a year.

The pace of deaths and cases seems have hit a plateau. With cases skyrocketing past 200K cases a day, deaths easily surpassing 3,000 a day, and 4,000 on some days.

Deaths

10K: April 4th

20K: April 10th (6 days to reach total)

40K: April 19th (9 days)

60K: April 29th (10 days)

80K: May 9th (10 days)

100K: May 26 (17 days)

120K: June 18th (23 days)

140K: July 15th (27 days)

160K: August 4th ( 20 days)

180K: August 22nd (18 days)

200K: September 15th (24 days)

220K: October 12th ( 27 days)

240K: November 5th (24 days)

260K: November 20th (15 days)

280K: December 3rd (13 days)

300K: December 11th (8 days)

320K: December 18th (7 days)

340K: December 27th (9 days)

360K: January 3rd (7 days)

380K: January 9th (6 days)

400K: January 15th (6 days)

Had to change my tally to every 20K deaths as the list was getting too depressingly long. Currently averaging 20K deaths every 14.73 days (doesn’t include the time to reach first 20K). Death rate is increasing. We are at the rate when this pandemic started in March/April when New York was reporting over 1K dead a day. With cases surging to 200K cases a day, the death rate is going to increase rapidly.

I can’t believe it happened. We somehow crossed 400K deaths before the inauguration. I never thought that would happen.

Total Cases:

100K: March 27th

1M: April 27th (31 days)

2M: June 7th (42 days)

3M: July 6th (29 days)

4M: July 21st (15 days)

5M: August 6th (16 days)

6M: August 27th (21 days)

7M: September 18th (22 days)

8M: October 11th (23 days)

9M: October 27th (16 days)

10M: November 6th (10 days)

11M: November 13th (7 days)

12M: November 19th (6 days)

13M: November 25th (6 days)

14M: December 1st (6 days)

15M: December 6th (5 days)

16M: December 10th (4 days)

17M: December 15th (5 days)

18M: December 19th (4 days)

19M: December 24th (5 days)

20M: December 29th (5 days)

21M: January 3rd (5 days)

22M: January 7th (4 days)

23M: January 11th (4 days)

24M: January 15th (4 days)

Case growth is surging. 200K+ cases a day on most days. We are hitting a million cases in less than a work week!

I use www.worldometers.info/…

Other sources:

Nytimes: 389,944

Washington Post: 390K

Covid Tracking project: 379,451

CNN: 390,649

NBC: 390,057

IHME: 402,296

Johns Hopkins: 388,500

GA runoff compared to GA General (Mail ballots and In person early votes) The last update!

IowaNiceinDC

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Tuesday January 05, 2021 · 9:38 AM PST

2021/01/05 · 09:38

This is it folks, the last update before the polls close tonight. I’ve deleted the mail ballot requests number as no one is requesting ballots anymore. What I will talk about is mail returns and the in person early votes.

Mail ballot Returns:

1. 1,018,381 ballots have been returned compared to 1,320,154 for the General

2. Percentage wise, that means the runoff is at 77.14% (4.5% increase from the last posting) of the returns compared to the General.

3. Of the 1,018,381 ballot returns, 635,271 are from Biden counties (43K increase since the last posting), and 383,110 are from Trump counties (18K increase since the last posting).

4. In the general, out of the 1,320,154 returns, 823,960 came from Biden counties and 496,194 came from trump counties.

5. That means, Biden counties are currently returning 77.10% of the ballots (5.2% increase since the last posting) when compared to the 2020 general and Trump counties are returning 77.21% (3.6% increase since the last posting). This is the first time they have been this close to parity since the first day.

6. Overall, for the runoff, Biden counties have returned 62.38% of all mail ballots (.5% increase since the last posting) and Trump counties have returned 37.62% (.5% decrease since the last posting). In the General, this % was 62.41% for Biden counties and 37.59% for Trump counties.

7. Raw numbers wise; Democratic counties currently have a 252,161 mail return edge (25K increase since the last posting) on GOP counties out of 1,018,381 ballot returns. In the General, Democratic counties had a 327,766 edge on GOP counties out of 1,320,514 ballot returns.

If you use the margins Biden got in the general, Dems have a 305K vote lead on mail ballot returns (increase of 22K).

There’s between 236-355K ballots left to return. The range is due to ballots potentially being returned at polling places. If these ballots were all returned, it would net between 77K to 120K democratic votes.

In Person Early Votes

1. 2,074,993 votes have been tabulated compared to 2,694,763 for the General

2. Percentage wise, that means the runoff finishes at 77% of the votes compared to the General.

3. Of the 2,074,993 votes, 1,117,795 are from Biden counties and 957,198 are from Trump counties.

4. In the general, out of the 2,694,763 votes, 1,373,128 came from Biden counties and 1,321,635 came from trump counties.

5. That means, Biden counties finish at 81.01% of votes when compared to the 2020 general and Trump counties finish at 72.79% of votes.

6. Overall, for the runoff, Biden counties finish at 53.87% of all early in person votes and Trump counties finish at 46.13% of all early in person votes. In the General, this % was 50.96% for Biden counties and 49.04% for Trump counties.

7. Raw numbers wise; Democratic counties finish with a 160,597 vote edge on GOP counties out of 2,074,993 early in person votes. In the General, Democratic counties had a 51,493 edge on GOP counties out of 2,694,763 ballot returns.

If you use the margins Biden got in the general, Republicans have a 63,764 vote lead for in person early votes

Total early vote comparison

Currently, we are at 77.03% of the general election early vote.

Total early vote of runoff compared to early vote of general election

Couny	total early vote	total early vote GE	percent
RANDOLPH	2109	2343	90.01%
WARREN	1895	2151	88.10%
SPALDING	18561	21423	86.64%
NEWTON	31340	36373	86.16%
CALHOUN	1344	1562	86.04%
DEKALB	275470	320215	86.03%
TERRELL	2729	3173	86.01%
HANCOCK	2800	3259	85.92%
CLAYTON	78173	91265	85.65%
GREENE	8388	9811	85.50%
MACON	3084	3613	85.36%
SUMTER	7942	9496	83.64%
STEWART	1211	1454	83.29%
QUITMAN	650	781	83.23%
UNION	9835	11859	82.93%
RABUN	6761	8163	82.82%
HOUSTON	46466	56402	82.38%
DOUGLAS	47566	58031	81.97%
TOWNS	5614	6854	81.91%
JENKINS	2101	2567	81.85%
MORGAN	7613	9308	81.79%
PUTNAM	8038	9828	81.79%
OCONEE	17742	21738	81.62%
BALDWIN	12063	14792	81.55%
TALBOT	2037	2499	81.51%
DOUGHERTY	18992	23386	81.21%
WASHINGTON	5531	6820	81.10%
WILKES	3076	3795	81.05%
FULTON	374324	462174	80.99%
WHITE	8756	10822	80.91%
MCINTOSH	4368	5405	80.81%
ROCKDALE	31123	38532	80.77%
TURNER	2481	3076	80.66%
TALIAFERRO	582	723	80.50%
LINCOLN	2763	3462	79.81%
PULASKI	2797	3527	79.30%
BAKER	881	1112	79.23%
RICHMOND	52358	66164	79.13%
FANNIN	8110	10251	79.11%
SCREVEN	3739	4734	78.98%
GLYNN	27651	35014	78.97%
HARRIS	10293	13049	78.88%
GILMER	9165	11632	78.79%
DOOLY	2475	3145	78.70%
HABERSHAM	13536	17214	78.63%
OGELTHORPE	5215	6635	78.60%
DODGE	4047	5151	78.57%
MARION	2074	2640	78.56%
CRISP	5082	6471	78.54%
MUSCOGEE	53029	67557	78.50%
TELFAIR	2387	3044	78.42%
MERIWETHER	5832	7441	78.38%
GWINNET	267233	341211	78.32%
FAYETTE	48478	61908	78.31%
EVANS	2761	3532	78.17%
THOMAS	13764	17615	78.14%
WEBSTER	867	1110	78.11%
MILLER	1658	2123	78.10%
CLARKE	33101	42398	78.07%
JEFFERSON	4244	5442	77.99%
DAWSON	10444	13450	77.65%
JASPER	4454	5747	77.50%
COLUMBIA	47781	61785	77.33%
LIBERTY	13825	17877	77.33%
WILKINSON	2262	2927	77.28%
TIFT	9556	12369	77.26%
BLECKLEY	3438	4453	77.21%
LUMPKIN	10150	13159	77.13%
TROUP	17241	22382	77.03%
COOK	4128	5361	77.00%
MADISON	8182	10628	76.99%
CLAY	872	1135	76.83%
SCHLEY	1462	1904	76.79%
MCDUFIE	6897	8986	76.75%
MITCHELL	5052	6589	76.67%
EMMANUEL	4680	6110	76.60%
BACON	3129	4090	76.50%
WORTH	4519	5908	76.49%
TWIGGS	2413	3162	76.31%
TOOMBS	6485	8504	76.26%
BIBB	40851	53640	76.16%
MONROE	9262	12162	76.16%
TREUTLEN	1923	2526	76.13%
EARLY	2827	3738	75.63%
BEN HILL	4366	5774	75.61%
CHATHAM	72732	96210	75.60%
LAURENS	11421	15116	75.56%
COFFEE	8648	11474	75.37%
BRYAN	13412	17826	75.24%
CRAWFORD	3512	4669	75.22%
WALTON	29666	39548	75.01%
JOHNSON	2332	3113	74.91%
BROOKS	3835	5122	74.87%
CANDLER	2831	3782	74.85%
STEPHENS	7705	10321	74.65%
HENRY	79109	106149	74.53%
IRWIN	2431	3264	74.48%
ELBERT	5044	6774	74.46%
DADE	3813	5132	74.30%
PEACH	7965	10740	74.16%
CLINCH	1481	2002	73.98%
LEE	9390	12707	73.90%
COWETA	39019	52836	73.85%
HART	7240	9809	73.81%
LOWNDES	27627	37439	73.79%
POLK	10231	13875	73.74%
SEMINOLE	1941	2633	73.72%
GLASCOCK	827	1122	73.71%
CHATTAHOCHEE	821	1115	73.63%
FORSYTH	85244	115924	73.53%
EFFINGHAM	16337	22240	73.46%
JEFF DAVIS	3004	4092	73.41%
BULLOCH	15279	20828	73.36%
COLQUITT	7809	10661	73.25%
MONTGOMERY	1900	2595	73.22%
HEARD	2597	3548	73.20%
PAULDING	52124	71573	72.83%
GRADY	5828	8022	72.65%
COBB	235397	324055	72.64%
BUTTS	7654	10561	72.47%
WHEELER	1180	1634	72.22%
TATTNAL	4474	6208	72.07%
CHARLTON	2291	3189	71.84%
TAYLOR	2287	3190	71.69%
UPSON	7794	10878	71.65%
PIKE	5758	8063	71.41%
APPLING	4488	6295	71.29%
DECATUR	6666	9352	71.28%
GORDON	11357	15943	71.24%
BARROW	21427	30132	71.11%
LANIER	2047	2883	71.00%
WILCOX	1586	2245	70.65%
BERRIEN	3909	5552	70.41%
PIERCE	5427	7710	70.39%
BANKS	4911	6983	70.33%
BARTOW	26569	37829	70.23%
WAYNE	6856	9800	69.96%
HALL	52625	75298	69.89%
CATOOSA	18352	26271	69.86%
JACKSON	22009	31536	69.79%
WARE	7665	10987	69.76%
WHITFIELD	17209	24769	69.48%
PICKENS	7150	10308	69.36%
LAMAR	4706	6787	69.34%
JONES	7665	11086	69.14%
HARALSON	6573	9508	69.13%
BRANTLEY	3849	5575	69.04%
FLOYD	21500	31146	69.03%
MURRAY	7512	10933	68.71%
CHATTOOGA	4918	7178	68.51%
BURKE	4926	7212	68.30%
CARROL	27384	40114	68.27%
FRANKLIN	5485	8100	67.72%
LONG	2729	4056	67.28%
ECHOLS	790	1180	66.95%
CAMDEN	12527	18744	66.83%
CHEROKEE	75864	113778	66.68%
ATKINSON	1438	2174	66.15%
WALKER	14761	22677	65.09%

I’m not going to make any predictions. All I will say is, Democrats did what they needed to do in the early vote. They kept up in the mail vote, and they cut into the margin on the early in person vote. We should also expect another 50K mail in votes to come in today, which should help Democrats.

Poll

1373 votes Show Results

Who wins?

1373 votes Vote Now!

Who wins?

Ossoff/Warnock

1034 votes

Perdue/Loeffler

142 votes

Perdue/Warnock

170 votes

Ossoff/Loeffler

27 votes

GA runoff compared to GA General (Mail ballots and In person early votes) (1/2/2021)

IowaNiceinDC

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Sunday January 03, 2021 · 3:22 PM PST

2021/01/03 · 15:22

Our second to last big mail vote update. The last one will probably be Tuesday morning.

Mail Ballot Requests

1. 1,374,720 ballots have been requested compared to 1,782,580 for the General

2. Percentage wise, that means the runoff is at 77.12% of the requests compared to the General. Increase of .06% from the last posting

3. Of the 1,374,720 ballot requests, 869,323 (600 ballot increase) are from Biden counties, and 505,397 (500 ballot increase) are from Trump counties.

4. In the general, out of the 1,782,580 requests, 1,117,802 came from Biden counties and 664,778 came from trump counties.

5. That means, Biden counties are currently requesting 77.77% (.05% increase from the last posting) of the ballots when compared to the 2020 general and Trump counties are requesting 76.02% (.07% increase from the last posting).

6. Overall, for the runoff, Biden counties have requested 63.24% (no change from the last posting) of all mail ballots and Trump counties have requested 36.76% (no change from the last posting). In the General, this % was 62.71% for Biden counties and 37.29% for Trump counties.

7. Raw numbers wise; Democratic counties currently have a 363,926 application edge (increase of 83 ballots from the last posting) on GOP counties out of 1,365,831 ballot requests. In the General, Democratic counties had a 453,024 edge on GOP counties out of 1,782,580 ballot requests.

Mail ballot Returns:

1. 957,544 ballots have been returned compared to 1,320,154 for the General

2. Percentage wise, that means the runoff is at 72.53% (2.2% increase from the last posting) of the returns compared to the General.

3. Of the 957,544 ballot returns, 592,383 are from Biden counties (25K increase since the last posting), and 365,161 are from Trump counties (4K increase since the last posting).

4. In the general, out of the 1,320,154 returns, 823,960 came from Biden counties and 496,194 came from trump counties.

5. That means, Biden counties are currently returning 71.89% of the ballots (3% increase since the last posting) when compared to the 2020 general and Trump counties are returning 73.59% (.96% increase since the last posting)

6. Overall, for the runoff, Biden counties have returned 61.86% of all mail ballots (.69% increase since the last posting) and Trump counties have returned 38.14% (.69% decrease since the last posting). In the General, this % was 62.41% for Biden counties and 37.59% for Trump counties.

7. Raw numbers wise; Democratic counties currently have a 227,222 mail return edge (20K increase since the last posting) on GOP counties out of 957,544 ballot returns. In the General, Democratic counties had a 327,766 edge on GOP counties out of 1,320,514 ballot returns.

If you use the margins Biden got in the general, Dems have a 283K vote lead on mail ballot returns (increase of 12K).

There’s between 297-417K ballots left to return. The range is due to ballots potentially being returned at polling places. If these ballots were all returned, it would net between 99K to 142K democratic votes.

In Person Early Votes

1. 2,074,522 votes have been tabulated compared to 2,694,763 for the General

2. Percentage wise, that means the runoff finishes at 76.98% of the votes (increase of .05% from yesterday) compared to the General.

3. Of the 2,074,522 votes, 1,117,708 are from Biden counties (increase of 260 votes from yesterday), and 956,814 are from Trump counties (increase of 1K from yesterday).

4. In the general, out of the 2,694,763 votes, 1,373,128 came from Biden counties and 1,321,635 came from trump counties.

5. That means, Biden counties finish at 81.01% of votes (increase of .02% from yesterday) when compared to the 2020 general and Trump counties finish at 72.76% of votes (increase of .1% from yesterday).

6. Overall, for the runoff, Biden counties finish at 53.88% of all early in person votes (decrease of .03% from yesterday) and Trump counties finish at 46.12% of all early in person votes (increase of .03% from yesterday). In the General, this % was 50.96% for Biden counties and 49.04% for Trump counties.

7. Raw numbers wise; Democratic counties finish with a 160,894 vote edge (1K decrease from yesterday) on GOP counties out of 2,074,522 early in person votes. In the General, Democratic counties had a 51,493 edge on GOP counties out of 2,694,763 ballot returns.

If you use the margins Biden got in the general, Republicans have a 63,593 vote lead for in person early votes (increase of 700 votes)

Total early vote comparison

Currently, we are at 75.5% of the general election early vote.

Total early vote of runoff compared to early vote of the general election

Couny	total early vote	total early vote GE	percent
RANDOLPH	2087	2343	89.07%
WARREN	1887	2151	87.73%
NEWTON	31321	36373	86.11%
HANCOCK	2784	3259	85.42%
TERRELL	2702	3173	85.16%
CALHOUN	1330	1562	85.15%
SPALDING	18211	21423	85.01%
MACON	3068	3613	84.92%
CLAYTON	77244	91265	84.64%
GREENE	8284	9811	84.44%
DEKALB	268081	320215	83.72%
SUMTER	7859	9496	82.76%
RABUN	6715	8163	82.26%
UNION	9752	11859	82.23%
STEWART	1195	1454	82.19%
TOWNS	5614	6854	81.91%
HOUSTON	46164	56402	81.85%
QUITMAN	637	781	81.56%
DOUGLAS	47227	58031	81.38%
MORGAN	7561	9308	81.23%
JENKINS	2082	2567	81.11%
PUTNAM	7941	9828	80.80%
OCONEE	17534	21738	80.66%
TALBOT	2011	2499	80.47%
ROCKDALE	30936	38532	80.29%
BALDWIN	11850	14792	80.11%
TURNER	2463	3076	80.07%
MCINTOSH	4327	5405	80.06%
WHITE	8658	10822	80.00%
DOUGHERTY	18700	23386	79.96%
WASHINGTON	5449	6820	79.90%
WILKES	3013	3795	79.39%
PULASKI	2791	3527	79.13%
TALIAFERRO	570	723	78.84%
LINCOLN	2720	3462	78.57%
BAKER	872	1112	78.42%
FULTON	362275	462174	78.38%
GLYNN	27431	35014	78.34%
RICHMOND	51789	66164	78.27%
FANNIN	8015	10251	78.19%
SCREVEN	3701	4734	78.18%
CRISP	5054	6471	78.10%
DOOLY	2451	3145	77.93%
HARRIS	10162	13049	77.88%
JEFFERSON	4230	5442	77.73%
TELFAIR	2366	3044	77.73%
HABERSHAM	13368	17214	77.66%
DAWSON	10444	13450	77.65%
EVANS	2741	3532	77.60%
DODGE	3997	5151	77.60%
OGELTHORPE	5148	6635	77.59%
MERIWETHER	5771	7441	77.56%
GILMER	9020	11632	77.54%
MARION	2045	2640	77.46%
MILLER	1642	2123	77.34%
FAYETTE	47790	61908	77.20%
GWINNET	263220	341211	77.14%
LUMPKIN	10147	13159	77.11%
THOMAS	13564	17615	77.00%
MUSCOGEE	51975	67557	76.94%
TIFT	9511	12369	76.89%
CLAY	872	1135	76.83%
COLUMBIA	47456	61785	76.81%
JASPER	4410	5747	76.74%
BLECKLEY	3410	4453	76.58%
COOK	4105	5361	76.57%
WILKINSON	2236	2927	76.39%
CLARKE	32365	42398	76.34%
SCHLEY	1452	1904	76.26%
LIBERTY	13606	17877	76.11%
BACON	3111	4090	76.06%
MCDUFIE	6833	8986	76.04%
MITCHELL	5008	6589	76.01%
EMMANUEL	4642	6110	75.97%
MADISON	8070	10628	75.93%
TWIGGS	2397	3162	75.81%
MONROE	9218	12162	75.79%
WORTH	4473	5908	75.71%
TOOMBS	6437	8504	75.69%
WEBSTER	838	1110	75.50%
TREUTLEN	1906	2526	75.46%
BEN HILL	4327	5774	74.94%
TROUP	16754	22382	74.85%
BRYAN	13318	17826	74.71%
EARLY	2791	3738	74.67%
CRAWFORD	3485	4669	74.64%
LAURENS	11274	15116	74.58%
COFFEE	8530	11474	74.34%
PEACH	7965	10740	74.16%
JOHNSON	2307	3113	74.11%
BROOKS	3794	5122	74.07%
IRWIN	2417	3264	74.05%
DADE	3796	5132	73.97%
BIBB	39510	53640	73.66%
CLINCH	1473	2002	73.58%
LOWNDES	27539	37439	73.56%
ELBERT	4974	6774	73.43%
SEMINOLE	1927	2633	73.19%
CANDLER	2767	3782	73.16%
LEE	9287	12707	73.09%
EFFINGHAM	16245	22240	73.04%
CHATTAHOCHEE	813	1115	72.91%
POLK	10115	13875	72.90%
HART	7146	9809	72.85%
HEARD	2580	3548	72.72%
JEFF DAVIS	2974	4092	72.68%
GLASCOCK	815	1122	72.64%
WALTON	28701	39548	72.57%
BULLOCH	15111	20828	72.55%
COLQUITT	7731	10661	72.52%
COWETA	38286	52836	72.46%
MONTGOMERY	1880	2595	72.45%
STEPHENS	7447	10321	72.15%
GRADY	5775	8022	71.99%
CHARLTON	2289	3189	71.78%
FORSYTH	83007	115924	71.60%
BUTTS	7560	10561	71.58%
PIKE	5751	8063	71.33%
PAULDING	51019	71573	71.28%
TATTNAL	4423	6208	71.25%
COBB	230831	324055	71.23%
WHEELER	1163	1634	71.18%
HENRY	75138	106149	70.79%
APPLING	4453	6295	70.74%
CHATHAM	67979	96210	70.66%
DECATUR	6595	9352	70.52%
GORDON	11236	15943	70.48%
WILCOX	1582	2245	70.47%
BANKS	4908	6983	70.28%
LANIER	2026	2883	70.27%
PIERCE	5394	7710	69.96%
BARROW	21078	30132	69.95%
BERRIEN	3877	5552	69.83%
WAYNE	6807	9800	69.46%
UPSON	7545	10878	69.36%
BARTOW	26210	37829	69.29%
JACKSON	21840	31536	69.25%
CATOOSA	18161	26271	69.13%
JONES	7663	11086	69.12%
TAYLOR	2204	3190	69.09%
WARE	7571	10987	68.91%
LAMAR	4675	6787	68.88%
HALL	51832	75298	68.84%
HARALSON	6536	9508	68.74%
WHITFIELD	16980	24769	68.55%
MURRAY	7470	10933	68.33%
CHATTOOGA	4880	7178	67.99%
FLOYD	21071	31146	67.65%
CARROL	27087	40114	67.53%
ECHOLS	790	1180	66.95%
FRANKLIN	5422	8100	66.94%
BRANTLEY	3728	5575	66.87%
CAMDEN	12405	18744	66.18%
ATKINSON	1432	2174	65.87%
BURKE	4739	7212	65.71%
CHEROKEE	74652	113778	65.61%
LONG	2661	4056	65.61%
WALKER	14595	22677	64.36%
PICKENS	6605	10308	64.08%

I use: electproject.github.io/… and www.georgiavotes.com/...

Poll

215 votes Show Results

How do you feel about the Georgia runoffs?

215 votes Vote Now!

How do you feel about the Georgia runoffs?

Optimistic

102 votes

Pessimistic

47 votes

I don't know

66 votes

GA runoff compared to GA General (Mail ballots and In person early votes) (New Years update)

IowaNiceinDC

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Friday January 01, 2021 · 10:44 AM PST

2021/01/01 · 10:44

Happy New Years! Here’s hoping 2021 electorally starts off with some good news!

Early in person voting is officially over. We now have the next 5 days for mail ballots to arrive before polls close, and election day itself. Since mail ballots favor dems pretty heavily, we should see the democratic early vote advantage grow through these 5 days.

Mail Ballot Requests

1. 1,373,691 ballots have been requested compared to 1,782,580 for the General

2. Percentage wise, that means the runoff is at 77.06% of the requests compared to the General. Increase of .18% from the last posting

3. Of the 1,373,691 ballot requests, 868,767 (2K increase) are from Biden counties, and 504,924 (1.5K increase) are from Trump counties.

4. In the general, out of the 1,782,580 requests, 1,117,802 came from Biden counties and 664,778 came from trump counties.

5. That means, Biden counties are currently requesting 77.72% (.16% increase from the last posting) of the ballots when compared to the 2020 general and Trump counties are requesting 75.95% (.2% increase from the last posting).

6. Overall, for the runoff, Biden counties have requested 63.24% (.02% decrease from the last posting) of all mail ballots and Trump counties have requested 36.76% (.02% increase from the last posting). In the General, this % was 62.71% for Biden counties and 37.29% for Trump counties.

7. Raw numbers wise; Democratic counties currently have a 363,843 application edge (increase of 500 votes from the last posting) on GOP counties out of 1,365,831 ballot requests. In the General, Democratic counties had a 453,024 edge on GOP counties out of 1,782,580 ballot requests.

Mail ballot Returns:

1. 928,069 ballots have been returned compared to 1,320,154 for the General

2. Percentage wise, that means the runoff is at 70.3% (2.4% increase from the last posting) of the returns compared to the General.

3. Of the 928,069 ballot returns, 567,665 are from Biden counties (18K increase since the last posting), and 360,404 are from Trump counties (14K increase since the last posting).

4. In the general, out of the 1,320,154 returns, 823,960 came from Biden counties and 496,194 came from trump counties.

5. That means, Biden counties are currently returning 68.89% of the ballots (2.1% increase since the last posting) when compared to the 2020 general and Trump counties are returning 72.63% (2.8% increase since the last posting)

6. Overall, for the runoff, Biden counties have returned 61.17% of all mail ballots (.18% decrease since the last posting) and Trump counties have returned 38.83% (.18% increase since the last posting). In the General, this % was 62.41% for Biden counties and 37.59% for Trump counties.

7. Raw numbers wise; Democratic counties currently have a 207,261 mail return edge (4K increase since the last posting) on GOP counties out of 928,069 ballot returns. In the General, Democratic counties had a 327,766 edge on GOP counties out of 1,320,514 ballot returns.

If you use the margins Biden got in the general, Dems have a 271K vote lead on mail ballot returns (increase of 8K).

There’s between 334-437K ballots left to return. The range is due to ballots potentially being returned at polling places. If these ballots were all returned, it would net between 111K to 153K democratic votes.

In Person Early Votes

1. 2,072,948 votes have been tabulated compared to 2,694,763 for the General

2. Percentage wise, that means the runoff finishes at 76.93% of the votes (increase of 5.8% from yesterday) compared to the General.

3. Of the 2,072,948 votes, 1,117,448 are from Biden counties (increase of 66K from yesterday), and 955,500 are from Trump counties (increase of 90K from yesterday). Note, the largest Democratic county, Fulton, was closed yesterday. Along with Bibb county. If both were open, Biden counties probably would have won the day again.

4. In the general, out of the 2,694,763 votes, 1,373,128 came from Biden counties and 1,321,635 came from trump counties.

5. That means, Biden counties finish at 80.99% of votes (increase of 4.8% from yesterday) when compared to the 2020 general and Trump counties finish at 72.66% of votes (increase of 6.8% from yesterday).

6. Overall, for the runoff, Biden counties finish at 53.91% of all early in person votes (decrease of .94% from yesterday) and Trump counties finish at 46.09% of all early in person votes (increase of .94% from yesterday). In the General, this % was 50.96% for Biden counties and 49.04% for Trump counties.

7. Raw numbers wise; Democratic counties finish with a 161,948 vote edge (24K decrease from yesterday) on GOP counties out of 2,072,948 early in person votes. In the General, Democratic counties had a 51,493 edge on GOP counties out of 2,694,763 ballot returns.

If you use the margins Biden got in the general, Republicans have a 62,879 vote lead for in person early votes (increase of 22K votes)

Total early vote comparison

Currently, we are at 74.73% of the general election early vote.

Total early vote of the runoff compared to early vote of the general election

Couny	total early vote	total early vote GE	percent
RANDOLPH	2087	2343	89.07%
WARREN	1887	2151	87.73%
NEWTON	31147	36373	85.63%
HANCOCK	2784	3259	85.42%
TERRELL	2702	3173	85.16%
CALHOUN	1330	1562	85.15%
SPALDING	18205	21423	84.98%
MACON	3068	3613	84.92%
GREENE	8283	9811	84.43%
CLAYTON	75583	91265	82.82%
SUMTER	7859	9496	82.76%
DEKALB	263182	320215	82.19%
STEWART	1195	1454	82.19%
UNION	9745	11859	82.17%
RABUN	6683	8163	81.87%
TOWNS	5604	6854	81.76%
QUITMAN	637	781	81.56%
MORGAN	7561	9308	81.23%
JENKINS	2082	2567	81.11%
HOUSTON	45738	56402	81.09%
PUTNAM	7941	9828	80.80%
OCONEE	17516	21738	80.58%
DOUGLAS	46660	58031	80.41%
BALDWIN	11850	14792	80.11%
TURNER	2463	3076	80.07%
MCINTOSH	4327	5405	80.06%
WHITE	8658	10822	80.00%
WASHINGTON	5449	6820	79.90%
ROCKDALE	30758	38532	79.82%
TALBOT	1992	2499	79.71%
PULASKI	2791	3527	79.13%
TALIAFERRO	570	723	78.84%
DOUGHERTY	18416	23386	78.75%
LINCOLN	2720	3462	78.57%
BAKER	872	1112	78.42%
GLYNN	27429	35014	78.34%
CRISP	5052	6471	78.07%
SCREVEN	3695	4734	78.05%
WILKES	2958	3795	77.94%
DOOLY	2451	3145	77.93%
FANNIN	7988	10251	77.92%
HARRIS	10162	13049	77.88%
TELFAIR	2366	3044	77.73%
FULTON	359136	462174	77.71%
HABERSHAM	13368	17214	77.66%
DAWSON	10444	13450	77.65%
DODGE	3997	5151	77.60%
OGELTHORPE	5148	6635	77.59%
MERIWETHER	5771	7441	77.56%
GILMER	9015	11632	77.50%
MARION	2045	2640	77.46%
JEFFERSON	4213	5442	77.42%
MILLER	1642	2123	77.34%
RICHMOND	51111	66164	77.25%
FAYETTE	47790	61908	77.20%
EVANS	2725	3532	77.15%
THOMAS	13564	17615	77.00%
MUSCOGEE	51935	67557	76.88%
CLAY	872	1135	76.83%
COLUMBIA	47424	61785	76.76%
JASPER	4410	5747	76.74%
LUMPKIN	10085	13159	76.64%
TIFT	9475	12369	76.60%
BLECKLEY	3410	4453	76.58%
COOK	4102	5361	76.52%
WILKINSON	2236	2927	76.39%
CLARKE	32365	42398	76.34%
SCHLEY	1452	1904	76.26%
LIBERTY	13606	17877	76.11%
BACON	3111	4090	76.06%
MCDUFIE	6833	8986	76.04%
GWINNET	259402	341211	76.02%
EMMANUEL	4642	6110	75.97%
MONROE	9218	12162	75.79%
WORTH	4473	5908	75.71%
MITCHELL	4988	6589	75.70%
TWIGGS	2392	3162	75.65%
MADISON	8027	10628	75.53%
WEBSTER	838	1110	75.50%
TREUTLEN	1906	2526	75.46%
TOOMBS	6409	8504	75.36%
BEN HILL	4327	5774	74.94%
TROUP	16754	22382	74.85%
BRYAN	13312	17826	74.68%
EARLY	2791	3738	74.67%
CRAWFORD	3485	4669	74.64%
LAURENS	11244	15116	74.38%
COFFEE	8530	11474	74.34%
JOHNSON	2307	3113	74.11%
IRWIN	2417	3264	74.05%
BROOKS	3791	5122	74.01%
DADE	3787	5132	73.79%
BIBB	39510	53640	73.66%
CLINCH	1473	2002	73.58%
ELBERT	4974	6774	73.43%
SEMINOLE	1927	2633	73.19%
CANDLER	2767	3782	73.16%
PEACH	7850	10740	73.09%
LEE	9287	12707	73.09%
LOWNDES	27305	37439	72.93%
CHATTAHOCHEE	813	1115	72.91%
POLK	10115	13875	72.90%
HART	7146	9809	72.85%
HEARD	2580	3548	72.72%
JEFF DAVIS	2974	4092	72.68%
GLASCOCK	815	1122	72.64%
COLQUITT	7731	10661	72.52%
MONTGOMERY	1880	2595	72.45%
EFFINGHAM	16095	22240	72.37%
STEPHENS	7447	10321	72.15%
COWETA	38047	52836	72.01%
GRADY	5775	8022	71.99%
BULLOCH	14951	20828	71.78%
CHARLTON	2289	3189	71.78%
FORSYTH	82995	115924	71.59%
BUTTS	7560	10561	71.58%
PAULDING	51019	71573	71.28%
TATTNAL	4423	6208	71.25%
WHEELER	1163	1634	71.18%
PIKE	5723	8063	70.98%
APPLING	4453	6295	70.74%
DECATUR	6595	9352	70.52%
GORDON	11236	15943	70.48%
WILCOX	1582	2245	70.47%
BANKS	4908	6983	70.28%
LANIER	2026	2883	70.27%
PIERCE	5394	7710	69.96%
BARROW	21078	30132	69.95%
COBB	226568	324055	69.92%
HENRY	74195	106149	69.90%
BERRIEN	3877	5552	69.83%
WAYNE	6807	9800	69.46%
UPSON	7545	10878	69.36%
BARTOW	26205	37829	69.27%
CATOOSA	18161	26271	69.13%
JONES	7663	11086	69.12%
TAYLOR	2204	3190	69.09%
WARE	7571	10987	68.91%
JACKSON	21713	31536	68.85%
HALL	51832	75298	68.84%
LAMAR	4660	6787	68.66%
WHITFIELD	16980	24769	68.55%
HARALSON	6489	9508	68.25%
MURRAY	7455	10933	68.19%
WALTON	26919	39548	68.07%
CHATTOOGA	4878	7178	67.96%
FLOYD	21071	31146	67.65%
CARROL	27087	40114	67.53%
ECHOLS	790	1180	66.95%
FRANKLIN	5422	8100	66.94%
BRANTLEY	3728	5575	66.87%
CHATHAM	63681	96210	66.19%
CAMDEN	12405	18744	66.18%
ATKINSON	1431	2174	65.82%
BURKE	4739	7212	65.71%
CHEROKEE	73696	113778	64.77%
LONG	2620	4056	64.60%
WALKER	14595	22677	64.36%
PICKENS	5353	10308	51.93%

Poll

39 votes Show Results

What percentage does the early vote for the runoff finish compared to the early general election?

39 votes Vote Now!

What percentage does the early vote for the runoff finish compared to the early general election?

9 votes

23 votes

3 votes

2 votes

100

0 votes

Newer
Older

RSS