I'll do the following for Ohio soon.
I took the data from here and added in results to include 100% of the votes taken from the Florida Secretary of State's website, and then I added in independent registration and Party to Voter breakage as taken from exit polling.
The results are:
Kerry Expected: 3,789,873
Bush Expected: 3,765,520
Which, according to my calculations and break percentages, means that KERRY SHOULD HAVE WON FLORIDA BY 14,353 votes.
Much much more below the fold
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