Brayking: Rasmussen shows Musgrove (MS-Sen) leading!

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Thursday May 29, 2008 · 9:25 AM PDT

2008/05/29 · 09:25

Real quick, more flesh after conference call is over, Musgrove is leading Wicker 47 to 46 in today's Rasmussen poll.

The first Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the race finds a pure toss-up--former Governor Ronnie Musgrove (D) attracts 47% of the vote while Wicker earns 46%.

Musgove leads by ten points among women but trails by eight among men. The Democratic challenger leads among voters under 50 while the GOP incumbent leads among those who have passed the half-century mark. Musgove is supported by 81% of Democrats, Wicker by 76% of Republicans, and Wicker holds a very modest 44% to 40% lead among the state’s unaffiliated voters.

Both men are viewed favorably by 49% of the state’s voters. Wicker is viewed unfavorably by 32% and Musgrove by 42%.

Good times my friends, good times to be a Democrat.

Ajax the Greater

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Tuesday May 20, 2008 · 12:26 PM PDT

2008/05/20 · 12:26

After the drubbing Childers handed out in (MS-01) by 8 points in a bigtime Republican leaning district, is it really such a surprise that the most recent poll shows former Governor Ronnie Musgrove (D) beating newly appointed senator Roger Wicker by 8 points in Mississippi in today's DSCC internal poll?

Ambinder makes some very interesting comments on the flip, read on...

Ajax the Greater

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Monday May 05, 2008 · 7:55 AM PDT

2008/05/05 · 07:55

This is absolutely fantastic news my friends!

It's time to add United States Senator John Cornyn to the list of potentially vulnerable Republican incumbents in Election 2008. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds Cornyn leading Democratic state legislator Rick Noriega by just four percentage points, 47% to 43%.

This ROCKS!

Ajax the Greater

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Thursday April 24, 2008 · 10:25 AM PDT

2008/04/24 · 10:25

Been asked by friends and colleagues (many of whom still support Hillary), exactly why I support Barack. So I penned a response (below the fold).

Ajax the Greater

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Wednesday April 16, 2008 · 10:55 AM PDT

2008/04/16 · 10:55

Wayne Gilchrest was one of the 2 Publicans to come forward and oppose Dubya's preemptive war in Iraq (albeit a few years too late). His prize for not being a Bush puppet was a somewhat unexpected primary loss to far-right wing state senator Andy Harris in MD-01.

Here's the fun part though, it turns out that due in no small part to the viciousness in the Publican primary to take out the incumbent Gilchrest, an opening may just have been created for the Dem candidate, State's attorney and well known (and liked) prosecutor Frank Kratovil, to actually challenge yet another usually ironclad safe Publican seat.

More on the flip about our latest pick-up opportunity...

Poll

52 votes Show Results

Will Publicans try to appeal to "moderates" and "centrists"

52 votes Vote Now!

Will Publicans try to appeal to "moderates" and "centrists"

No, because if you are not 100% party line you are a traitor

23 votes

No, because the preemptive war in Iraq was good for America

0 votes

No, because there is no room in one party both for bigots and non-white people

4 votes

No, because it takes more than 2 elections to move a party

3 votes

No, because it takes hard work to change a party platform

2 votes

Yes, because winning is important

10 votes

Yes, because Rove and Newt arent stoopid (just insane)

10 votes

Bush's former House Seat in play in 2008!

Ajax the Greater

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Tuesday April 01, 2008 · 5:16 PM PDT

2008/04/01 · 17:16

Cross posted over at Swing State

Well this is pretty incredible news. Dubya's dad's old seat in the House has a history of being as reliably Publican as any of them. But the current holder of the seat, John Culberson, reliable crony, is in trouble like never before.

The Dem challenger, businessman Michael Skelly, had an incredible quarter for fundraising,

raising about $750,000 from individual donors without even tapping into his substantial personal wealth. Another Democratic operative said it could be the "best first quarter ever" for any House Democrat in his first filing period.

And the best part about it is that one of the reasons that this seat may just be in play is because of the redistricting plan of the bugman, Tom DeLay.

This could be awesome...

More details from the article on the flip.

Poll

67 votes Show Results

Contest every seat, even in Texas

67 votes Vote Now!

Contest every seat, even in Texas

Yes, of course

48 votes

No, only those where we have a PVI less than 5

4 votes

I'll wait until I see Skell's positions on issues

4 votes

As of right now, any Dem is better than any Publican

11 votes

Brayking: SUSA poll (IL-14) Foster leads Oberweis by 7!

Ajax the Greater

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Thursday March 06, 2008 · 6:57 AM PST

2008/03/06 · 06:57

Hastert's old House Seat could flip! Foster leads Oberweis 52-47 in today's new SUSA Poll!

This ROCKS!

more on flip...

Ajax the Greater

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Friday February 29, 2008 · 11:04 AM PST

2008/02/29 · 11:04

OH as of 2/29:

47 Clinton
45 Obama

TX as of 2/28:

48 Obama
44 Clinton

PA as of 2/28:

Clinton 46
Obama 42

More details on the flip...

Ajax the Greater

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Tuesday February 26, 2008 · 7:57 AM PST

2008/02/26 · 07:57

This is just too damned funny not to share with y'all. Mike Krempansky, co-founder of Red State, and Monica Goodling, Abu Gonzales' and Karl Rove's counsel and lying weasel-in-chief, are engaged to be married. So much snarky goodness!

Ajax the Greater

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Monday February 11, 2008 · 1:59 PM PST

2008/02/11 · 13:59

Today brings us news that former governor Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH) is once again trouncing incumbent John Sununu (R-NH and Dubya sycophant extraordinairre) by a solid 17%, 54 to 37. This seat is looking good. (There was an outlier poll a few weeks back by ARG, the most craptastic of pollsters, which showed Sununu with a lead, but as expected, it was indeed an outlier...)

And in other wonderful news over the weekend, looks like Udall (D-NM) is well on his way to pummeling either/both the reprehensible Pearce (R-crazytown) or the self-proclaimed moderate (but clearly not) Heather Wilson by double digits, so much so that CQ Politics has changed the race to Dem Favored, meaning that Udall is now the frontrunner :)

Ajax the Greater

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Wednesday February 06, 2008 · 1:51 PM PST

2008/02/06 · 13:51

So just checked in to see how the count from the New Mexico caucus from last night was going, and it looks like Hillary has pulled into a 210 vote lead with 98% reporting. Crazy stuff indeed.

An observation for you all in terms of counties and voting patterns on the flip...

Ajax the Greater

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Monday January 28, 2008 · 9:22 AM PST

2008/01/28 · 09:22

Today we get the news from Not Larry Sabato (one of the many progressive blogs out of Virginia), that Tom Davis (R-VA) is going to be #26 House Publican to step down rather than face the rest of eternity in the minority.

A few thoughts about Davis' retirement below the fold.

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Brayking: Rasmussen shows Musgrove (MS-Sen) leading!

Brayking: Musgrove ahead of Wicker (MS-Sen)!

Cornyn (Sen-TX) only up 4 points against netroots hero Noriega!

Why I support Barack Obama

Primary defeat of Wayne Gilchrest (MD-01) to lose Publicans another safe House seat

Bush's former House Seat in play in 2008!

Brayking: SUSA poll (IL-14) Foster leads Oberweis by 7!

Rasmussen, Fox News & Reuters OH, TX and PA polls

Monica Goodling engaged to co-founder of Red State

Senate prospects looking good

New Mexico counting continues - update and brief analysis

Tom Davis (R-VA) not going to seek re-election to the House