I should be more humble but I think we did a better job than Karl Rove and Joe Scarborough, CNN and the Gallup Polls.
Nate Silver final polls:
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
This is what I wrote 24 hours before Obama was declared a winner by all the networks. Something that we already knew was going to happen because we followed Nate Silver and the state polling and not the big national polls:
Unless the Florida Governor and Ohio Secretary of States are successful in suppressing the Democratic vote today and if everyone gets off their b#%*& and does their GOTV efforts, I predict a possible electoral landslide for President Obama and VP Joe Biden.
All the swing state polls moved in Obama's favor and the TV networks finally picked up on the movement in polls to Obama's favor so I am going to give all swing states to Obama. I did not yet give Arizona to Obama for the real big upset but that possibility is real and would be icing on the cake.
http://www.dailykos.com/...
Prediction-Possible Obama electoral landslide. Electoral College map with Obama winning 347 to 191 Romney.
Below is the final result from Google after Florida was declared for Obama yesterday:
My favorite polling organization Public Policy Polling called every single swing state correctly.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/...
PPP said: "We called the winner of every state. In the 9 swing states, we underestimated Obama's margin by an average of only 0.89 points."
This what I wrote the day before election:
http://www.dailykos.com/...
Between Joe Biden's incredible debate performance and President Obama's blowing Romney out of the water in debates two and three, Obama regained the momentum and never gave it back.
Plus President Obama and VP Joe Biden has the best message as we all know as Democrats, liberals, progressives and moderates.
While Colorado and New Hampshire were trending Romney lean a few weeks ago, they look like a good solid lean now for Obama.
Romney blew his chances in Ohio will the Jeep advertising fiasco and the polls have gone straight over the Obama from that time. In the rest of the Midwest, Iowa and Wisconsin are not in play any longer for Romney. I'm giving all the Midwest swing states to Solid Obama.
You can check the latest polling numbers easily on at:
http://www.pollheadlines.com
Plus you can check each state's latest polls by insert each swing state name after the "=" sign in the below URL or skip to the Swing State menu at the bottom of each web page. For instance, substitute Virginia instead of Florida in the below URL string:
http://www.pollheadlines.com/...
I kept a detailed excel worksheet showing the electoral college breakdown with my state to state predictions. I used the latest polls from each of the swing states plus I gave Florida and North Carolina to Obama based on the latest PPPolling even though it was very close due to Obama's better GOTV:
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/...
It looks like my one mistake was giving North Carolina (With 15 electoral votes. 347-15 = 332 final total) to Obama which was probably "One state too far."
And here are your pre-election online poll results showing an Obama win. Guess we beat the talking heads on the networks except for MSNBC.
In conclusion, Nate Silver, the Princeton Election Consortium, Public Policy Polling and of course, myself and fellow DailyKos members beat Karl Rove and the Mainstream Media such as Joe Scarborough (Supported by the silly Gallup polling) who had been declaring the elections a Romney win or a tie going to the House of Representatives.
We in the reality based world knew better!