projects.fivethirtyeight.com/…
www.nytimes.com/...
The New York Times reports that the Trump campaign is deeply worried about their candidate’s internal polls, and if they are anything like the publicly available polls, one can see why.
National polls still show Joe Biden leading by seven or eight points on average though some of the higher quality polls are starting to show double digit leads. An ABC/Washington Post poll has Biden with a 10% lead and Monmouth University has an 11% lead.
Even Change Research says that Biden has a national lead of 7% while rather strangely saying Trump has a 4% lead in Pennsylvania. Oh well, sometimes polls make no sense.
Trump’s approval rating average at website 538 is at -11.3% as compared to -11% last week and -10.1% two weeks ago.
Presidential State Polls
State |
Pollster |
Biden |
Trump |
Trump Margin |
Trump 2016 |
Arizona |
Fox News
Change Res.
|
46%
44%
|
42%
45%
|
-4
+1
|
+3.5 |
California |
Public Policy |
57% |
33% |
-24 |
-30 |
Florida |
Change Res. |
48% |
45% |
-3 |
+1.2 |
Kansas |
Civiqs |
40% |
52% |
+12 |
+20.5 |
Michigan |
Change Res.
PPP
|
48%
50%
|
46%
44%
|
-2
-6
|
+0.3 |
North Carolina |
PPP
Change Res.
Harper
|
49%
46%
44%
|
45%
45%
47%
|
-4
-1
+3
|
+3.8 |
Ohio |
Fox News |
45% |
43% |
-2 |
+8.1 |
Pennsylvania |
Change Res. |
46% |
50% |
+4 |
+0.7 |
Texas |
Quinnipiac |
43% |
44% |
+1 |
+9.0 |
Wisconsin |
Fox News
Change Res.
|
49%
45%
|
40%
45%
|
-9
0
|
+0.7 |
If Republicans are ever going to turn on Trump...fivethirtyeight.com/…
Last week’s diary: www.dailykos.com/…
Senate Polls
|
|
Democrat |
Republican |
Arizona |
Fox News |
Kelly 50% |
McSally 37% |
Kansas |
Civiqs
Civiqs
Civiqs
|
Bollier 41%
Bollier 41%
Bollier 42%
|
Hamilton 40%
Marshall 42%
Kobach 41%
|
North Carolina |
PPP
Harper
|
Cunningham 42%
Cunningham 36%
|
Tillis 41%
Tillis 38%
|
Michigan |
PPP |
Peters 48% |
James 39% |