"Double Bubbble" Ballot Could Give Obama 1% bump in CA

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Wednesday February 06, 2008 · 10:04 PM PST

2008/02/06 · 22:04

I just did a quick and dirty analysis of Decline to State voters in LA County to see what the possible effect of the Double Bubble ballot could be. My estimate is that counting all possible "Double Bubble" ballots could lead to a statewide shift to Obama of between 0.5% and 1.0%. In LA County the shift would be between 1.8% and 4%. In table form, here's my best estimate of what the change would be to the statewide results:

	Current	Probable
Hillary	52.0%	51.7%
Barack	42.3%	42.6%

Because this nomination could come down to every last single delegate, I think Debra Bowen and the LA County Department of Elections need to examine all "Decline to State" ballots and count any ballots where the voter failed to fill in the byzantine "Democratic" bubble. I wouldn't consider this a national emergency because Hillary won Cali by 10%, but the "double bubble" ballot needs to be eliminated. See after the jump for my analysis.

JerDewitt

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Thursday January 31, 2008 · 2:54 PM PST

2008/01/31 · 14:54

I've been a proud member of the San Francisco League of Pissed Off Voters since we were doing bus trips to Reno and Vegas back in 2004. We've made voter guides for the last six elections. We print up thousands of them and hit the streets to spread the word. See below the jump for our endorsements on the February ballot. See the complete guide at theballot.org/2008/sf, including a beautiful printable PDF.

Check us out IRL:

Election Night party: 2192 Folsom @ 18th St. 8pm - midnight. We'll watch the election results on the big screen, and talking about it live on Pirate Cat Radio. 87.9 FM or piratecatradio.com.
League General Meetings: every 3rd Tuesday, 7-9pm. Red Ink Studios, 1035 Market @ 6th St. Check www.theleague.com/sf for updates.
League of Pissed Off Voters Radio Roundtable on Pirate Cat Radio: Fridays 4-6pm on 87.9 FM or online at piratecatradio.com.

JerDewitt

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Wednesday May 31, 2006 · 2:43 PM PDT

2006/05/31 · 14:43

There's a lot more going on in California than just the Governor and CA-50 races. Here's what the San Francisco League of Pissed Off Voters has to say about it all. Election day is next Tuesday! Voter early, vote often.

Governor: Phil Angelides!
Lieutenant Governor: Jackie Speier!
Secretary of State: Debra Bowen!
Attorney General: Jerry Brown
Controller: John Chiang
State Senate District 8: None of the Above
State Assembly District 12: Janet Reilly!

Prop 81 - Library Construction Bond: No
Prop 82 - Universal Preschool: Hell Yeah

Prop A - Stop Homicides Now: Hell Yeah
Prop B - Ellis Act Eviction Disclosure: Hell Yeah
Prop C - Transbay Terminal Authority Shuffle: Yes
Prop D - Laguna Honda Patient Admission and Rezoning: No

See below the jump for more details. Read More

Bush Explains the CIA Assessement

JerDewitt

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Tuesday September 21, 2004 · 1:02 PM PDT

2004/09/21 · 13:02

CNN just played this clip from Bush's UN press conference:

The CIA, uh . . . uh, laid out a, uh, several scenarios. They said life could be lousy, life could be okay, life could be better, and they were just, uh . . . uh, guessing at to what the conditions might be like.

For those of you without the latest Dubya decoder ring, here's the English translation:

Better: A tenuous stability.
Okay: Increased extremism and fragmentation in Iraqi society impede efforts to build a central government and adversely affect efforts to democratize the country.
Lousy: Trend lines that would point to a civil war.
Guessing: The first formal assessment of Iraq since the October 2002, written by a group of senior intelligence officials that provides long-term strategic thinking for the entire U.S. intelligence community.

Isn't it amazing how his confidence vanishes when you take him out of his coddled world of campaign stops and put him in a room with reporters?

Nevada Voter Registration Turning Blue

JerDewitt

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Thursday September 16, 2004 · 5:01 PM PDT

2004/09/16 · 17:01

On July 1st, Republicans had an 8,513 voter registration edge in Nevada. On September 1st, Democracts had a 1,021 voter registration edge!

In 2000, Bush won Nevada by 20,000 votes. Repbulicans had an 838 voter registration edge. Here are the numbers from the Nevada Secretary of State:

Nevada Statewide - Aug 2004
D:    383,651
R:    382,630
N:    143,103

Nevada Statewide - Jun 2004
D:    354,950
R:    363,463
N:    132,778

Nevada Statewide - Oct 2000
D:    365,593
R:    366,431
N:    122,339

I think you can credit the turnaround to the kick-ass operations ACT is running in Reno and Vegas. 200 of us Northern Californians are driving to Reno this weekend to keep up the momentum.

The deadline to register in Nevada is Oct 2nd. We've got 3 more weeks to build our edge. All you Californians, get involved through ACT or drivingvotes.org!

More numbers, including breakdowns for Reno and Vegas, below the thread. Read More

Edwards borrows a line from Obama

JerDewitt

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Sunday August 08, 2004 · 10:10 PM PDT

2004/08/08 · 22:10

Check out the line that Edwards borrowed from Obama on Sunday, explaining why he came to Kansas:

"For all those politicians and pollsters who say, wait a minute, why are you taking one valuable day to come back to Kansas to campaign, Kansas is a red state," Mr. Edwards said. "To John Kerry and I, there is no red state, there is no blue state, there is only one United States of America."

It's great to see John-John taking advantage of Obama's masterful speech.

And I like the fact that Edwards spent Sunday in Kansas. Maybe it's a little bit of hubris setting in, but it's a bold testament to the campaign's new confidence, as well as a great way to illustrate the theme of uniting the United States of America.

The 8 of Hearts Flies to Syria on US's Dollar*

JerDewitt

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Wednesday June 02, 2004 · 10:38 PM PDT

2004/06/02 · 22:38

Well, he would've been the 8 of hearts if they had made a deck after 9/11.

Get a load of this sketchy character: "Nabil al-Marabh was No. 27 on the FBI's list of terror suspects after 9/11." Some highlights from his resume include:

trained in Afghanistan camp.
Sent money to a convicted terrorist.
Bragged of plans to blow up a fuel truck in a NY tunnel.
Snuck into the U.S. with a fake passport right before 9/11.

What did the Justice department do when they busted this guy? Undisclosed location? GitMo?

Nope. They slapped minor immigration charges on him, kept the most damning evidence against him secret from the judge, and deported him back to his home in Syria.

Huh?

The Patriot Act scares me, and thinking about the adolescent kids locked up at GitMo makes me cry. But I'm not too stoked thinking about what Nabil al-Marabh is up to these days.

Maybe Justice thinks they've turned this guy into an informat. With their track record of trampling on the freedoms of Muslims in America, why the hell else would they let this guy go?

Weird.

Cuban Dissidents Held at Gitmo?

JerDewitt

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Friday May 21, 2004 · 3:55 PM PDT

2004/05/21 · 15:55

Salon's War Room blog is citing a BBC story about 30 Cuban dissidents (including 4 women and 4 children) being held at Guantanamo.

Thirty Cuban dissidents are being held by US authorities at the Guantanamo Bay naval base, a Cuban exile leader says. <snip>

They were stopped by US vessels and had been held secretly for the past year - even though they had been promised passage to a third country, he said. <snip>

Mr Sanchez told the BBC that Washington had threatened to hand over the dissidents to the Cuban authorities if they talked to the press.

Why on Earth are Cuban refugees being held at Gitmo? The Miami Herald doesn't have anything on this yet. Seems like this story would be of interest to Flordia's Cuban community. I'd love to see a MoveOn or ACT ad asking why Dubya is holding Cuban dissidents at Gitmo. Maybe a story like this could help make up for Kerry's abysmal attempts to win Flordia's Cuban vote.

Too bad the only way for MoveOn members to communicate with the organization is through the clunky Great Goals forum.

RSS

"Double Bubbble" Ballot Could Give Obama 1% bump in CA

San Francisco League of Pissed Off Voters Endorsements

SF League of Pissed Off Voters Endorsements

Bush Explains the CIA Assessement

Nevada Voter Registration Turning Blue

Edwards borrows a line from Obama

The 8 of Hearts Flies to Syria on US's Dollar*

Cuban Dissidents Held at Gitmo?