WTF? Lower Ballot Return Rates among Registered Democrats

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Sunday November 04, 2012 · 4:04 AM PST

2012/11/04 · 04:04

OFA Florida has been pushing absentee ballots to make up for the shortened early voting period but when I read this piece from an impartial observer it gives me a heart attack:

Here are some numbers that will give the Obama campaign heartburn in the key states of Iowa and Florida.
In Florida, 406,634 registered Democrats have not returned their mail ballots compared to 362,920 Republicans. In comparison, registered Democrats have returned 700,970 mail ballots compared to 781,043 Republicans. Thus, even though Republicans outnumber Democrats in returned mail ballots by a wide margin, more Democrats have yet to return their ballot.

It makes me wonder if my experience with requesting one is much more common than I previously believed. Read More

The Media Claims Romney Has Momentum But I Say BS

Micheline

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Monday October 22, 2012 · 8:58 PM PDT

2012/10/22 · 20:58

Not much of a diary but I feel this must be addressed. I noticed that with a slew of polling that Obama is still ahead (except for Gallup) albeit by smaller margins. I also noticed that the predictive markets still show Obama as the favorite. Of course there is going to be some tightening in the polls but that doesn't mean that Mitt Romney has momentum. I could be wrong. But I find it shameful that the media is acting like Romney has it in the bag. I am just disgusted.

Poll

134 votes Show Results

Does Romney Truly Have Momentum?

134 votes Vote Now!

Does Romney Truly Have Momentum?

Yes

13 votes

109 votes

May be

7 votes

I don't know

4 votes

Saturday Night Live Skit of the VP Debate

Micheline

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Sunday October 14, 2012 · 6:28 AM PDT

2012/10/14 · 06:28

It's not much of a diary. The skit on Saturday Night Live was too funny. Since I don't know how to embed videos here is the link:

http://www.nbc.com/...

Obama and White Resentment

Micheline

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Friday October 12, 2012 · 8:49 PM PDT

2012/10/12 · 20:49

I am trying to make sense of Obama's plummet in the polls that we've seen the past week and a half. I had never thought a poor debate performance would dramatically change the direction of an election. Reagan and Dubya did badly, yet they still won reelection, the polls tightened, but not to the extent that you see right now. I am going to be honest. I am less hopeful about the outcome of this election as we slog through this miserable week. The fact that Obama is running behind ME 02 says it all.

I think that what happened that night was that Obama's performance reinforced the Right's stereotype of him. "He is an empty suit." Or "he's only articulate because he uses a teleprompter." Another underlying current was that Obama only won the Democratic nomination and thus the presidency out of sheer luck. He was winning reelection out of sheer luck. To be fair polling had shown that Obama was ahead because Romney's weaknesses not Obama strengths. He was stumbling over his words. He was tentative. Whereas Romney appeared to be in control despite his unbelievable mendacity. He looked like he was sticking it to Obama.

Poll

150 votes Show Results

Will Obama pull through?

150 votes Vote Now!

Will Obama pull through?

Yes

98 votes

21 votes

May Be

16 votes

Don't Know

15 votes

There Is Evidence that Mitt Romney Is Attempting to Move to the Center (with a poll)

Micheline

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Monday August 27, 2012 · 4:04 PM PDT

2012/08/27 · 16:04

This will be a short diary. It seems like with respect to abortion and women issues Romney is trying to tack to the center while riling up the base with stupid comments about Obama's base being welfare cheats. I also think this is meant to appeal to racists who may like Obama but not black people in general (that would be a separate diary). I doubt the villagers will say anything because it seems they are really pushing for Romney. We must use twitter and of course blogs to combat this because if the media doesn't then that could change the dynamics of the race. If there are any other suggestions then please provide them.

Poll

28 votes Show Results

Will this do over work?

28 votes Vote Now!

Will this do over work?

Yes

1 vote

20 votes

May be

3 votes

Not sure

1 vote

Pie

3 votes

The general election is still Romney to lose

Micheline

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Sunday January 15, 2012 · 9:30 PM PST

2012/01/15 · 21:30

As much we enjoy the Bain attacks and the Colbert's Super Pac ads, we have to realize that the GOP still has wind behind their backs. Romney is attracting the angry voters who really believe that Romney has the best chance in beating Obama as seen in a piece by Alec McGillis;. MacGillis recognizes that the Romney is attracting the angriest supporters who tend to be the elderly and they vote reliably.

This explains why Romney's attacks border on contempt on Obama. I would also add that they are racist. In addition to the pent up anger, you have the lack of unity on the left. Hopefully, with the Bain attacks that this will galvanize the Democrats and Left especially in light of Romney's response to these attacks. The final reason that the election is for Romney to lose is the fact that the economy is still in a precarious state. The Europe is not helping the situation.

I don't think that we should sit on our butts and do nothing. I think we need to organize be it phonebanking or knocking on doors. I also we need to put out super pac ads to combat whatever bs that Romney will put out.

Poll

84 votes Show Results

Do you want to see Romney get his ass kicked in November?

84 votes Vote Now!

Do you want to see Romney get his ass kicked in November?

Yes

74 votes

7 votes

Don't Know

3 votes

Ralph Reed's organization will be doing a massive GOTV

Micheline

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Friday October 29, 2010 · 7:23 PM PDT

2010/10/29 · 19:23

This will be a very short diary, because I am writing this on my phone, but I feel this is important. According to Politico, Reed and Palin will be making 8.5 million robo-calls in the 14 competive states and 56 house districts they include the following: Ohio, IllinoisPenn, Wisconsin, Florida, Washington,West Virginia, etc. Hearing this makes me want to kick the GOP ass even more. Continue to GOTV, we should not let this announcement intimidate us.

Forget about Healthcare Reform We Need Coakley for the Jobs Bill

Micheline

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Saturday January 09, 2010 · 5:55 AM PST

2010/01/09 · 05:55

Sorry for the short diary. I'm a Florida resident but I beseech any registered voter in MA to get out and vote for Martha Coakley on Jan. 19, 2010. A lot is at stake for one we have the jobs bill because believe me we won't get any Republican vote for it (look how they cavalierly delayed unemployment benefits) so it's necessary that she gets elected. If you don't live in MA you can help by phonebanking. Or donate some money. Besides we need more women in the Senate. Well I have to go to work. Again I apologize for the short diary.

Micheline

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Sunday November 01, 2009 · 11:27 AM PST

2009/11/01 · 11:27

Yes the diary title is true. Because of this, we need to do is a web ad showing how Lieberman flip-flopped on this issue, in that this goes into the heart of credibility. If this man was against the public option then why was it included in his plan. People will see right through Lieberman. We must also go into heart of competence. By competence, I mean having a command of the issue. Lieberman recent statements indicate that he is either lying or incapable of understanding healthcare. For example, Lieberman must know that government is already in the insurance business. The federal government provides flood insurance that's been around for decades. So he cannot say that government cannot run an insurance program. That's another idea for an ad. We also need an ad on how much money he has been receiving from the health insurance companies especially now. And lastly, we need an ad showing that this man was against the filibuster but wants to use it to stab the Dems in the back. I think the time is ripe for demolishing this guy's reputation including with the beltway.

Poll

50 votes Show Results

What should be done?

50 votes Vote Now!

What should be done?

Strip him of senirority.

10 votes

Dig up dirt.

2 votes

Question his credibility.

2 votes

Question his understanding of the issue

3 votes

All the above.

33 votes

Gallup Poll: The GOP Closed the Gap in the Generic Ballot

Micheline

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Wednesday October 07, 2009 · 6:41 AM PDT

2009/10/07 · 06:41

Hat Tip to Political Wire:

Democrats 46%
Republicans 44%

October 1-4

Democrats 50%
Republicans 44%
July 2009

A new Gallup Poll has found the Democrats barely ahead in the generic poll. They said around this time prior to the 1994 election, the results were similiar to this. More independants prefer the Republicans over the Democrats. They also note that there's a connection between congressional approval and the generic ballot.

I think that this is a very good warning for both the politicians and supporters. Since Democrats are unreliable voters, next year election will be difficult. Now some may take offense to me saying this but truth of the matter is that it always to difficult get Democrats to the polls (that was even true in 2008). The Democrats need to pass healthcare reform and do something about jobs before we get a 1994 redux.

Micheline

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Monday September 07, 2009 · 1:24 PM PDT

2009/09/07 · 13:24

According to Politico, a house GOP member will be giving the response to Obama's speech. They will frame it as a David vs. Goliath. I bet it will be a doctor (like Rep. Boustany) who will be giving the speech. I also think they are going to promote the asinine idea of allowing companies to cross state lines which will do nothing for the consumer. As for the framing, I don't think that will be convincing given that the teabaggers were obnoxious and quite offensive. If you really looked at the Gallup poll, most independents views weren't swayed by these protests.

Poll

117 votes Show Results

The GOP response will be:

117 votes Vote Now!

The GOP response will be:

NO!

36 votes

Deregulation

1 vote

Tax cuts

9 votes

Vouchers

2 votes

All the above

69 votes

Obama's Gallup approval rating is 50% /43% disapproval

Micheline

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Thursday August 27, 2009 · 11:30 AM PDT

2009/08/27 · 11:30

Obama's approval rating keeps getting lower and lower. Gallup attributes the decline in approval to moderate democrats and 18-29 year olds. While the approval rating in those groups are still high they are not what they were like before. According to Gallup, Obama is now at the risk of going below 50%. This has implications for health care reform. Obama needs to get his numbers back up where they were in June so that Democrats won't bail on him.
What is weird about the tracking poll is that on Saturday he was at 54% and 37% disapproval. Now he's at 5O% WTF. This is a rapid decline:

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WTF? Lower Ballot Return Rates among Registered Democrats

The Media Claims Romney Has Momentum But I Say BS

Saturday Night Live Skit of the VP Debate

Obama and White Resentment

There Is Evidence that Mitt Romney Is Attempting to Move to the Center (with a poll)

The general election is still Romney to lose

Ralph Reed's organization will be doing a massive GOTV

Forget about Healthcare Reform We Need Coakley for the Jobs Bill

Joe Lieberman Was for the Public Option before He Was against It.

Gallup Poll: The GOP Closed the Gap in the Generic Ballot

Any predictions on what the GOP will say in response to Obama's speech on Wed.

Obama's Gallup approval rating is 50% /43% disapproval